UPDF vs BUL Prediction

UPDF
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
BUL
Nakivubo Stadium, Kampala 18/10/2026
UPDFUPDF
0-2
Finished
BULBUL

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.21
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-11.0%
UPDF Rest
3 days
BUL Rest
5 days

UPDF vs BUL: result, form and history

BUL beat UPDF 2-0 in the Premier League on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: BUL had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for UPDF.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.38
X
32%2.89
2
40%2.07
Double Chance
1X
60%1.59
X2
72%1.21
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

58'D. Byabacwezi
76'

Team Comparison

UPDFUPDF
BULBUL
1452Elo Rating 1602
0.79Attack 1.89
1.95Defense 2.42
42%Hit Rate 81%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

UPDFUPDF
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
BULBUL
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.7 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

UPDFUPDF4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
BULBUL4Wins · 40%
3.2Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier League21/04/2026
BULUPDF
25
Premier League30/01/2026
UPDFBUL
01
Premier League24/05/2025
UPDFBUL
23
Premier League04/12/2024
BULUPDF
02
Premier League12/03/2024
BULUPDF
01
Premier League09/11/2023
UPDFBUL
20
Premier League21/02/2023
UPDFBUL
11
Premier League08/10/2022
BULUPDF
31
Premier League01/03/2022
BULUPDF
51
Premier League22/12/2021
UPDFBUL
11

Recent Form

UPDFUPDF
2W3D5L
15/10/2026
ExpressUPDF
12
W
17/09/2026
UPDFMaroons
10
W
10/09/2026
PoliceUPDF
00
D
01/09/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
21
L
29/08/2026
UPDFKataka
00
D
23/05/2026
SC VillaUPDF
21
L
19/05/2026
UPDFCalvary
00
D
13/05/2026
UPDFKCCA
12
L
07/05/2026
Entebbe UPPCUPDF
20
L
29/04/2026
PoliceUPDF
20
L
BULBUL
4W4D2L
13/10/2026
LugaziBUL
00
D
15/09/2026
BULBlacks Power
21
W
08/09/2026
BULNtugasaze
41
W
03/09/2026
KatakaBUL
14
W
30/08/2026
BULExpress
10
W
23/05/2026
Entebbe UPPCBUL
40
L
19/05/2026
BULKitara
11
D
12/05/2026
BULLugazi
00
D
08/05/2026
SC VillaBUL
00
D
28/04/2026
BULNEC
01
L

League Table

Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BULBUL761015:4+1119WWDWW
2SC VillaSC Villa752016:3+1317WWDWW
3NECNEC742112:4+814LWDWD
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC74217:2+514WDWDL
5Blacks PowerBlacks Power74039:11-212WLLLW
6VipersVipers632113:2+1111DWDWW
7MaroonsMaroons731313:8+510WDWLL
8KCCAKCCA63124:4010WWWDL
9KitaraKitara42205:3+28WWDD
10UPDFUPDF62224:5-18LWWDL
11LugaziLugazi72234:9-58DDLLW
12PolicePolice72234:10-68DLLWD
13ExpressExpress71334:6-26DLDDL
14Mbarara CityMbarara City61232:5-35LWLDD
15URAURA61145:10-54LDLLL
16NtugasazeNtugasaze61053:13-103LWLLL
17KatakaKataka70254:17-132LLLDL
18Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz60151:9-81LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BULBUL715:419
2SC VillaSC Villa716:317
3NECNEC712:414
4Entebbe UPPCEntebbe UPPC77:214
5Blacks PowerBlacks Power79:1112
6VipersVipers613:211
7MaroonsMaroons713:810
8KCCAKCCA64:410
9KitaraKitara45:38
10UPDFUPDF64:58
11LugaziLugazi74:98
12PolicePolice74:108
13ExpressExpress74:66
14Mbarara CityMbarara City62:55
15URAURA65:104
16NtugasazeNtugasaze63:133
17KatakaKataka74:172
18Kigezi HomeBoyzKigezi HomeBoyz61:91

About the UPDF vs BUL forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

UPDF and BUL in the Premier League table

In the Premier League table, BUL are 1st and UPDF 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: UPDF 4-5, BUL 15-4. The full standings are on the Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.