US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn Prediction

Stade John Grun, Mondorf-les-Bains 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalHIGHModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-4.0%
US Mondorf-les-bains Rest
7 days
Progres Niederkorn Rest
7 days

US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn: the result in context

US Mondorf-les-bains beat Progres Niederkorn 2-1 in the National Division on 30 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Progres Niederkorn have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.98
X
24%3.33
2
20%3.35
Double Chance
1X
80%1.24
X2
44%1.67
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains
Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn
1657Elo Rating 1564
3.79Attack 1.78
1.69Defense 2.00
69%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (2.4 vs 1.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains3Wins · 30%
Draws110%
Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn6Wins · 60%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

National Division08/02/2026
US Mondorf-les-bainsProgres Niederkorn
10
National Division09/08/2025
Progres NiederkornUS Mondorf-les-bains
10
National Division27/04/2025
US Mondorf-les-bainsProgres Niederkorn
21
National Division03/11/2024
Progres NiederkornUS Mondorf-les-bains
11
National Division05/05/2024
US Mondorf-les-bainsProgres Niederkorn
24
Cup01/05/2024
US Mondorf-les-bainsProgres Niederkorn
02
National Division26/11/2023
Progres NiederkornUS Mondorf-les-bains
30
National Division14/05/2023
US Mondorf-les-bainsProgres Niederkorn
01
National Division11/12/2022
Progres NiederkornUS Mondorf-les-bains
42
National Division24/04/2022
US Mondorf-les-bainsProgres Niederkorn
21

Recent Form

US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains
5W2D3L
23/08/2026
AS Jeunesse EschUS Mondorf-les-bains
13
W
16/08/2026
US Mondorf-les-bainsF91 Dudelange
10
W
09/08/2026
Victoria RosportUS Mondorf-les-bains
23
W
02/08/2026
US Mondorf-les-bainsFC Differdange 03
32
W
16/07/2026
Dinamo TbilisiUS Mondorf-les-bains
1011
D
09/07/2026
US Mondorf-les-bainsDinamo Tbilisi
12
L
03/07/2026
MetzUS Mondorf-les-bains
52
L
23/05/2026
UNA StrassenUS Mondorf-les-bains
00
D
17/05/2026
US Mondorf-les-bainsUnion Titus Petange
10
W
10/05/2026
Victoria RosportUS Mondorf-les-bains
10
L
Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn
3W1D6L
22/08/2026
Progres NiederkornUNA Strassen
01
L
16/08/2026
Atert BissenProgres Niederkorn
04
W
09/08/2026
Résidence WalferdangeProgres Niederkorn
01
W
01/08/2026
Progres NiederkornAS Jeunesse Esch
21
W
25/07/2026
Progres NiederkornExcelsior Virton
11
D
22/07/2026
Progres NiederkornAPM Metz
25
L
18/07/2026
DijonProgres Niederkorn
41
L
11/07/2026
Progres NiederkornThionville Lusitanos
05
L
04/07/2026
FSV Mainz 05 IIProgres Niederkorn
10
L
23/05/2026
Progres NiederkornF91 Dudelange
24
L

League Table

National Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen11101022:3+1931WDWWW
2FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 0311100132:9+2330WWWWW
3US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains1180322:19+324LWWLL
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg1164130:11+1922WDDDW
5Atert BissenAtert Bissen1171327:15+1222WWDWW
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 971170430:19+1121LWWWW
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn1161416:9+719LLWDW
8Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange1151520:23-316LDLWW
9F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange1141617:18-113LWWLD
10AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch1141619:21-213WWLDL
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport1132621:26-511WLWDL
12US HostertUS Hostert1132615:20-511LLLDD
13Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck112279:19-108WLLDL
14US RumelangeUS Rumelange1122715:31-168DDLLL
15WiltzWiltz1112818:31-135DLLLL
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange1100112:41-39LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1UNA StrassenUNA Strassen1122:331
2FC Differdange 03FC Differdange 031132:930
3US Mondorf-les-bainsUS Mondorf-les-bains1122:1924
4Racing FC Union LuxembourgRacing FC Union Luxembourg1130:1122
5Atert BissenAtert Bissen1127:1522
6UN Kaerjeng 97UN Kaerjeng 971130:1921
7Progres NiederkornProgres Niederkorn1116:919
8Résidence WalferdangeRésidence Walferdange1120:2316
9F91 DudelangeF91 Dudelange1117:1813
10AS Jeunesse EschAS Jeunesse Esch1119:2113
11Victoria RosportVictoria Rosport1121:2611
12US HostertUS Hostert1115:2011
13Etzella EttelbruckEtzella Ettelbruck119:198
14US RumelangeUS Rumelange1115:318
15WiltzWiltz1118:315
16Swift HesperangeSwift Hesperange112:41
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn forecast

The forecasts for this National Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn in the National Division table

In the National Division table, US Mondorf-les-bains are 3rd and Progres Niederkorn 7th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: US Mondorf-les-bains 22-19, Progres Niederkorn 16-9. The full standings are on the National Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.