Valenciennes vs Amiens Prediction

Valenciennes
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Amiens
Stade du Hainaut, Valenciennes 17/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
67%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.40
SignalSOLIDModel39%SurpriseHighGap-4.2%
Valenciennes Rest
13 days
Amiens Rest
13 days

Valenciennes vs Amiens: the result in context

Valenciennes and Amiens drew 1-1 in the Ligue 3 on 17 Oct 2026. Amiens had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Valenciennes.

Amiens have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 1.9 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
34%2.58
X
29%3.13
2
37%2.50
Double Chance
1X
63%1.44
X2
66%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.82
No
49%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.33 = 2.43
Over 1.5
69%1.34
Over 2.5
45%2.10
Over 3.5
25%3.80
Under 1.5
31%2.94
Under 2.5
55%1.67
Under 3.5
75%1.23
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'A. Nuss
31'R. Boissier
34'M. ColinAssist: A. Nuss
37'V. Marcel
56'M. Zogba
60'C. Mbondi INE. Julien out
63'V. Marcel INS. Belloumou out
63'L. Boiteau INJ. Ndiaye out
68'J. Ndiaye
76'M. Colin INI. Ramla out
76'A. Nuss ING. Foll out
85'C. Rocchia ING. Courtet out
86'Z. Amir INA. Wahib out
86'Z. Sopromadze INL. Diakite out
86'R. Boissier INA. Chabane out
87'J. Ndiaye(Penalty)

Team Comparison

ValenciennesValenciennes
AmiensAmiens
1486Elo Rating 1567
1.13Attack 1.48
1.53Defense 2.54
19%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

ValenciennesValenciennes
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AmiensAmiens
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

ValenciennesValenciennes1Wins · 11%
Draws222%
AmiensAmiens6Wins · 67%
1.9Avg Goals
22%Both teams scored2 of 9
22%3+ goals2 of 9

Previous meetings

Ligue 213/01/2024
ValenciennesAmiens
01
Ligue 223/09/2023
AmiensValenciennes
00
Ligue 222/04/2023
AmiensValenciennes
02
Ligue 226/12/2022
ValenciennesAmiens
11
Ligue 202/04/2022
ValenciennesAmiens
02
Ligue 223/10/2021
AmiensValenciennes
30
Ligue 220/04/2021
AmiensValenciennes
31
Ligue 218/12/2020
ValenciennesAmiens
02
Coupe de France05/01/2019
AmiensValenciennes
10

Recent Form

ValenciennesValenciennes
2W3D5L
03/10/2026
VersaillesValenciennes
10
L
26/09/2026
ValenciennesLe Puy Foot
21
W
19/09/2026
La Roche VFValenciennes
32
L
12/09/2026
ValenciennesFleury 91
12
L
03/09/2026
RouenValenciennes
11
D
29/08/2026
ValenciennesConcarneau
00
D
20/08/2026
GobelinsValenciennes
21
L
14/08/2026
ValenciennesBourg-en-bresse 01
20
W
07/08/2026
CaenValenciennes
40
L
31/07/2026
ValenciennesBoulogne
11
D
AmiensAmiens
5W3D2L
03/10/2026
AmiensVillefranche
30
W
26/09/2026
QuevillyAmiens
11
D
19/09/2026
AmiensOrleans
20
W
10/09/2026
CannesAmiens
00
D
05/09/2026
BastiaAmiens
03
W
29/08/2026
AmiensVersailles
30
W
20/08/2026
Le Puy FootAmiens
10
L
14/08/2026
AmiensLa Roche VF
01
L
07/08/2026
Fleury 91Amiens
00
D
31/07/2026
AmiensRED Star FC 93
31
W

League Table

Ligue 3 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1063116:10+621LWWWD
2RouenRouen1062218:8+1020LWLWW
3VersaillesVersailles1061315:13+219WWWDW
4CaenCaen1060419:13+618WLWLW
5ConcarneauConcarneau1045113:9+417DWDWW
6Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1051412:9+316WWLWL
7AmiensAmiens1044213:4+916DWDWD
8CannesCannes1036112:6+615LWDDD
9Fleury 91Fleury 911043316:12+415WWLDW
10GobelinsGobelins1043310:10015WLWDL
11QuevillyQuevilly1034311:14-313WLDDW
12Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1033415:16-112LLLDL
13BastiaBastia103348:12-412DDLDW
14ValenciennesValenciennes1023510:15-59DLWLL
15OrleansOrleans102359:14-59LDDLL
16AubagneAubagne102176:13-77LLWLL
17VillefrancheVillefranche102179:23-147WLLLD
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01101275:16-115LLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1La Roche VFLa Roche VF1016:1021
2RouenRouen1018:820
3VersaillesVersailles1015:1319
4CaenCaen1019:1318
5ConcarneauConcarneau1013:917
6Le Puy FootLe Puy Foot1012:916
7AmiensAmiens1013:416
8CannesCannes1012:615
9Fleury 91Fleury 911016:1215
10GobelinsGobelins1010:1015
11QuevillyQuevilly1011:1413
12Thionville LusitanosThionville Lusitanos1015:1612
13BastiaBastia108:1212
14ValenciennesValenciennes1010:159
15OrleansOrleans109:149
16AubagneAubagne106:137
17VillefrancheVillefranche109:237
18Bourg-en-bresse 01Bourg-en-bresse 01105:165
PromotionRelegation

About the Valenciennes vs Amiens forecast

The forecasts for this Ligue 3 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Valenciennes and Amiens in the Ligue 3 table

In the Ligue 3 table, Amiens are 7th and Valenciennes 14th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Valenciennes 10-15, Amiens 13-4. The full standings are on the Ligue 3 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.