Vancouver FC vs York United Prediction

Vancouver FC
4-0
Finished
HT 4-0
York United
Willoughby Community Park Stadium 05/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseHighGap+2.8%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel35%SurpriseHighGap+9.2%
Vancouver FC Rest
3 days
York United Rest
23 days

Vancouver FC vs York United: the result in context

Vancouver FC beat York United 4-0 in the Canadian Premier League on 5 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

York United have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%2.00
X
28%3.35
2
28%3.28
Double Chance
1X
72%1.30
X2
56%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.60
No
49%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.12 = 2.44
Over 1.5
67%1.22
Over 2.5
43%1.75
Over 3.5
24%2.85
Under 1.5
33%3.70
Under 2.5
57%1.99
Under 3.5
76%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'N. MezquidaAssist: E. Bah
6'M. AmissiAssist: N. Mezquida
38'M. AmissiAssist: E. Bah
43'M. Amissi
46'B. Badibanga INK. Clarke out
53'O. LeonFoul
63'M. Amissi INH. Godbout out
63'L. Mousset INT. Campbell out
64'S. JimohFoul
65'O. Leon INJ. Cordova out
65'S. Jimoh INA. Almagro out
73'A. AlmagroFoul
73'D. Pecile INA. Ouattara out
73'L. Accettola INJ. Cabral out
73'N. Mezquida INL. Toomey out
83'E. Bah INT. Powell out
89'T. Skublak INC. Onyeocha out

Team Comparison

Vancouver FCVancouver FC
York UnitedYork United
1469Elo Rating 1399
1.83Attack 1.11
1.44Defense 0.00
27%Hit Rate 17%
11.0Shots per Game 11.5
4.3Shots on Target 3.2
4.5Corners per Game 4.5
2.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend40% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Vancouver FCVancouver FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
York UnitedYork United
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Vancouver FCVancouver FC1Wins · 10%
Draws220%
York UnitedYork United7Wins · 70%
2.4Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Canadian Premier League19/04/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League22/09/2025
Vancouver FCYork United
21
Canadian Premier League19/07/2025
York UnitedVancouver FC
40
Canadian Premier League25/05/2025
York UnitedVancouver FC
10
Canadian Premier League07/04/2025
Vancouver FCYork United
02
Canadian Premier League07/09/2024
Vancouver FCYork United
01
Canadian Premier League21/07/2024
Vancouver FCYork United
11
Canadian Premier League10/06/2024
York UnitedVancouver FC
22
Canadian Premier League27/04/2024
York UnitedVancouver FC
30
Canadian Premier League07/10/2023
Vancouver FCYork United
12

Recent Form

Vancouver FCVancouver FC
4W2D4L
01/07/2026
ForgeVancouver FC
32
L
15/06/2026
Vancouver FCPacific FC
21
W
06/06/2026
Vancouver FCAtlético Ottawa
21
W
30/05/2026
HFX Wanderers FCVancouver FC
10
L
24/05/2026
Vancouver FCSupra du Quebec
11
D
18/05/2026
Vancouver FCCavalry FC
02
L
11/05/2026
Vancouver FCLangley United Sa
20
W
04/05/2026
Pacific FCVancouver FC
13
W
26/04/2026
Atlético OttawaVancouver FC
11
D
19/04/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
10
L
York UnitedYork United
3W3D4L
11/06/2026
York UnitedCavalry FC
15
L
07/06/2026
York UnitedForge
14
L
30/05/2026
Supra du QuebecYork United
31
L
23/05/2026
HFX Wanderers FCYork United
11
D
17/05/2026
Pacific FCYork United
01
W
10/05/2026
York UnitedSaint-Laurent
01
L
02/05/2026
York UnitedAtlético Ottawa
41
W
25/04/2026
Cavalry FCYork United
11
D
19/04/2026
York UnitedVancouver FC
10
W
11/04/2026
York UnitedHFX Wanderers FC
22
D

League Table

Canadian Premier League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC27176457:23+3457WDLLW
2ForgeForge27176448:21+2757WWWDD
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa271341041:43-243LWWWL
4Vancouver FCVancouver FC271071039:36+337WDDDD
5Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec271051243:47-435WDWWL
6HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC27771341:46-528LDDLW
7York UnitedYork United27691240:64-2427LLLWL
8Pacific FCPacific FC27281732:61-2914LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Cavalry FCCavalry FC2757:2357
2ForgeForge2748:2157
3Atlético OttawaAtlético Ottawa2741:4343
4Vancouver FCVancouver FC2739:3637
5Supra du QuebecSupra du Quebec2743:4735
6HFX Wanderers FCHFX Wanderers FC2741:4628
7York UnitedYork United2740:6427
8Pacific FCPacific FC2732:6114

About the Vancouver FC vs York United forecast

The forecasts for this Canadian Premier League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vancouver FC and York United in the Canadian Premier League table

In the Canadian Premier League table, Vancouver FC are 4th and York United 7th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Vancouver FC 39-36, York United 40-64. The full standings are on the Canadian Premier League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.