Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara Prediction

04/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-7.3%
Vigor Lamezia Rest
7 days
CastrumFavara Rest
6 days

Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara: result, form and history

Vigor Lamezia beat CastrumFavara 2-0 in the Serie D - Girone I on 4 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.05
X
28%3.20
2
29%3.12
Double Chance
1X
71%1.29
X2
57%1.59
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

73'
82'
90+3'

Team Comparison

Vigor LameziaVigor Lamezia
CastrumFavaraCastrumFavara
1476Elo Rating 1438
1.67Attack 0.69
1.36Defense 1.58
44%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

Vigor LameziaVigor Lamezia
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
CastrumFavaraCastrumFavara
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Vigor LameziaVigor Lamezia0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
CastrumFavaraCastrumFavara1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Serie D - Girone I15/03/2026
Vigor LameziaCastrumFavara
12
Serie D - Girone I02/11/2025
CastrumFavaraVigor Lamezia
11

Recent Form

Vigor LameziaVigor Lamezia
1W5D4L
27/09/2026
SambiaseVigor Lamezia
41
L
20/09/2026
Vigor LameziaReggina
03
L
16/09/2026
RagusaVigor Lamezia
11
D
12/09/2026
Vigor LameziaIgea Virtus
22
D
06/09/2026
NissaVigor Lamezia
31
L
03/05/2026
Vigor LameziaIgea Virtus
41
W
26/04/2026
SancataldeseVigor Lamezia
11
D
19/04/2026
Vigor LameziaMessina
11
D
15/04/2026
MilazzoVigor Lamezia
00
D
12/04/2026
Vigor LameziaSavoia
12
L
CastrumFavaraCastrumFavara
4W3D3L
27/09/2026
CastrumFavaraCalcio Avola
01
L
20/09/2026
ModicaCastrumFavara
10
L
16/09/2026
CastrumFavaraLicata
11
D
13/09/2026
GelaCastrumFavara
21
L
06/09/2026
CastrumFavaraMilazzo
30
W
03/05/2026
CastrumFavaraEnna
22
D
26/04/2026
PaternòCastrumFavara
13
W
19/04/2026
CastrumFavaraGela
31
W
12/04/2026
AC PalermoCastrumFavara
03
W
02/04/2026
CastrumFavaraAcireale
11
D

League Table

Serie D - Girone I 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SambiaseSambiase962113:6+720WDWLW
2RegginaReggina861118:3+1519WDLWW
3ViboneseVibonese953120:8+1218WDDWW
4LicataLicata952212:14-217LWWWW
5Calcio AvolaCalcio Avola951312:12016LDWWW
6MilazzoMilazzo951310:10016WWDWL
7Digiesse PraiaTortoraDigiesse PraiaTortora943215:8+715WLWLW
8Igea VirtusIgea Virtus943221:17+415DWLDL
9AC PalermoAC Palermo832311:10+111WLDWL
10GelaGela924310:8+29WDDDL
11NissaNissa923411:13-29LLDDL
12SiracusaSiracusa943213:8+58DLWLW
13Vigor LameziaVigor Lamezia922510:17-78LWLWL
14CastrumFavaraCastrumFavara82158:10-27LWLLL
15ModicaModica82157:11-47LLWLW
16Trapani 1905Trapani 190593155:12-75DWLWW
17RagusaRagusa90367:16-93LLDLL
18EnnaEnna90272:22-202DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SambiaseSambiase913:620
2RegginaReggina818:319
3ViboneseVibonese920:818
4LicataLicata912:1417
5Calcio AvolaCalcio Avola912:1216
6MilazzoMilazzo910:1016
7Digiesse PraiaTortoraDigiesse PraiaTortora915:815
8Igea VirtusIgea Virtus921:1715
9AC PalermoAC Palermo811:1011
10GelaGela910:89
11NissaNissa911:139
12SiracusaSiracusa913:88
13Vigor LameziaVigor Lamezia910:178
14CastrumFavaraCastrumFavara88:107
15ModicaModica87:117
16Trapani 1905Trapani 190595:125
17RagusaRagusa97:163
18EnnaEnna92:222
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About the Vigor Lamezia vs CastrumFavara forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vigor Lamezia and CastrumFavara in the Serie D - Girone I table

Vigor Lamezia and CastrumFavara are close in the Serie D - Girone I table, 13th and 14th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Vigor Lamezia 10-17, CastrumFavara 8-10. The full standings are on the Serie D - Girone I Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vigor Lamezia and CastrumFavara have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.