Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce Prediction

Villa Nova
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Valeriodoce
Estadio Municipal Castor Cifuentes, Nova Lima 18/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+4.7%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.47
SignalHIGHModel35%SurpriseHighGap+12.2%
Villa Nova Rest
6 days
Valeriodoce Rest
6 days

Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce: the result in context

Villa Nova and Valeriodoce drew 1-1 in the Mineiro - 2 on 18 Jul 2026. Valeriodoce had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Villa Nova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.38
X
23%2.71
2
50%3.15
Double Chance
1X
50%1.30
X2
73%1.47
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.21
No
56%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.57
Over 2.5
37%2.75
Over 3.5
18%5.70
Under 1.5
37%2.23
Under 2.5
63%1.36
Under 3.5
82%1.08
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

80'Ze Arthur
90+2'Matheus Batista

Team Comparison

Villa NovaVilla Nova
ValeriodoceValeriodoce
1491Elo Rating 1563
1.43Attack 0.56
1.92Defense 2.50
58%Hit Rate 34%

Game State Tendencies

Villa NovaVilla Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ValeriodoceValeriodoce
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Villa NovaVilla Nova0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
ValeriodoceValeriodoce1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Mineiro - 212/07/2026
ValeriodoceVilla Nova
10
Mineiro - 230/05/2026
Villa NovaValeriodoce
22

Recent Form

Villa NovaVilla Nova
4W2D4L
12/07/2026
ValeriodoceVilla Nova
10
L
04/07/2026
Villa NovaAymorés
11
D
01/07/2026
CoimbraVilla Nova
21
L
27/06/2026
Villa NovaIpatinga
60
W
24/06/2026
Democrata SLVilla Nova
10
L
21/06/2026
Villa NovaDemocrata SL
21
W
17/06/2026
IpatingaVilla Nova
01
W
13/06/2026
Villa NovaCoimbra
32
W
06/06/2026
AymorésVilla Nova
21
L
30/05/2026
Villa NovaValeriodoce
22
D
ValeriodoceValeriodoce
5W5D0L
12/07/2026
ValeriodoceVilla Nova
10
W
05/07/2026
CoimbraValeriodoce
00
D
02/07/2026
ValeriodoceDemocrata SL
10
W
28/06/2026
AymorésValeriodoce
01
W
24/06/2026
ValeriodoceIpatinga
11
D
20/06/2026
IpatingaValeriodoce
01
W
18/06/2026
ValeriodoceAymorés
00
D
13/06/2026
Democrata SLValeriodoce
12
W
07/06/2026
ValeriodoceCoimbra
00
D
30/05/2026
Villa NovaValeriodoce
22
D

Bracket

Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final

League Table

Mineiro - 2 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1UberabaUberaba1072117:9+823WWWWW
2ValeriodoceValeriodoce105509:4+520WDWWD
3Democrata SLDemocrata SL1052319:10+917DWLWW
4BOABOA1052312:9+317WWLDD
5AymorésAymorés1044217:9+816DDWLD
6Villa NovaVilla Nova1042417:12+514LDLWL
7CAPCAP103349:9012LLWLD
8MamoréMamoré103348:9-112WLDDW
9Guarani MGGuarani MG1033412:14-212LWDWL
10CoimbraCoimbra1024412:12010LDWLD
11CaldenseCaldense101366:14-86LLLLL
12IpatingaIpatinga101186:33-274WLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1UberabaUberaba1017:923
2ValeriodoceValeriodoce109:420
3Democrata SLDemocrata SL1019:1017
4BOABOA1012:917
5AymorésAymorés1017:916
6Villa NovaVilla Nova1017:1214
7CAPCAP109:912
8MamoréMamoré108:912
9Guarani MGGuarani MG1012:1412
10CoimbraCoimbra1012:1210
11CaldenseCaldense106:146
12IpatingaIpatinga106:334

About the Villa Nova vs Valeriodoce forecast

As a knockout tie in the Mineiro - 2, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Villa Nova and Valeriodoce in the Mineiro - 2 table

In the Mineiro - 2 table, Valeriodoce are 2nd and Villa Nova 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Villa Nova 17-12, Valeriodoce 9-4. The full standings are on the Mineiro - 2 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Villa Nova and Valeriodoce have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.