Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 Prediction

Wealdstone
2-2
After Penalties
HT 0-0AET 0-0PEN 3-2
Derby County U21
Grosvenor Vale, London 03/11/2026
WealdstoneWealdstone
2-2
After Penalties
Derby County U21Derby County U21

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Wealdstone Rest
3 days
Derby County U21 Rest
1 day

Wealdstone vs Derby County U21: the result in context

Wealdstone beat Derby County U21 on penalties (3-2) after a 2-2 draw in the National League Cup on 3 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: Wealdstone had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Derby County U21.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
56%1.50
X
21%4.33
2
23%5.00
Double Chance
1X
77%1.13
X2
44%2.36
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'R. Harvey
31'A. Kanu INM. Pavic out
46'J. Newton INZ. Campbell out
46'D. Kadji IND. Banjoko out
46'C. McAvoy INK. Fernandes out
54'M. Mintus INS. Kane out
56'A. Kaunda
60'K. Smith INS. Atem out
64'C. Smith
65'C. Uchenna
75'J. Connor INJ. Osong out
76'J. Oguntolu
79'D. BanjokoAssist: C. Lee
86'C. Wilson INT. Olofingbuaro out
90'M. Pavic
90+1'J. Oguntolu(Penalty)

Penalty Shootout3 - 2

1J. Oguntolu(Penalty)
1A. Kaunda(Penalty)
2F. Jones(Penalty)
2C. Lee(Penalty)
3C. Smith(Penalty missed)
3C. Uchenna(Penalty)
4J. Osong(Penalty missed)
4(Penalty missed)
5(Penalty missed)

Team Comparison

WealdstoneWealdstone
Derby County U21Derby County U21
1505Elo Rating 1517
1.96Attack 2.59
0.93Defense 0.31
63%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

WealdstoneWealdstone
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.3 in first half)
Derby County U21Derby County U21
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

Derby County U21Derby County U21
3W1D6L
02/11/2026
Hull City U21Derby County U21
10
L
26/10/2026
Derby County U21Norwich City U21
34
L
19/10/2026
Birmingham City U21Derby County U21
04
W
13/10/2026
ScunthorpeDerby County U21
4232
L
10/10/2026
Brentford U21Derby County U21
42
L
18/09/2026
Burnley U21Derby County U21
41
L
11/09/2026
Derby County U21Tottenham Hotspur U21
13
L
08/09/2026
GatesheadDerby County U21
13
W
31/08/2026
Derby County U21West Bromwich Albion U21
44
D
24/08/2026
Reading U21Derby County U21
13
W

About the Wealdstone vs Derby County U21 forecast

The forecasts for this National League Cup match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About National League Cup

More National League Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the National League Cup Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Wealdstone and Derby County U21 have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.