West Torrens Birkalla vs Sturt Lions Prediction

Jack Smith Park 26/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel75%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
60%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel54%SurpriseMediumGap+8.2%
West Torrens Birkalla Rest
6 days
Sturt Lions Rest
6 days

West Torrens Birkalla vs Sturt Lions: result, form and history

West Torrens Birkalla beat Sturt Lions 4-1 in the South Australia NPL on 26 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 5.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.75
X
22%3.85
2
18%3.65
Double Chance
1X
81%1.22
X2
40%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.40
No
49%2.64
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.09 + 1.14 = 3.23
Over 1.5
84%1.10
Over 2.5
66%1.40
Over 3.5
44%1.99
Under 1.5
16%5.40
Under 2.5
34%2.62
Under 3.5
56%1.73
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'J. Diamantis
11'G. Blackwood
29'G. Blackwood
83'G. Blackwood
89'J. D'Arrigo

Team Comparison

West Torrens BirkallaWest Torrens Birkalla
Sturt LionsSturt Lions
1558Elo Rating 1386
2.56Attack 0.96
1.76Defense 1.67
54%Hit Rate 17%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+172 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.23 goals
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

West Torrens BirkallaWest Torrens Birkalla
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Sturt LionsSturt Lions
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

West Torrens BirkallaWest Torrens Birkalla2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
Sturt LionsSturt Lions1Wins · 33%
5.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
100%3+ goals3 of 3

Previous meetings

South Australia NPL28/03/2026
Sturt LionsWest Torrens Birkalla
24
South Australia NPL04/06/2022
Sturt LionsWest Torrens Birkalla
42
South Australia NPL26/02/2022
West Torrens BirkallaSturt Lions
30

Recent Form

West Torrens BirkallaWest Torrens Birkalla
5W2D3L
20/06/2026
FK BeogradWest Torrens Birkalla
20
L
12/06/2026
Campbelltown CityWest Torrens Birkalla
12
W
05/06/2026
West Torrens BirkallaCroydon Kings
10
W
29/05/2026
West Torrens BirkallaAdelaide Comets
41
W
23/05/2026
Adelaide United IIWest Torrens Birkalla
30
L
16/05/2026
West AdelaideWest Torrens Birkalla
12
W
08/05/2026
West Torrens BirkallaPlayford City Patriots
33
D
01/05/2026
West Torrens BirkallaAdelaide City
10
W
17/04/2026
Croydon KingsWest Torrens Birkalla
42
L
10/04/2026
West Torrens BirkallaMetroStars
00
D
Sturt LionsSturt Lions
3W0D7L
20/06/2026
Sturt LionsPara Hills Knights
60
W
13/06/2026
MetroStarsSturt Lions
10
L
05/06/2026
Adelaide CitySturt Lions
41
L
30/05/2026
Sturt LionsFK Beograd
21
W
23/05/2026
Campbelltown CitySturt Lions
20
L
16/05/2026
Sturt LionsCroydon Kings
02
L
08/05/2026
Adelaide CometsSturt Lions
21
L
02/05/2026
Sturt LionsAdelaide United II
23
L
18/04/2026
Sturt LionsAdelaide City
10
W
11/04/2026
Playford City PatriotsSturt Lions
21
L

League Table

South Australia NPL 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Adelaide CityAdelaide City22146244:16+2848WWWWD
2West Torrens BirkallaWest Torrens Birkalla22143554:29+2545WWWLW
3MetroStarsMetroStars22135453:23+3044WWDLL
4Playford City PatriotsPlayford City Patriots22105742:31+1135WLLWW
5FK BeogradFK Beograd22103935:30+533LLWLL
6Croydon KingsCroydon Kings2286846:41+530LDLDD
7Adelaide United IIAdelaide United II2278733:32+129LWDLW
8Campbelltown CityCampbelltown City2285935:36-129WWLDW
9Sturt LionsSturt Lions22831135:36-127LDDWD
10West AdelaideWest Adelaide2267940:44-425LLWWD
11Adelaide CometsAdelaide Comets22551225:38-1320WDLWL
12Para Hills KnightsPara Hills Knights22022016:102-862LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Adelaide CityAdelaide City2244:1648
2West Torrens BirkallaWest Torrens Birkalla2254:2945
3MetroStarsMetroStars2253:2344
4Playford City PatriotsPlayford City Patriots2242:3135
5FK BeogradFK Beograd2235:3033
6Croydon KingsCroydon Kings2246:4130
7Adelaide United IIAdelaide United II2233:3229
8Campbelltown CityCampbelltown City2235:3629
9Sturt LionsSturt Lions2235:3627
10West AdelaideWest Adelaide2240:4425
11Adelaide CometsAdelaide Comets2225:3820
12Para Hills KnightsPara Hills Knights2216:1022

About the West Torrens Birkalla vs Sturt Lions forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

West Torrens Birkalla and Sturt Lions in the South Australia NPL table

The table shows a wide gap: West Torrens Birkalla are 2nd in the South Australia NPL, while Sturt Lions sit 9th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: West Torrens Birkalla 54-29, Sturt Lions 35-36. The full standings are on the South Australia NPL Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.