Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green Prediction

11/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
75%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.36
SignalHIGHModel32%SurpriseHighGap+8.8%
Western Mass Pioneers Rest
3 days
Vermont Green Rest
3 days

Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green: the result in context

Vermont Green beat Western Mass Pioneers 4-2 in the USL League Two on 11 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Vermont Green had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Western Mass Pioneers.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%4.40
X
28%4.25
2
42%1.55
Double Chance
1X
58%2.23
X2
70%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
69%1.43
No
31%2.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.61 + 2.09 = 3.70
Over 1.5
89%1.11
Over 2.5
74%1.36
Over 3.5
56%1.94
Under 1.5
11%5.40
Under 2.5
26%2.78
Under 3.5
44%1.73
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Western Mass PioneersWestern Mass Pioneers
Vermont GreenVermont Green
1601Elo Rating 1817
1.66Attack 4.15
1.56Defense 2.50
54%Hit Rate 100%
8.4Shots per Game -
2.7Shots on Target -
4.0Corners per Game -
0.6Cards per Game -

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.7 goals
📈BTTS Trend38% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Western Mass PioneersWestern Mass Pioneers
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Vermont GreenVermont Green
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Western Mass PioneersWestern Mass Pioneers3Wins · 38%
Draws225%
Vermont GreenVermont Green3Wins · 37%
2.3Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

USL League Two12/07/2025
Western Mass PioneersVermont Green
22
USL League Two18/06/2025
Vermont GreenWestern Mass Pioneers
20
USL League Two14/07/2024
Western Mass PioneersVermont Green
13
USL League Two16/06/2024
Vermont GreenWestern Mass Pioneers
00
USL League Two08/07/2023
Western Mass PioneersVermont Green
10
USL League Two18/06/2023
Vermont GreenWestern Mass Pioneers
01
USL League Two18/07/2022
Vermont GreenWestern Mass Pioneers
10
USL League Two26/06/2022
Western Mass PioneersVermont Green
32

Recent Form

Western Mass PioneersWestern Mass Pioneers
6W3D1L
08/07/2026
AC ConnecticutWestern Mass Pioneers
02
W
04/07/2026
Western Mass PioneersBlack Rock
11
D
01/07/2026
Boston BoltsWestern Mass Pioneers
12
W
27/06/2026
Western Mass PioneersAC Connecticut
10
W
24/06/2026
Blackwatch RushWestern Mass Pioneers
43
L
20/06/2026
Western Mass PioneersBoston Bolts
22
D
18/06/2026
Connecticut RushWestern Mass Pioneers
01
W
11/06/2026
Boston CityWestern Mass Pioneers
25
W
04/06/2026
Black RockWestern Mass Pioneers
00
D
30/05/2026
Western Mass PioneersConnecticut Rush
10
W
Vermont GreenVermont Green
9W1D0L
08/07/2026
Vermont GreenConnecticut Rush
62
W
01/07/2026
New England FCVermont Green
04
W
27/06/2026
Vermont GreenBlack Rock
31
W
24/06/2026
Boston CityVermont Green
14
W
21/06/2026
Vermont GreenBoston City
101
W
17/06/2026
Vermont GreenSeacoast United Phantoms
22
D
14/06/2026
Vermont GreenNew England FC
50
W
11/06/2026
AC ConnecticutVermont Green
14
W
03/06/2026
Vermont GreenBoston Bolts
50
W
28/05/2026
Black RockVermont Green
12
W

About the Western Mass Pioneers vs Vermont Green forecast

The forecasts for this USL League Two match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About USL League Two

More USL League Two fixtures and forecasts are on the USL League Two Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Vermont Green have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.