Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena Prediction

Xerez
0-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Ciudad de Lucena
18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.2%
Xerez Rest
8 days
Ciudad de Lucena Rest
7 days

Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena: the result in context

Ciudad de Lucena beat Xerez 1-0 in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 on 18 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Ciudad de Lucena had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Xerez.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%1.91
X
28%2.95
2
25%3.75
Double Chance
1X
75%1.22
X2
53%1.71
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

88'

Team Comparison

XerezXerez
Ciudad de LucenaCiudad de Lucena
1501Elo Rating 1578
0.62Attack 2.14
2.14Defense 2.07
19%Hit Rate 73%

Game State Tendencies

XerezXerez
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
Ciudad de LucenaCiudad de Lucena
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.9 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Recent Form

XerezXerez
2W6D2L
10/10/2026
Real Betis IIXerez
11
D
04/10/2026
XerezTenerife II
21
W
27/09/2026
Recreativo HuelvaXerez
10
L
20/09/2026
XerezDon Benito
00
D
13/09/2026
XerezBadajoz
12
L
05/09/2026
EsteponaXerez
00
D
14/08/2026
PortuenseXerez
00
D
17/05/2026
ConquenseXerez
0000
D
09/05/2026
XerezConquense
11
D
03/05/2026
XerezUcam Murcia
10
W
Ciudad de LucenaCiudad de Lucena
3W2D4L
11/10/2026
Ciudad de LucenaDon Benito
42
W
04/10/2026
Ciudad de LucenaPuente Genil
10
W
27/09/2026
AntonianoCiudad de Lucena
03
W
20/09/2026
Ciudad de LucenaTenerife II
12
L
13/09/2026
Mijas Las LagunasCiudad de Lucena
11
D
06/09/2026
Linares DeportivoCiudad de Lucena
11
D
29/10/2025
Ciudad de LucenaVillarreal
06
L
30/10/2024
Ciudad de LucenaLeganes
12
L
15/12/2020
Ciudad de LucenaSevilla
03
L

League Table

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Recreativo HuelvaRecreativo Huelva852118:7+1117WDDWW
2Real Betis IIReal Betis II843112:5+715DLDWW
3Ciudad de LucenaCiudad de Lucena843114:8+615DWWWW
4BadajozBadajoz84318:5+315DWWDD
5Don BenitoDon Benito842214:11+314DWLLW
6Mijas Las LagunasMijas Las Lagunas834117:13+413DWWDW
7Sevilla AtleticoSevilla Atletico833214:12+212WDLDL
8EsteponaEstepona833212:11+112DDWWL
9Linares DeportivoLinares Deportivo83329:9012DDWWL
10Puente GenilPuente Genil83238:6+211DWWLD
11SanluqueñoSanluqueño824214:12+210WLDDL
12Tenerife IITenerife II831411:13-210LLDLW
13XerezXerez82335:6-19WLDWL
14Atlético CentralAtlético Central830511:15-49WLLLW
15MarbellaMarbella81346:10-46LDLLD
16TamaraceiteTamaraceite82067:15-86LWLWL
17Las Palmas IILas Palmas II81254:15-115LLDLD
18AntonianoAntoniano80356:17-113LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Recreativo HuelvaRecreativo Huelva818:717
2Real Betis IIReal Betis II812:515
3Ciudad de LucenaCiudad de Lucena814:815
4BadajozBadajoz88:515
5Don BenitoDon Benito814:1114
6Mijas Las LagunasMijas Las Lagunas817:1313
7Sevilla AtleticoSevilla Atletico814:1212
8EsteponaEstepona812:1112
9Linares DeportivoLinares Deportivo89:912
10Puente GenilPuente Genil88:611
11SanluqueñoSanluqueño814:1210
12Tenerife IITenerife II811:1310
13XerezXerez85:69
14Atlético CentralAtlético Central811:159
15MarbellaMarbella86:106
16TamaraceiteTamaraceite87:156
17Las Palmas IILas Palmas II84:155
18AntonianoAntoniano86:173

About the Xerez vs Ciudad de Lucena forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Xerez and Ciudad de Lucena in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table

In the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 table, Ciudad de Lucena are 3rd and Xerez 13th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Xerez 5-6, Ciudad de Lucena 14-8. The full standings are on the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4 Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ciudad de Lucena have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Xerez and Ciudad de Lucena have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.