Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring Prediction

Yanji Nationwide Fitness Centre Stadium, Yanji 04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
78%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.20
SignalHIGHModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-5.4%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.63
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseHighGap+5.5%
Yanbian Longding Rest
6 days
Heilongjiang Lava Spring Rest
5 days

Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: result, form and history

Yanbian Longding beat Heilongjiang Lava Spring 3-0 in the League One on 4 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: Yanbian Longding had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Heilongjiang Lava Spring.

Their 6 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 4 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.95
X
30%3.15
2
22%3.80
Double Chance
1X
78%1.20
X2
52%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.91
No
56%1.76
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.36
Over 2.5
38%2.13
Over 3.5
18%3.90
Under 1.5
36%2.87
Under 2.5
62%1.63
Under 3.5
82%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'Piao ShihaoAssist: Giovanny
17'Zhu JiaxuanFoul
42'Wang ZihaoFoul
46'Hu Jiajin INM. Petrov out
46'Cheng Yetong INHao Yucheng out
61'Zhu Jiaxuan INZhang Zimin out
66'Ma ChenghaoFoul
68'Huang ZhenfeiFoul
75'F. BrownAssist: Huang Zhenfei
81'Fan Bojian INZhu Mingxin out
86'Huang Zhenfei INLi Ximin out
87'Wang Zihao INYang Erhai out
90+2'Giovanny(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding
Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1536Elo Rating 1416
1.84Attack 0.78
2.46Defense 2.04
69%Hit Rate 19%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+120 Elo
📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding3Wins · 50%
Draws233%
Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring1Wins · 17%
2.7Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored4 of 6
50%3+ goals3 of 6

Previous meetings

League One04/10/2025
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
21
League One26/05/2025
Yanbian LongdingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
30
League One21/09/2024
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
01
League One04/05/2024
Yanbian LongdingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
32
League One10/10/2023
Heilongjiang Lava SpringYanbian Longding
11
League One18/06/2023
Yanbian LongdingHeilongjiang Lava Spring
11

Recent Form

Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding
3W5D2L
27/06/2026
Dongguan UnitedYanbian Longding
02
W
14/06/2026
Nantong ZhiyunYanbian Longding
20
L
30/05/2026
Yanbian LongdingChangchun Yatai
22
D
24/05/2026
Guangzhou E-PowerYanbian Longding
34
W
16/05/2026
Shanghai SecondYanbian Longding
10
L
10/05/2026
Yanbian LongdingGuangxi Hengchen
11
D
02/05/2026
Yanbian LongdingWuxi Wugou
11
D
25/04/2026
Yanbian LongdingShaanxi Union
00
D
18/04/2026
Yanbian LongdingNingbo Professional
00
D
12/04/2026
Dalian HuayiYanbian Longding
12
W
Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring
2W5D3L
28/06/2026
Heilongjiang Lava SpringWuxi Wugou
33
D
13/06/2026
Heilongjiang Lava SpringGuangzhou E-Power
13
L
30/05/2026
Meizhou KejiaHeilongjiang Lava Spring
22
D
23/05/2026
Dongguan UnitedHeilongjiang Lava Spring
11
D
17/05/2026
Shanghai ZetianHeilongjiang Lava Spring
42
L
09/05/2026
Heilongjiang Lava SpringChangchun Yatai
23
L
02/05/2026
Heilongjiang Lava SpringShaanxi Union
11
D
25/04/2026
Suzhou DongwuHeilongjiang Lava Spring
01
W
19/04/2026
Hebei KungfuHeilongjiang Lava Spring
12
W
12/04/2026
Heilongjiang Lava SpringNanjing City
11
D

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Guangzhou E-PowerGuangzhou E-Power30188458:31+2762LDDLW
2Nantong ZhiyunNantong Zhiyun30169540:22+1857WLWWW
3Shaanxi UnionShaanxi Union30156957:30+2751WWLWW
4Guangxi HengchenGuangxi Hengchen30138946:39+747LLLDD
5Shenzhen JuniorsShenzhen Juniors301211743:36+747LDLDD
6Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding301210843:31+1246DWWWL
7Wuxi WugouWuxi Wugou301271146:35+1143DWWLW
8Hebei KungfuHebei Kungfu301191031:30+142DDWLD
9Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai301271147:46+139DWWDD
10Ningbo ProfessionalNingbo Professional301171236:37-137WWLDD
11Dalian HuayiDalian Huayi309101138:43-537WLWDD
12Nanjing CityNanjing City30971432:40-834WWWWD
13Suzhou DongwuSuzhou Dongwu308111136:42-632WLDDD
14Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring305131240:53-1328LDLWL
15Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia30741926:63-3716LLLLL
16Dongguan UnitedDongguan United30372030:71-4116LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Guangzhou E-PowerGuangzhou E-Power3058:3162
2Nantong ZhiyunNantong Zhiyun3040:2257
3Shaanxi UnionShaanxi Union3057:3051
4Guangxi HengchenGuangxi Hengchen3046:3947
5Shenzhen JuniorsShenzhen Juniors3043:3647
6Yanbian LongdingYanbian Longding3043:3146
7Wuxi WugouWuxi Wugou3046:3543
8Hebei KungfuHebei Kungfu3031:3042
9Changchun YataiChangchun Yatai3047:4639
10Ningbo ProfessionalNingbo Professional3036:3737
11Dalian HuayiDalian Huayi3038:4337
12Nanjing CityNanjing City3032:4034
13Suzhou DongwuSuzhou Dongwu3036:4232
14Heilongjiang Lava SpringHeilongjiang Lava Spring3040:5328
15Meizhou KejiaMeizhou Kejia3026:6316
16Dongguan UnitedDongguan United3030:7116
PromotionRelegation

About the Yanbian Longding vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Yanbian Longding and Heilongjiang Lava Spring in the League One table

In the League One table, Yanbian Longding are 6th and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 14th, 18 points apart. League goal record so far: Yanbian Longding 43-31, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 40-53. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.