Zambia vs Togo Prediction

Zambia
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Togo
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola·Ali Mahmood Mahmood Ismail 29/09/2026
ZambiaZambia
2-0
Finished
TogoTogo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseHighGap-6.1%
Zambia Rest
3 days
Togo Rest
4 days

Zambia vs Togo: the result in context

Zambia beat Togo 2-0 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 29 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Togo had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Zambia.

Togo tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 4.5 for Zambia.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%1.93
X
28%3.00
2
23%3.90
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
51%1.75
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. KangwandaAssist: Fashion Sakala
45'Mathews BandaFoul
45'samsondin ouro INKodjo Jean Claude out
45'Obino Chisala INJoseph Liteta out
45+6'Abdoul Sabourh BodeFoul
56'Miguel Changa Chaiwa INOwen Tembo out
57'Abdoul Sabourh Bode INAtte youssifou out
64'David Simukonda INLameck Banda out
64'Loic·Bessile INLaba Kodjo out
72'Kingstone Mutandwa INEliya Mandanji out
73'Fashion Sakala INGhampani Lungu out
74'Charles Abi INZuberu Sharani out
76'Patrice NeveuDissent
90'Owen TemboFoul
90+5'Eliya MandanjiAssist: Mathews Banda

Lineups

Zambia
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Sichone
Togo
3-4-3Coach: P. Neveu
Avg rating6.60
Avg rating6.28
11W. Mwanza
M. Banda6.115M. Banda
66R. Chanda
Dominic Chanda6.621D. Chanda
D. Hamansenya6.522D. Hamansenya
M. Chaiwa6.75M. Chaiwa
33O. Chisala
1111A. Kangwanda
David Simukonda5.928D. Simukonda
F. Sakala7.010F. Sakala
K. Mutandwa6.07K. Mutandwa
M. Barcola6.116M. Barcola
K. Boma6.92K. Boma
S. Nador6.85S. Nador
L. Bessilé6.53L. Bessilé
H. Koudossou5.819H. Koudossou
D. Dakonam6.321D. Dakonam
S. Ouro6.06S. Ouro
88A. Sabourh Bode
C. Abi5.911C. Abi
K. Denkey6.610K. Denkey
D. Karim6.417D. Karim

Zambia Substitutes

14Given Kalusa
19Chanka Zimba
9L. Banda64'for David Simukonda6.9
26J. Liteta45'replaced by Obino Chisala6.9
24G. Lungu73'for Fashion Sakala6.6
27Eliya Mandanji72'replaced by Kingstone Mutandwa90+5'
16Tresford Lawrence Mulenga
4Owen Mwamba
23Pascal Phiri
2Tinklar Sinkala
12Wilson Chisala
25Owen Tembo56'replaced by Miguel Changa Chaiwa90'

Togo Substitutes

22G. Akueson
12Atte youssifou57'replaced by Abdoul Sabourh Bode
15K. Aziangbe45'for samsondin ouro6.2
20S. Fofana
13Komlavi Komi
9K. Laba64'for Loic·Bessile6.6
1S. Mensah
7P. Nadjombe
14M. Ouro-Tagba
23Achirafou Yaya
4S. Zuberu74'for Charles Abi6.1
18I. Akakpo

Match Stats

ZambiaTogo
39%Ball Possession61%
7Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots12
4Shots on Goal1
4Shots off Goal6
6Shots Inside Box9
5Shots Outside Box3
3Blocked Shots5
17Fouls12
1Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
240Total Passes378
153Passes Accurate280
11Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

ZambiaZambia
TogoTogo
1526Elo Rating 1434
1.07Attack 0.37
1.56Defense 2.30
41%Hit Rate 37%
9.1Shots per Game 12.5
2.2Shots on Target 1.9
4.5Corners per Game 6.8
2.5Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZambiaZambia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
TogoTogo
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)

Recent Form

ZambiaZambia
1W2D7L
25/09/2026
AlgeriaZambia
31
L
29/12/2025
ZambiaMorocco
03
L
26/12/2025
ZambiaComoros
00
D
22/12/2025
MaliZambia
11
D
12/10/2025
ZambiaNiger
01
L
08/10/2025
TanzaniaZambia
01
W
08/09/2025
ZambiaMorocco
02
L
17/08/2025
ZambiaKenya
01
L
14/08/2025
MoroccoZambia
31
L
10/08/2025
ZambiaAngola
12
L
TogoTogo
3W4D3L
25/09/2026
TogoBurundi
10
W
09/06/2026
TogoBenin
51
W
05/06/2026
Central African RepublicTogo
11
D
13/10/2025
South SudanTogo
00
D
10/10/2025
TogoCongo DR
01
L
09/09/2025
TogoSudan
10
W
05/09/2025
MauritaniaTogo
20
L
25/03/2025
SenegalTogo
20
L
22/03/2025
TogoMauritania
22
D
27/12/2024
NigerTogo
00
D

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlgeriaAlgeria21105:3+24DW
2ZambiaZambia21013:303WL
3TogoTogo21011:2-13LW
4BurundiBurundi20112:3-11WW
#TeamMPGPts
1AlgeriaAlgeria25:34
2ZambiaZambia23:33
3TogoTogo21:23
4BurundiBurundi22:31
Promotion

About the Zambia vs Togo forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification

More Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification fixtures and forecasts are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Zambia and Togo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.