Zrinjski vs Velež Prediction

Zrinjski
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Velež
Stadion pod Bijelim Brijegom, Mostar·I. Peljto 19/09/2026
ZrinjskiZrinjski
2-0
Finished
VeležVelež

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.5 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.25
SignalHIGHModel77%SurpriseMediumGap-3.3%
Zrinjski Rest
6 days
Velež Rest
5 days

Zrinjski vs Velež: the result in context

Zrinjski beat Velež 2-0 in the Premijer Liga on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Zrinjski had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Velež.

Zrinjski have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.7 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
78%1.25
X
16%4.70
2
6%9.48
Double Chance
1X
94%1.04
X2
22%3.35
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'N. Bilbija
37'D. Lagumdzija INM. Cavar out
48'M. Abdallah
56'A. Omerovic
60'V. Grbic
70'K. Djuliman IND. Halilovic out
82'A. Ilic
83'S. Duranovic INF. Dzevahiric out
83'M. Rahimic INA. Bajric out
88'H. Ljukovac

Team Comparison

ZrinjskiZrinjski
VeležVelež
1709Elo Rating 1462
3.30Attack 0.89
2.49Defense 1.68
100%Hit Rate 27%
3.8Shots on Target -
5.2Corners per Game -
1.6Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+247 Elo
🔥Derby Match

Game State Tendencies

ZrinjskiZrinjski
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
VeležVelež
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ZrinjskiZrinjski8Wins · 80%
Draws220%
VeležVelež0Wins · 0%
1.7Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Premijer Liga26/05/2026
ZrinjskiVelež
30
Cup13/05/2026
VeležZrinjski
11
Cup06/05/2026
ZrinjskiVelež
10
Premijer Liga03/04/2026
VeležZrinjski
01
Premijer Liga07/12/2025
ZrinjskiVelež
11
Premijer Liga27/09/2025
VeležZrinjski
13
Premijer Liga03/05/2025
VeležZrinjski
01
Premijer Liga01/03/2025
ZrinjskiVelež
10
Premijer Liga28/09/2024
VeležZrinjski
01
Premijer Liga13/04/2024
ZrinjskiVelež
10

Recent Form

ZrinjskiZrinjski
7W1D2L
12/09/2026
Borac Banja LukaZrinjski
10
L
06/09/2026
ZrinjskiSiroki Brijeg
21
W
01/09/2026
ZrinjskiBSK Banja Luka
31
W
29/08/2026
FK SarajevoZrinjski
01
W
23/08/2026
ZrinjskiZeljeznicar Sarajevo
20
W
16/08/2026
Radnik BijeljinaZrinjski
15
W
09/08/2026
ZrinjskiČelik
21
W
30/07/2026
ZrinjskiValur Reykjavik
22
D
23/07/2026
Valur ReykjavikZrinjski
10
L
26/05/2026
ZrinjskiVelež
30
W
VeležVelež
3W1D6L
13/09/2026
VeležFK Sarajevo
10
W
06/09/2026
Zeljeznicar SarajevoVelež
31
L
02/09/2026
VeležRadnik Bijeljina
11
D
28/08/2026
ČelikVelež
30
L
22/08/2026
VeležSloga Doboj
20
W
16/08/2026
BSK Banja LukaVelež
20
L
09/08/2026
Borac Banja LukaVelež
31
L
30/07/2026
VeležDunajska Streda
03
L
23/07/2026
Dunajska StredaVelež
10
L
16/07/2026
Milsami OrheiVelež
01
W

Referee Profile

I. Peljto187 matches

4.11Cards per match
3.89Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
23.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

I. Peljto4.11
Other referees4.45

4.11 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.45).

Cards come from 83 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premijer Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ZrinjskiZrinjski12110131:7+2433WWWWW
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka12101127:10+1731WWWWW
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo1254310:7+319DWDDW
4Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg1345413:14-117WLDWD
5BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka1344520:21-116WDWDL
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo1334613:21-813LLLDL
7VeležVelež1233610:18-812DWLDL
8ČelikČelik1325614:20-611DLDLD
9Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina1325619:26-711LWLDW
10Sloga DobojSloga Doboj132388:21-139LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ZrinjskiZrinjski1231:733
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka1227:1031
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo1210:719
4Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg1313:1417
5BSK Banja LukaBSK Banja Luka1320:2116
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo1313:2113
7VeležVelež1210:1812
8ČelikČelik1314:2011
9Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina1319:2611
10Sloga DobojSloga Doboj138:219
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Zrinjski vs Velež forecast

As a derby, this Premijer Liga meeting carries extra weight; the forecasts take that context into account alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Zrinjski and Velež in the Premijer Liga table

The table shows a wide gap: Zrinjski are 1st in the Premijer Liga, while Velež sit 7th, 21 points behind. League goal record so far: Zrinjski 31-7, Velež 10-18. The full standings are on the Premijer Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Zrinjski have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.