A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile Prediction

Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida, Santiago· Cristian Garay, Chile 26/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.75
SignalGOODModel38%RiskHighGap+8.9%
A. Italiano Rest
15 days
Universidad de Chile Rest
21 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.25
X
27%3.28
2
43%2.16
Double Chance
1X
57%1.65
X2
70%1.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.75
No
40%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.21 + 1.29 = 2.50
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
48%1.96
Over 3.5
26%3.40
Under 1.5
29%3.27
Under 2.5
52%1.80
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

19'R. RebolledoFoul
22'A. ArceAssist: Eduardo Vargas
33'B. TamayoFoul
39'P. GuajardoFoul
57'F. MateosAssist: E. Matus
65'I. A. Vasquez Gonzalez INL. Assadi out
65'I. E. Poblete Zuniga INC. Aranguiz out
69'P. Guajardo ING. Chiaverano out
69'C. Pinares INM. Collao out
75'A. Arce INJ. Lucero out
77'Eduardo Vargas
78'F. Mateos INM. Sandoval out
78'M. Fuentes INF. Loyola out
85'B. Soto IND. Coelho out
87'M. G. Guerrero Pena INF. Calderon out
90'J. LuceroFoul

Lineups

A. Italiano
4-3-3Coach: Gustavo Lema
Universidad de Chile
3-1-4-2Coach: Fernando Gago
Tomás Ahumada1T. AhumadaTomás Ahumada
Raimundo Rebolledo35R. RebolledoRaimundo Rebolledo
Enzo Ferrario13E. FerrarioEnzo Ferrario
Daniel Piña4D. PiñaDaniel Piña
Esteban Matus23E. MatusEsteban Matus
César Pinares19C. PinaresCésar Pinares
Bryan Soto32B. SotoBryan Soto
Federico Mateos28F. MateosFederico Mateos
Paolo Guajardo7P. GuajardoPaolo Guajardo
Franco Troyansky11F. TroyanskyFranco Troyansky
Michael Vadulli27M. VadulliMichael Vadulli
Gabriel Castellón25G. CastellónGabriel Castellón
Fabián Hormazábal17F. HormazábalFabián Hormazábal
Nicolás Ramírez5N. RamírezNicolás Ramírez
Bianneider Tamayo31B. TamayoBianneider Tamayo
Lucas Barrera29L. BarreraLucas Barrera
Maximiliano Guerrero7M. GuerreroMaximiliano Guerrero
Israel Poblete8I. PobleteIsrael Poblete
Ignacio Vásquez23I. VásquezIgnacio Vásquez
Marcelo Morales14M. MoralesMarcelo Morales
Eduardo Vargas11E. VargasEduardo Vargas
Agustín Arce28A. ArceAgustín Arce

A. Italiano Substitutes

25Pedro GarridoG
29Marcelo OrtízD
8Marco CollaoM
17Favian LoyolaM
30Ariel UribeM
6Mario SandovalM
16Oliver RojasM
9Diego CoelhoF
21Giovani ChiaveranoF

Universidad de Chile Substitutes

1Cristopher ToselliG
6Nicolás FernándezD
2Franco CalderónD
19Javier AltamiranoM
20Charles AránguizM
21Marcelo DíazM
18Juan Martín LuceroF
10Lucas AssadiM
38Diego CofreF

Match Stats

A. ItalianoUniversidad de Chile
50%Ball Possession50%
2Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots10
5Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box6
5Shots Outside Box4
3Blocked Shots0
11Fouls12
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
388Total Passes379
314Passes Accurate310
81%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
1586Elo Rating 1710
0.83Attack 2.51
1.89Defense 1.68
50%Hit Rate 64%
11.3Shots per Game 14.3
3.1Shots on Target 5.1
4.6Corners per Game 6.3
2.9Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend69% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 0.3 in first half)

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

A. Italiano 39%Draw 46%14% Universidad de Chile
2.69Avg Goals
69%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

A. ItalianoA. Italiano
4W0D1L
11/07/2026
MagallanesA. Italiano
01
W
05/07/2026
Deportes Santa CruzA. Italiano
21
L
01/07/2026
A. ItalianoPalestino
32
W
27/06/2026
A. ItalianoMagallanes
21
W
24/06/2026
PalestinoA. Italiano
12
W
Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile
3W1D1L
05/07/2026
Santiago WanderersUniversidad de Chile
23
W
02/07/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion La Calera
01
L
28/06/2026
Universidad de ChileUnion San Felipe
20
W
25/06/2026
Union La CaleraUniversidad de Chile
33
D
21/06/2026
Universidad de ChileSantiago Wanderers
41
W

Referee Profile

Cristian Garay, Chile · 26 matches analysed

4.7Avg Yellows
5.0Avg Cards
23.5Avg Fouls
Stricter than 75% of referees analysed

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Colo ColoColo Colo23173348:22+2654DDWWD
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica23133750:33+1742WWWWL
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile23126535:19+1642WWLLW
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina23106737:25+1236WLWWD
5PalestinoPalestino23113936:33+336LWLWW
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache231031043:35+833LWWLW
7NublenseNublense2388728:31-332LLLLW
8ConcepciónConcepción23941025:26-131DLWDW
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2379734:38-430LWWDW
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2285931:31029LLLWL
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2377926:31-528WWLDD
12O'HigginsO'Higgins23831228:36-827LWLLD
13HuachipatoHuachipato21741029:39-1025WDLLL
14CobresalCobresal23731334:44-1024WLWDL
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion22641217:37-2022LLWLL
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera23451419:40-2117WLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Colo ColoColo Colo2348:2254
2U. CatolicaU. Catolica2350:3342
3Universidad de ChileUniversidad de Chile2335:1942
4Everton de VinaEverton de Vina2337:2536
5PalestinoPalestino2336:3336
6Deportes LimacheDeportes Limache2343:3533
7NublenseNublense2328:3132
8ConcepciónConcepción2325:2631
9D. La SerenaD. La Serena2334:3830
10Coquimbo UnidoCoquimbo Unido2231:3129
11A. ItalianoA. Italiano2326:3128
12O'HigginsO'Higgins2328:3627
13HuachipatoHuachipato2129:3925
14CobresalCobresal2334:4424
15Universidad de ConcepcionUniversidad de Concepcion2217:3722
16Union La CaleraUnion La Calera2319:4017

A. Italiano vs Universidad de Chile Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera División fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera División

ScorePredicts covers Chile football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

A. Italiano have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. A. Italiano and Universidad de Chile have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.69 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.