AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov Prediction

AF Elbasani
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Bate Borisov
Elbasan Arena, Elbasani·I. Orlic 07/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
61%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.50
SignalNEUTRALModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-6.0%
AF Elbasani Rest
37 days
Bate Borisov Rest
5 days

AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov: result, form and history

AF Elbasani and Bate Borisov drew 1-1 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 7 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.50
X
21%3.80
2
18%6.00
Double Chance
1X
82%1.11
X2
39%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%2.06
No
53%1.67
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.99 = 2.49
Over 1.5
71%1.33
Over 2.5
44%1.98
Over 3.5
21%3.55
Under 1.5
29%3.05
Under 2.5
56%1.75
Under 3.5
79%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'A. Zhurin
45'A. NikajAssist: R. Hebaj
46'A. Zhurin INE. Rusakov out
62'K. Kaplenko INA. Sakhonchik out
65'Y. Epitaux
67'E. RusakovAssist: E. Kress
74'A. Kasa INM. Barjamaj out
74'R. Hebaj INE. Lukoki Mateso out
82'V. Varaksa INK. Apanasevich out
84'I. Diallo INB. Karrica out
84'L. Tresa INI. Boye out
89'A. Nikaj INA. Lleshi out
90+3'E. Puerto INY. Khramtsevich out

Lineups

AF Elbasani
Coach: Ivan Gvozdenovic
Bate Borisov

AF Elbasani Starting XI

24I. Aleksovski
77B. Lila
15Y. Epitaux65'
4B. Lulaj
11K. Kasa
25L. Tresa84'replaced by I. Boye
17A. Ibrahim
18A. Kasa74'replaced by M. Barjamaj
79I. Diallo84'replaced by B. Karrica
9R. Hebaj74'replaced by E. Lukoki Mateso
10A. Nikaj45'89'replaced by A. Lleshi

Bate Borisov Starting XI

16D. Sokol
25N. Neskoromnyi
33A. Rakhmanov
5M. Sakuta
6H. Moussakhanian
55K. Kaplenko62'replaced by A. Sakhonchik
7V. Angban
52E. Kress
26V. Varaksa82'replaced by K. Apanasevich
37E. Puerto90+3'replaced by Y. Khramtsevich
42A. Zhurin12'46'replaced by E. Rusakov

AF Elbasani Substitutes

1K. Totoshi
6D. Dine
8D. Ibraimi
14M. Barjamaj74'for A. Kasa
20B. Karrica84'for I. Diallo
22A. Lleshi89'for A. Nikaj
23E. Lukoki Mateso74'for R. Hebaj
28O. Niang
29J. Zykollari
41A. Borici
70I. Boye84'for L. Tresa

Bate Borisov Substitutes

35A. Skopets
8K. Apanasevich82'for V. Varaksa
9N. Mirskiy
10E. Rusakov46'for A. Zhurin67'
13Y. Khramtsevich90+3'for E. Puerto
14M. Telesh
17P. Kolosovskiy
28I. Mikhnyuk
30A. Yarmolich
44M. Mardas
47A. Sakhonchik62'for K. Kaplenko
88P. Dubovskiy

Team Comparison

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
1549Elo Rating 1438
1.30Attack 0.48
2.03Defense 1.64
50%Hit Rate 14%
-Shots per Game 11.1
-Shots on Target 4.1
-Corners per Game 7.9
-Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+111 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
  • No tendency data available

Recent Form

AF ElbasaniAF Elbasani
5W0D5L
31/05/2026
Vllaznia ShkodërAF Elbasani
12
W
24/05/2026
AF ElbasaniDinamo Tirana
30
W
17/05/2026
AF ElbasaniEgnatia Rrogozhinë
04
L
10/05/2026
AF ElbasaniTirana
13
L
06/05/2026
BylisAF Elbasani
21
L
02/05/2026
VoraAF Elbasani
42
L
27/04/2026
AF ElbasaniVllaznia Shkodër
31
W
22/04/2026
AF ElbasaniEgnatia Rrogozhinë
2141
L
18/04/2026
Teuta DurrësAF Elbasani
12
W
13/04/2026
AF ElbasaniPartizani
30
W
Bate BorisovBate Borisov
2W5D3L
02/07/2026
Bate BorisovFC Gomel
01
L
27/06/2026
Torpedo ZhodinoBate Borisov
30
L
21/06/2026
Bate BorisovArsenal
23
L
17/06/2026
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Bate Borisov
14
W
12/06/2026
BelshinaBate Borisov
11
D
31/05/2026
Bate BorisovFC Dnepr Mogilev
11
D
24/05/2026
Slavia MozyrBate Borisov
11
D
20/05/2026
Bate BorisovDinamo Minsk
00
D
16/05/2026
Dinamo MinskBate Borisov
7181
W
10/05/2026
NaftanBate Borisov
00
D

Referee Profile

I. Orlic3 matches analysed

4.83Cards per match
4.67Yellow cards per match
0.16Red cards per match
22.4Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 82% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Qualifying Round 1
Qualifying Round 2
Qualifying Round 3
Play-offs
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Seeded
Larne
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
KI Klaksvik
Seeded
PAOK
Seeded
Vikingur Reykjavik
Seeded
Gornik Zabrze
Seeded
Monaco
Seeded
Hradec Králové
Seeded
SC Freiburg
Seeded
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Seeded
Atalanta
Seeded
Heart Of Midlothian
Seeded
Rangers
Seeded
Shamrock Rovers
Seeded
KuPS
Seeded
Pafos
Seeded
Getafe
Seeded
Tromso
Seeded
HNK Hajduk Split
Seeded
Sheriff Tiraspol
Seeded
FC ST. Gallen
Seeded
Dynamo Kyiv
Seeded
Qarabag
Seeded
Inter Club d'Escaldes
Seeded
Hammarby FF
Seeded
Twente
Seeded
FC Midtjylland
Seeded
Tre Fiori
Seeded
IFK Goteborg
Seeded
Floriana
Seeded
Drita
Seeded
Atert Bissen
Seeded
Gyori ETO FC
Seeded
Neftchi Baku
Seeded
Başakşehir
Seeded
Vardar Skopje
Seeded
Riga
Seeded
Spartak Trnava
Seeded
CSKA 1948
Seeded
Železničar Pančevo
Seeded
SC Braga
Seeded
Hibernian
Seeded
Austria Vienna
Seeded
CFR 1907 Cluj
Seeded
Panevėžys
Seeded
FK Tobol Kostanay
Seeded
HJK Helsinki
Seeded
Coleraine FC
Seeded
Flora Tallinn
Seeded
The New Saints
Seeded
Debreceni VSC
Seeded
Apollon Limassol
Seeded
AEK Larnaca
Seeded
Beitar Jerusalem
Seeded
Raków Częstochowa
Seeded
Valletta FC
Seeded
Dunajska Streda
Seeded
Vestri
Seeded
Gais
Seeded
FC Nordsjaelland
Seeded
FC Sion
Seeded
Rapid Vienna
Seeded
Zimbru
Seeded
FC Noah
Seeded
ML Vitebsk
Seeded
Sutjeska
Seeded
Universitatea Cluj
Seeded
Brann
Seeded
FC Vaduz
Seeded
FCSB
Seeded
Auda
Seeded
NK Varazdin
Seeded
FK Jablonec
Seeded
Aluminij
Seeded
Vojvodina
Seeded
Ajax
Seeded
Polessya
Seeded
FC Copenhagen
Seeded
Paks
Seeded
Panathinaikos
Seeded
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Seeded
Ludogorets
Seeded
Borac Banja Luka
Seeded
Petrocub
Seeded
LNZ Cherkasy
Seeded
Gent
Seeded
FC Lugano
Seeded
Dukagjini
Seeded
Žilina
Seeded
GKS Katowice
Seeded
Motherwell
Seeded
HB Torshavn
Seeded
Bravo
Seeded
Koper
Seeded
HNK Rijeka
Seeded
Derry City
Seeded
Shelbourne
Seeded
FK Partizan
Seeded
Valur Reykjavik
Seeded
Zrinjski
Seeded

About the AF Elbasani vs Bate Borisov forecast

This is a UEFA Europa Conference League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About UEFA Europa Conference League

More UEFA Europa Conference League fixtures and forecasts are on the UEFA Europa Conference League Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

AF Elbasani and Bate Borisov have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.