Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic Prediction

Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.51
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+9.2%
Airdrie United Rest
3 days
Alloa Athletic Rest
3 days

Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic: the result in context

Airdrie United beat Alloa Athletic 1-0 in the League One on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
27%2.38
X
20%3.10
2
53%2.75
Double Chance
1X
47%1.36
X2
73%1.51
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

11'L. McLeishAssist: L. Gibson
36'
51'S. Fisher
52'C. O'Donnell
62'G. Marchant INL. Ross out
69'L. McLeish IND. Mebude out
69'C. Burnside ING. Gallagher out
77'S. Hetherington
79'S. Hetherington INK. Roberts out
79'L. Rankin INM. Cameron out
79'K. Glasgow INA. Crilly out
81'S. Fisher INK. Boateng out
81'M. Yates INJ. Gentles out

Team Comparison

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
1451Elo Rating 1418
1.29Attack 0.83
0.74Defense 1.67
34%Hit Rate 23%

Game State Tendencies

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic5Wins · 50%
2.6Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Championship09/05/2026
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
12
Championship05/05/2026
Alloa AthleticAirdrie United
10
Challenge Cup09/12/2025
Alloa AthleticAirdrie United
23
League Cup26/07/2025
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
23
League One01/04/2023
Alloa AthleticAirdrie United
01
League One28/01/2023
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
40
League One15/10/2022
Alloa AthleticAirdrie United
20
Challenge Cup23/09/2022
Alloa AthleticAirdrie United
10
League One20/08/2022
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
20
League One05/03/2022
Alloa AthleticAirdrie United
02

Recent Form

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
2W3D5L
08/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedSt. Mirren U21
10
W
05/09/2026
Queen of the SouthAirdrie United
21
L
29/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedEast Fife
00
D
25/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedStirling Albion
13
L
22/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedRoss County
13
L
15/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
40
L
11/08/2026
DumbartonAirdrie United
13
W
08/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedEast Kilbride
11
D
01/08/2026
Cove RangersAirdrie United
00
D
25/07/2026
Airdrie UnitedRoss County
03
L
Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic
4W4D2L
08/09/2026
ClydebankAlloa Athletic
11
D
05/09/2026
Cove RangersAlloa Athletic
11
D
29/08/2026
Alloa AthleticPeterhead
11
D
25/08/2026
Alloa AthleticMotherwell U21
30
W
22/08/2026
Queen of the SouthAlloa Athletic
02
W
15/08/2026
Alloa AthleticMontrose
30
W
11/08/2026
Alloa AthleticStranraer
21
W
08/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAlloa Athletic
10
L
01/08/2026
Alloa AthleticEast Fife
00
D
25/07/2026
Ayr UtdAlloa Athletic
41
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ross CountyRoss County12102043:7+3632DWWWW
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical12102026:5+2132DWWWW
3MontroseMontrose1261517:20-319WDLLW
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1153320:15+518DDWWW
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1234510:19-913LLDWW
6Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1241713:34-2113WLWWL
7Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1233612:14-212LWLLL
8PeterheadPeterhead123189:20-1110LWLLL
9East FifeEast Fife121659:16-79LLDLL
10Cove RangersCove Rangers111379:18-96LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ross CountyRoss County1243:732
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical1226:532
3MontroseMontrose1217:2019
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1120:1518
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1210:1913
6Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1213:3413
7Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1212:1412
8PeterheadPeterhead129:2010
9East FifeEast Fife129:169
10Cove RangersCove Rangers119:186
PromotionRelegation

About the Airdrie United vs Alloa Athletic forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Airdrie United and Alloa Athletic in the League One table

Airdrie United and Alloa Athletic are close in the League One table, 5th and 7th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Airdrie United 10-19, Alloa Athletic 12-14. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.