Airdrie United vs Montrose Prediction

Airdrie United
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Montrose
Albert Bartlett Stadium, Airdrie 03/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.29
SignalSOLIDModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-8.1%
Airdrie United Rest
7 days
Montrose Rest
7 days

Airdrie United vs Montrose: the result in context

Airdrie United beat Montrose 1-0 in the League One on 3 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: Airdrie United had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for Montrose.

Airdrie United have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%1.98
X
25%3.45
2
30%3.42
Double Chance
1X
70%1.29
X2
55%1.73
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

42'B. Lyons
49'L. Gibson(Penalty)
52'J. Barjonas
61'S. Fisher
65'R. Tumilty
67'J. Sutherland INE. Loudon out
67'G. Webster INS. Byrne out
67'J. Gentles IND. Mebude out
73'S. Fisher INM. Yates out
73'R. Tumilty INK. Boateng out
77'H. Craig IND. Glass out
84'L. Gibson INK. Taylor out
84'G. Gallagher IND. Iserhienrhien out
88'C. Smith
89'C. Oosenbrugh
90+2'M. Yates

Team Comparison

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
MontroseMontrose
1451Elo Rating 1471
1.29Attack 1.43
0.74Defense 1.61
34%Hit Rate 46%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
MontroseMontrose
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United7Wins · 70%
Draws110%
MontroseMontrose2Wins · 20%
4.3Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
90%3+ goals9 of 10

Previous meetings

Challenge Cup06/01/2026
Airdrie UnitedMontrose
31
League Cup23/07/2025
MontroseAirdrie United
12
League One08/04/2023
Airdrie UnitedMontrose
30
League One23/12/2022
MontroseAirdrie United
24
League One29/10/2022
Airdrie UnitedMontrose
40
League One04/10/2022
MontroseAirdrie United
42
Championship07/05/2022
Airdrie UnitedMontrose
6443
Championship03/05/2022
MontroseAirdrie United
10
League One09/04/2022
MontroseAirdrie United
22
League One12/02/2022
Airdrie UnitedMontrose
41

Recent Form

Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United
5W1D4L
26/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedBerwick Rangers
71
W
22/09/2026
Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticAirdrie United
16
W
19/09/2026
PeterheadAirdrie United
12
W
12/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedAlloa Athletic
10
W
08/09/2026
Airdrie UnitedSt. Mirren U21
10
W
05/09/2026
Queen of the SouthAirdrie United
21
L
29/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedEast Fife
00
D
25/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedStirling Albion
13
L
22/08/2026
Airdrie UnitedRoss County
13
L
15/08/2026
Hamilton AcademicalAirdrie United
40
L
MontroseMontrose
7W0D3L
26/09/2026
Kelty HeartsMontrose
21
L
22/09/2026
Formartine UnitedMontrose
32
L
19/09/2026
East FifeMontrose
12
W
12/09/2026
MontroseCove Rangers
21
W
08/09/2026
MontroseDundee II
32
W
05/09/2026
PeterheadMontrose
03
W
29/08/2026
MontroseQueen of the South
21
W
25/08/2026
MontroseClyde
30
W
22/08/2026
MontroseEast Kilbride
30
W
15/08/2026
Alloa AthleticMontrose
30
L

League Table

League One 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ross CountyRoss County12102043:7+3632DWWWW
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical12102026:5+2132DWWWW
3MontroseMontrose1261517:20-319WDLLW
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1153320:15+518DDWWW
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1234510:19-913LLDWW
6Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1241713:34-2113WLWWL
7Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1233612:14-212LWLLL
8PeterheadPeterhead123189:20-1110LWLLL
9East FifeEast Fife121659:16-79LLDLL
10Cove RangersCove Rangers111379:18-96LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Ross CountyRoss County1243:732
2Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical1226:532
3MontroseMontrose1217:2019
4East KilbrideEast Kilbride1120:1518
5Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United1210:1913
6Queen of the SouthQueen of the South1213:3413
7Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic1212:1412
8PeterheadPeterhead129:2010
9East FifeEast Fife129:169
10Cove RangersCove Rangers119:186
PromotionRelegation

About the Airdrie United vs Montrose forecast

The forecasts for this League One match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Airdrie United and Montrose in the League One table

Montrose and Airdrie United are close in the League One table, 3rd and 5th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Airdrie United 10-19, Montrose 17-20. The full standings are on the League One Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.