Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC Prediction

Al Ahli Doha
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Qatar SC
Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha 03/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+2.0%
Al Ahli Doha Rest
5 days
Qatar SC Rest
5 days

Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC: the result in context

Al Ahli Doha beat Qatar SC 1-0 in the Stars League on 3 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Qatar SC have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.2 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%2.25
X
24%3.55
2
23%2.66
Double Chance
1X
77%1.38
X2
47%1.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%1.44
No
38%2.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1.43 = 3.20
Over 1.5
84%1.14
Over 2.5
65%1.50
Over 3.5
43%2.22
Under 1.5
16%5.05
Under 2.5
35%2.43
Under 3.5
57%1.60
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

10'Bartolomé Márquez LópezDissent
11'Card upgrade confirmedEisa Palangi
12'Eisa PalangiSerious foul
17'Mohamed Mushrinn INYaseen Lafrid out
18'Bruno Tabata INAkwasi Addai out
45'Joao PedroDissent
45'Zinedine Sassi INAyoub Amraoui out
56'Akwasi Addai INNasir Baksh out
66'Ali Saoudi INAnas Hanafy out
69'Ismaeel Mohammad INYounis Hussein Abdelrahman out
82'Younis Hussein Abdelrahman
90+3'Erik Expósito INMohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq out
90+5'Mohammed Abdulla Al-IshaqDissent

Lineups

Al Ahli Doha
4-4-2Coach: Borja Jiménez
Qatar SC
4-3-3Coach: Tintín Márquez
Avg rating7.20
Avg rating6.63
Mohamed Lingliz6.813M. Lingliz
Ahmed Reyed7.841A. Reyed
Z. Sassi7.549Z. Sassi
R. Tihi7.616R. Tihi
Ghanem Al Minhali7.812G. Al Minhali
Ismaeel Mohammad6.577I. Mohammad
B. Bourigeaud7.227B. Bourigeaud
D. Fettouhi7.133D. Fettouhi
J. Draxler7.27J. Draxler
Erik Expósito6.510E. Expósito
M. Vlap6.414M. Vlap
A. N. Mahmoud8.617A. N. Mahmoud
Abdullah Marafee6.621A. Marafee
S. F. Diouf6.340S. F. Diouf
A. Saoudi6.84A. Saoudi
Eisa Palangi5.620E. Palangi
Pau Prim6.36P. Prim
N. Mason6.724N. Mason
Mohamed Mushrinn6.518M. Mushrinn
Tabata6.910Tabata
João Pedro6.49J. Pedro
F. Selemani6.57F. Selemani

Al Ahli Doha Substitutes

5W. Troost-Ekong
8Talal Al Shila
11Suhaib Gannan
20Hamad Mansour
70Younis Abdelrahman69'for Ismaeel Mohammad82'7.9
6Luiz Ceará
15Mohammed Abdulla Al-Ishaq90+3'for Erik Expósito90+5'
88A. Amraoui45'for Zinedine Sassi7.3
25Hugo Hernandez Moya

Qatar SC Substitutes

23Sebastián Soria
15K. Al-Obaidly
28A. Addai18'for Bruno Tabata56'for Nasir Baksh6.1
74S. Al Abbasi
33Adnan Saleh
66A. Q. Ayman Mohamed A.
2Nasir Baksh56'replaced by Akwasi Addai6.6
14Said Brahmi
44Anas Elfadil Ahmed66'for Ali Saoudi
19Abdulrasheed Umaru
42Yaseen Lafrid17'for Mohamed Mushrinn7.0
12Ibrahim Masoud

Match Stats

Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
57%Ball Possession43%
9Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
28Total Shots9
12Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box5
11Shots Outside Box4
7Blocked Shots3
8Fouls9
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves11
560Total Passes172
502Passes Accurate106
9Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha
Qatar SCQatar SC
1472Elo Rating 1423
2.09Attack 1.24
1.35Defense 0.07
37%Hit Rate 17%
18.0Shots per Game 14.1
6.7Shots on Target 6.5
5.8Corners per Game 3.9
1.3Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.2 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Qatar SCQatar SC
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha4Wins · 40%
Draws00%
Qatar SCQatar SC6Wins · 60%
3.2Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Stars League31/01/2026
Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
13
QSL Cup19/10/2025
Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
16
Stars League30/08/2025
Qatar SCAl Ahli Doha
20
Emir Cup04/05/2025
Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
10
Stars League07/02/2025
Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
03
QSL Cup04/10/2024
Qatar SCAl Ahli Doha
01
Stars League14/09/2024
Qatar SCAl Ahli Doha
01
Stars League12/03/2024
Qatar SCAl Ahli Doha
13
Stars League21/10/2023
Al Ahli DohaQatar SC
24
QSL Cup09/09/2023
Qatar SCAl Ahli Doha
21

Recent Form

Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha
4W3D3L
28/08/2026
Al Ahli DohaLusail City
33
D
22/08/2026
Al SaddAl Ahli Doha
31
L
03/08/2026
Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl Ahli Doha
33
D
30/07/2026
Al ShababAl Ahli Doha
30
L
27/04/2026
UMM SalalAl Ahli Doha
13
W
22/04/2026
Al-NassrAl Ahli Doha
51
L
19/04/2026
Al Ahli DohaAl Hussein
31
W
08/04/2026
Al Ahli DohaAl-Duhail SC
21
W
03/04/2026
Al Ahli DohaAl-Sailiya
22
D
18/03/2026
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
14
W
Qatar SCQatar SC
3W3D4L
28/08/2026
Qatar SCAl Sadd
26
L
20/08/2026
Al WakrahQatar SC
22
D
27/04/2026
Qatar SCAl-Duhail SC
12
L
13/04/2026
Al ShamalQatar SC
02
W
08/04/2026
Al-Arabi SCQatar SC
11
D
03/04/2026
Qatar SCAl Wakrah
14
L
18/03/2026
UMM SalalQatar SC
00
D
12/03/2026
Qatar SCAl-Gharafa
20
W
20/02/2026
Al ShahaniyaQatar SC
34
W
13/02/2026
Al ShamalQatar SC
21
L

League Table

Stars League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Rayyan SCAl-Rayyan SC963020:6+1421WDWDW
2Al-Duhail SCAl-Duhail SC963020:8+1221WWWWW
3Al SaddAl Sadd960334:18+1618LWWLL
4Al-Arabi SCAl-Arabi SC935118:10+814DDLWW
5Lusail CityLusail City933313:11+212WWLDL
6Al ShamalAl Shamal933318:17+112WLLDL
7Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha933316:17-112DWDLW
8Al WakrahAl Wakrah932414:19-511LLWWW
9Al ShahaniyaAl Shahaniya931512:21-910WLLLW
10Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa923411:15-49LWDDL
11Qatar SCQatar SC913511:21-106LLWDL
12Al-SailiyaAl-Sailiya90189:33-241LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Rayyan SCAl-Rayyan SC920:621
2Al-Duhail SCAl-Duhail SC920:821
3Al SaddAl Sadd934:1818
4Al-Arabi SCAl-Arabi SC918:1014
5Lusail CityLusail City913:1112
6Al ShamalAl Shamal918:1712
7Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha916:1712
8Al WakrahAl Wakrah914:1911
9Al ShahaniyaAl Shahaniya912:2110
10Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa911:159
11Qatar SCQatar SC911:216
12Al-SailiyaAl-Sailiya99:331
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al Ahli Doha vs Qatar SC forecast

The forecasts for this Stars League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Al Ahli Doha and Qatar SC in the Stars League table

In the Stars League table, Al Ahli Doha are 7th and Qatar SC 11th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Al Ahli Doha 16-17, Qatar SC 11-21. The full standings are on the Stars League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.