Al-Gharafa vs Al Shamal Prediction

Al-Gharafa
1-3
Finished
HT 0-0
Al Shamal
Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 27/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.51
SignalGOODModel28%SurpriseHighGap+6.0%
Al-Gharafa Rest
6 days
Al Shamal Rest
5 days

Al-Gharafa vs Al Shamal: the result in context

Al Shamal beat Al-Gharafa 3-1 in the Stars League on 27 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Al-Gharafa had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Al Shamal.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.63
X
34%3.50
2
30%2.30
Double Chance
1X
70%1.53
X2
64%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.47
No
44%2.45
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.38 = 2.88
Over 1.5
76%1.16
Over 2.5
54%1.57
Over 3.5
33%2.39
Under 1.5
24%4.55
Under 2.5
46%2.26
Under 3.5
67%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'M. Hrimat INM. Ben Romdhane out
25'A. HassanFoul
25'A. Al SaeedFoul
31'A. ColladoFoul
46'A. Al Saeed INO. Mohamed out
52'F. DiazAssist: A. Surag
55'F. ComanFoul
56'O. Mohamed
66'W. Said INB. Bounedjah out
66'A. Hassan INF. Waad out
71'R. Al Ali INS. Fadlalla out
77'M. Khoder INA. Asad out
79'O. MohamedFoul
82'F. Coman INH. Aladin out
90+1'A. AsadAssist: O. Mohamed
90+4'A. Al Oui INA. Mohamed out
90+4'M. AwadFoul
90+8'B. BounedjahAssist: O. Mohamed

Team Comparison

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa
Al ShamalAl Shamal
1443Elo Rating 1510
1.63Attack 0.82
1.29Defense 1.39
14%Hit Rate 14%
15.6Shots per Game 12.0
5.1Shots on Target 4.4
6.5Corners per Game 7.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.88 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Al ShamalAl Shamal
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa2Wins · 20%
Draws440%
Al ShamalAl Shamal4Wins · 40%
2.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Stars League22/02/2026
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
01
QSL Cup27/10/2025
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
01
Stars League20/09/2025
Al ShamalAl-Gharafa
00
Stars League08/02/2025
Al ShamalAl-Gharafa
12
QSL Cup12/10/2024
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
11
Stars League13/09/2024
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
11
Stars League28/04/2024
Al ShamalAl-Gharafa
10
Stars League09/12/2023
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
11
QSL Cup19/11/2023
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
12
Stars League20/02/2023
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
32

Recent Form

Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa
5W2D3L
21/08/2026
Al-GharafaAl Shahaniya
21
W
09/05/2026
Al-GharafaAl Sadd
41
W
05/05/2026
Al WakrahAl-Gharafa
2030
W
01/05/2026
Al-GharafaUMM Salal
21
W
27/04/2026
Al-GharafaAl Shahaniya
11
D
08/04/2026
Al WakrahAl-Gharafa
33
D
04/04/2026
Al-Duhail SCAl-Gharafa
32
L
18/03/2026
Al-GharafaAl Ahli Doha
14
L
12/03/2026
Qatar SCAl-Gharafa
20
L
26/02/2026
Al-GharafaAl-Rayyan SC
32
W
Al ShamalAl Shamal
4W1D5L
21/08/2026
Al-Arabi SCAl Shamal
22
D
01/05/2026
Al ShamalAl Sadd
46
L
27/04/2026
Al SaddAl Shamal
32
L
13/04/2026
Al ShamalQatar SC
02
L
08/04/2026
Al ShahaniyaAl Shamal
20
L
04/04/2026
Al ShamalUMM Salal
32
W
17/03/2026
Al ShamalAl-Duhail SC
13
L
12/03/2026
Al WakrahAl Shamal
01
W
22/02/2026
Al-GharafaAl Shamal
01
W
13/02/2026
Al ShamalQatar SC
21
W

League Table

Stars League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Rayyan SCAl-Rayyan SC752016:3+1317WDWWD
2Al SaddAl Sadd750227:13+1415WLLWW
3Al-Duhail SCAl-Duhail SC743015:6+915WWWDD
4Al-Arabi SCAl-Arabi SC733116:8+812LWWDW
5Al WakrahAl Wakrah732213:13011WWWDL
6Al ShamalAl Shamal723212:13-19LDLDW
7Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha722312:14-28DLWLW
8Al ShahaniyaAl Shahaniya72148:19-117LLWDL
9Lusail CityLusail City71338:806LDLDW
10Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa71338:13-56DDLDL
11Qatar SCQatar SC71339:16-76WDLDL
12Al-SailiyaAl-Sailiya70168:26-181LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Rayyan SCAl-Rayyan SC716:317
2Al SaddAl Sadd727:1315
3Al-Duhail SCAl-Duhail SC715:615
4Al-Arabi SCAl-Arabi SC716:812
5Al WakrahAl Wakrah713:1311
6Al ShamalAl Shamal712:139
7Al Ahli DohaAl Ahli Doha712:148
8Al ShahaniyaAl Shahaniya78:197
9Lusail CityLusail City78:86
10Al-GharafaAl-Gharafa78:136
11Qatar SCQatar SC79:166
12Al-SailiyaAl-Sailiya78:261
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Gharafa vs Al Shamal forecast

The forecasts for this Stars League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Gharafa and Al Shamal in the Stars League table

In the Stars League table, Al Shamal are 6th and Al-Gharafa 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Gharafa 8-13, Al Shamal 12-13. The full standings are on the Stars League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.