Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh Prediction
Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 1
Al-Ettifaq Club Stadium, Dammam 14/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+4.8%
Al-Ettifaq Rest
20 days
Al Riyadh Rest
85 days
Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh: the result in context
Al-Ettifaq beat Al Riyadh 4-2 in the Pro League on 14 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Their history points to a close game: 6 previous meetings produced 1.7 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
148%2.05
X28%3.55
224%3.16
Double Chance
1X76%1.32
X252%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes59%1.50
No41%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.83 + 1.07 = 2.90
Over 1.582%1.18
Over 2.555%1.60
Over 3.535%2.47
Under 1.518%4.60
Under 2.545%2.26
Under 3.565%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.4 = 9.8
Over 8.560%1.42
Over 9.549%1.74
Over 10.536%2.15
Under 8.540%2.57
Under 9.551%1.98
Under 10.564%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.2 = 3.7
Over 3.544%-
Over 4.527%1.93
Under 3.556%-
Under 4.573%1.82
Match Events
6'R. AbascalFoul
11'L. Antunes INF. Al Sobhi out
22'M. DembeleAssist: A. Medran
42'V. LekhalFoul
45+5'T. OkouAssist: B. Mensah
46'Z. Al Ghamdi INK. Al Ghannam out
48'O. DudaFoul
54'M. Dembele(Penalty)
55'Y. Al ShammariFoul
56'B. Mensah
64'R. Al Otaibi INM. Al Alaeli out
64'M. Gluscevic INR. Messi out
69'V. Lekhal INH. Al Shurafa out
79'Y. Al Shammari INB. Celina out
79'R. Messi
81'T. Okou INH. Al Ali out
88'M. Al Olayan INA. Madu out
90+8'M. Dembele(Penalty)
Lineups
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
4-3-3Coach: Mauricio DulacAvg ratingAvg rating
92T. Ba Al-Jawsh
61R. Al-Oteibi
4J. Hendry
C70A. Khateeb
33M. Al-Olayan
11O. Duda
29A. Al Ghamdi
58Y. Shammari
10Á. Medrán
71M. Glušćević
9M. Dembélé
C82M. Borjan
2S. Alessa
67M. Al-Khaibari
26R. Abascal
12S. Hahya Hazazi
22V. Lekhal
79F. Al Jayzani
43B. Mensah
10T. Okou
77L. Antunes
7M. TrézéguetAl-Ettifaq Substitutes
7Khalid Al-Ghannam46'replaced by Z. Al Ghamdi
13Meshal Alaeli64'for R. Al Otaibi
80Rayane Messi64'for M. Gluscevic79'
43Bersant Celina79'for Y. Al Shammari
3Abdullah Madu88'for M. Al Olayan
23Ahmad Al Harbi
87Meshal Ali Khayrallah
6Faris Al Ghamdi
88Ali Al-Essa
Al Riyadh Substitutes
16Faisal Al-Sobhi11'for L. Antunes
19Hussain Al-Shurafa69'for V. Lekhal
11Hassan Hashim Al-Ali
97Emad Fidaa
14Essam Bahri
24Abdulilah Al Tale
17Hussain Al-Raqwani
96Cheikh Fall
29Salman Matar
Match Stats
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh 66%Ball Possession34%
7Corner Kicks0
2Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
20Total Shots7
11Shots on Goal4
4Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box3
9Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots0
11Fouls8
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves7
465Total Passes245
425Passes Accurate183
91%Pass Accuracy75%
Team Comparison
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh1610Elo Rating 1487
1.66Attack 0.91
2.11Defense 0.79
61%Hit Rate 37%
10.5Shots per Game 15.3
4.8Shots on Target 4.3
4.5Corners per Game 4.5
3.1Cards per Game 1.9
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+123 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Al-Ettifaq- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.4 in first half)
Al Riyadh- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 6 meetings, all competitions
Al-Ettifaq3Wins · 50%Draws117%
Al Riyadh2Wins · 33%
2Wins · 33%1.7Avg Goals
17%Both teams scored1 of 6
17%3+ goals1 of 6
Previous meetings
09/04/2026Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh23
25/12/2025Al RiyadhAl-Ettifaq02
17/04/2025Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh10
24/11/2024Al RiyadhAl-Ettifaq00
06/04/2024Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh10
22/10/2023Al RiyadhAl-Ettifaq10
Recent Form
Al-Ettifaq3W3D4L
25/07/2026
EldenseAl-Ettifaq
EldenseAl-Ettifaq31
L24/07/2026
YorkAl-Ettifaq
YorkAl-Ettifaq22
D21/05/2026
NEOMAl-Ettifaq
NEOMAl-Ettifaq11
D14/05/2026Al-Ettifaq
Al-Ittihad FC
Al-EttifaqAl-Ittihad FC13
L09/05/2026
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ettifaq
Al Khaleej SaihatAl-Ettifaq05
W04/05/2026Al-Ettifaq
Al Najma
Al-EttifaqAl Najma00
D30/04/2026
Al OkhdoodAl-Ettifaq
Al OkhdoodAl-Ettifaq13
W15/04/2026
Al-NassrAl-Ettifaq
Al-NassrAl-Ettifaq10
L09/04/2026Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh23
L05/04/2026Al-Ettifaq
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Al-EttifaqAl-Qadisiyah FC32
WAl Riyadh4W2D4L
21/05/2026Al RiyadhAl Okhdood
Al RiyadhAl Okhdood10
W15/05/2026
Al TaawonAl Riyadh
Al TaawonAl Riyadh11
D10/05/2026Al Riyadh
Al-Fateh
Al RiyadhAl-Fateh10
W04/05/2026
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh
Al-FayhaAl Riyadh42
L29/04/2026Al RiyadhAl-Qadisiyah FC
Al RiyadhAl-Qadisiyah FC04
L24/04/2026
Al-HazmAl Riyadh
Al-HazmAl Riyadh21
L09/04/2026Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh23
W05/04/2026Al Riyadh
Al Shabab
Al RiyadhAl Shabab11
D13/03/2026Al RiyadhAl-Ittihad FC
Al RiyadhAl-Ittihad FC31
W05/03/2026
DamacAl Riyadh
DamacAl Riyadh30
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 32:9 | +23 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 32:12 | +20 | 28 | WLWWW |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 28:11 | +17 | 28 | WWWWD |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | +10 | 24 | DWWLW |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:10 | +8 | 22 | WWLLD |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | 28:19 | +9 | 21 | LWWWW |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:17 | +1 | 19 | DWLWD |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:13 | -3 | 15 | LLWDL |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:19 | -5 | 15 | WLWWD |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 20:15 | +5 | 14 | WWDWD |
| 11 |  Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 17:26 | -9 | 12 | LLLLL |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:25 | -14 | 12 | LWLDW |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:20 | -4 | 11 | WDLLD |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LDLLD |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13:24 | -11 | 10 | LWLDW |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 6 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 6:20 | -14 | 5 | DLLDL |
| 18 |  Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7:19 | -12 | 3 | DLLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 11 | 32:9 | 30 |
| 2 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 32:12 | 28 |
| 3 | Al-Nassr | 11 | 28:11 | 28 |
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 21:11 | 24 |
| 5 | NEOM | 12 | 18:10 | 22 |
| 6 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 28:19 | 21 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 18:17 | 19 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 12 | 10:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 14:19 | 15 |
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 11 | Al Kholood | 11 | 17:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Al Riyadh | 11 | 11:25 | 12 |
| 13 | Al-Fayha | 12 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 14 | Al-Hazm | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 13:24 | 10 |
| 16 | Al-Fateh | 12 | 10:25 | 6 |
| 17 | Al Taawon | 12 | 6:20 | 5 |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | 7:19 | 3 |
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About the Al-Ettifaq vs Al Riyadh forecast
The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Al-Ettifaq and Al Riyadh in the Pro League table
In the Pro League table, Al-Ettifaq are 7th and Al Riyadh 12th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ettifaq 18-17, Al Riyadh 11-25. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.