Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Prediction

Al Riyadh
0-4
Finished
HT 0-2
Al-Nassr
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh· Abdullah Al-Owaidan, Saudi Arabia 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.60
SignalHIGHModel60%RiskMediumGap+3.5%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.72
SignalHIGHModel57%RiskMediumGap+10.3%
Al Riyadh Rest
3 days
Al-Nassr Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
19%9.20
X
23%5.80
2
58%1.25
Double Chance
1X
42%3.70
X2
81%1.05
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.60
No
34%2.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 2.32 = 3.42
Over 1.5
89%1.07
Over 2.5
65%1.30
Over 3.5
38%1.80
Under 1.5
11%7.00
Under 2.5
35%3.35
Under 3.5
62%1.96
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.5 + 5.9 = 9.4
Over 8.5
60%1.35
Over 9.5
49%1.60
Over 10.5
36%1.97
Under 8.5
40%2.89
Under 9.5
51%2.15
Under 10.5
64%1.72
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 1.8 = 4
Over 3.5
44%1.65
Over 4.5
27%2.30
Under 3.5
56%2.05
Under 4.5
73%1.49

Match Events

18'A. Al AmriAssist: Angelo
45'Angelo
58'Joao Felix
62'S. Hazazi INH. A. Bahri E. out
62'T. Okou INM. Fall out
62'A. Al Hamdan INC. Ronaldo out
75'A. Al Amri INN. Al Sharari out
75'S. Mane INA. Yahya out
75'A. Al Khaibari INA. Al Hassan out
76'F. Al Jayzani INH. Al Ali out
83'H. Majrashi INF. Al Sobhi out
83'L. Antunes INH. Al Raqwani out
83'C. RonaldoAssist: A. Yahya
85'Joao Felix INS. Al Najei out

Lineups

Al Riyadh
4-1-4-1Coach: Mauricio Dulac
Al-Nassr
4-4-2Coach: Ange Postecoglou
M. Borjan82M. BorjanM. Borjan
S. Al Essa2S. Al EssaS. Al Essa
H. Majrashi5H. MajrashiH. Majrashi
M. Al Khaibari67M. Al KhaibariM. Al Khaibari
S. Hazazi12S. HazaziS. Hazazi
K. Keita6K. KeitaK. Keita
T. Okou10T. OkouT. Okou
B. Mensah43B. MensahB. Mensah
F. Al Jayzani79F. Al JayzaniF. Al Jayzani
Trezeguet7TrezeguetTrezeguet
L. Antunes77L. AntunesL. Antunes
Bento24BentoBento
N. Boushal12N. BoushalN. Boushal
A. Al Amri5A. Al AmriA. Al Amri
I. Martinez26I. MartinezI. Martinez
S. Al Najdi83S. Al NajdiS. Al Najdi
K. Coman21K. ComanK. Coman
Angelo20AngeloAngelo
A. Al Khaibari17A. Al KhaibariA. Al Khaibari
S. Mane10S. ManeS. Mane
A. Al Hamdan9A. Al HamdanA. Al Hamdan
Joao Felix79J. FelixJoao Felix

Al Riyadh Substitutes

97E. FidaG
19H. Al ShurafaM
16F. Al SobhiM
14H. A. Bahri E.
11H. Al Ali
17H. Al Raqwani
29S. MatarM
96M. Fall
24A. Al Tale

Al-Nassr Substitutes

53A. Al OtaibiG
4N. Al SharariD
70A. AmanD
23A. YahyaM
18A. Al JaberM
14S. Al NajeiM
19A. Al HassanM
7C. RonaldoF
60S. HaqawiF

Match Stats

Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
43%Ball Possession57%
3Corner Kicks9
11Total Shots17
1Shots on Goal5
6Shots off Goal6
3Shots Inside Box11
8Shots Outside Box6
4Blocked Shots6
13Fouls9
3Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves1
348Total Passes445
289Passes Accurate385
83%Pass Accuracy87%

Team Comparison

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
1487Elo Rating 1869
1.13Attack 1.68
1.60Defense 1.66
44%Hit Rate 54%
10.3Shots per Game 15.6
2.7Shots on Target 5.6
2.6Corners per Game 8.6
2.5Cards per Game 2.0

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.41 goals
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Al Riyadh 0%Draw 14%86% Al-Nassr
2.96Avg Goals
56%BTTS Rate
56%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Al RiyadhAl Riyadh
3W1D1L
17/08/2026
Al ZulfiAl Riyadh
02
W
14/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl Riyadh
42
L
21/05/2026
Al RiyadhAl Okhdood
10
W
15/05/2026
Al TaawonAl Riyadh
11
D
10/05/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Fateh
10
W
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
3W0D2L
18/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Nassr
14
W
15/08/2026
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
30
W
04/08/2026
Al-NassrAlmeria
02
L
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
L
28/07/2026
Mérida ADAl-Nassr
02
W

Referee Profile

Abdullah Al-Owaidan, Saudi Arabia · 14 matches analysed

4.1Avg Yellows
4.3Avg Cards
24.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 31% of referees analysed

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC760123:5+1818WLWWW
2Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC752012:6+617WWWDW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr751116:7+916DWLWW
4Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC751116:8+816DWWWW
5NEOMNEOM750213:6+715WWWLL
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah740316:10+612WLWLL
7Al KholoodAl Kholood733112:10+212LWDWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah73227:5+211DWLWD
9Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq732211:11011DDWLL
10Al-HazmAl-Hazm72237:9-28LWDDL
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh72238:16-88WDLWD
12Al-FayhaAl-Fayha71337:11-46DLDWD
13Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat70523:10-75DDLLD
14Al ShababAl Shabab70436:11-54DLLDD
15Al-FatehAl-Fateh70344:11-73LLDDD
16Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC70345:13-83LDDLD
17Al TaawonAl Taawon70343:12-93LLDLD
18AbhaAbha70255:13-82DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC723:518
2Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC712:617
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr716:716
4Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC716:816
5NEOMNEOM713:615
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah716:1012
7Al KholoodAl Kholood712:1012
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah77:511
9Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq711:1111
10Al-HazmAl-Hazm77:98
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh78:168
12Al-FayhaAl-Fayha77:116
13Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat73:105
14Al ShababAl Shabab76:114
15Al-FatehAl-Fateh74:113
16Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC75:133
17Al TaawonAl Taawon73:123
18AbhaAbha75:132
Champions LeagueRelegation

Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Pro League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Pro League

ScorePredicts covers Saudi-Arabia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Al Riyadh and Al-Nassr have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.96 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.