Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah Prediction

Pro LeagueSaudi Arabia Saudi Arabia · Regular Season - 6
Al-Fateh
1-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Al Diriyah
Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf 09/09/2026
Al-FatehAl-Fateh
1-2
Finished
Al DiriyahAl Diriyah

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.67
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+7.6%
Al-Fateh Rest
4 days
Al Diriyah Rest
6 days

Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah: the result in context

Al Diriyah beat Al-Fateh 2-1 in the Pro League on 9 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al Diriyah had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Al-Fateh.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
21%3.65
X
30%3.70
2
49%1.84
Double Chance
1X
51%1.88
X2
79%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.3 + 1.53 = 2.83
Over 1.5
78%1.17
Over 2.5
52%1.59
Over 3.5
31%2.42
Under 1.5
22%4.60
Under 2.5
48%2.27
Under 3.5
69%1.52
Corners
Projected Corners: 3.9 + 5.2 = 9
Over 8.5
47%1.41
Over 9.5
41%1.70
Over 10.5
33%2.10
Under 8.5
53%2.59
Under 9.5
59%2.05
Under 10.5
67%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 1.3 = 3.4
Over 3.5
44%1.55
Over 4.5
26%2.20
Under 3.5
56%2.27
Under 4.5
74%1.62

Match Events

3'Abdulelah Al KhaibariFoul
28'Darwin Nuñez(Penalty)
35'Faisal AbdulwahedAssist: Mourad Batna
45+5'Adrian ŠemperFoul
45+6'Adil Boulbina(Penalty)
58'Faisal Abdulwahed INAli Al-Hassan out
60'Kennedy BoatengFoul
65'Goal cancelledAdil Boulbina
71'Mihai Lixandru INFahad Al Zubaidi out
71'Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari INSattam Tumbukti out
81'Darwin Nuñez INMeshari Fahad Al Nemer out
81'Abdulelah Al-Malki INSultan Al-Farhan out
86'Kennedy Boateng INZiyad Maher Al Jari out
87'Abdulelah Al Khaibari INSaad Al-Shurafa out
90+1'Adil Boulbina INMohamed Hameran out
90+1'Clayton diandy INHattan Bahebri out
90+4'Sultan Al-FarhanFoul
90+6'Enzo Millot INHussain Al Qahtani out

Lineups

Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1Coach: Khaled Al Atawi
Al Diriyah
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno Lage
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.63
A. Šemper5.91A. Šemper
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari6.322A. Rahman Al Khaibari
K. Boateng5.83K. Boateng
Abdulaziz Al Suwailem6.678A. Al Suwailem
Abdulelah Al Khaibari5.416A. Al Khaibari
M. Lixandru6.58M. Lixandru
Z. Youssouf6.928Z. Youssouf
M. Batna7.711M. Batna
Faisal Al Abdulwahed7.780F. Al Abdulwahed
L. Haraslín6.310L. Haraslín
W. Kanga6.39W. Kanga
N. Vasilj7.222N. Vasilj
Abdulaziz Al Faraj6.32A. Al Faraj
C. Mbemba6.799C. Mbemba
B. Djimsiti6.819B. Djimsiti
Hussain Al Sibyani6.716H. Al Sibyani
Abdulelah Al Malki6.488A. Al Malki
I. Gueye6.65I. Gueye
C. Diandy6.417C. Diandy
E. Millot6.520E. Millot
A. Boulbina6.310A. Boulbina
D. Núñez7.629D. Núñez

Al-Fateh Substitutes

63Montadhar Al Shqaq
6Ali Al Hassan58'for Faisal Abdulwahed6.8
18Abdulaziz Al Fawaz
94Waleed Al Anzi
4Ziyad Al Jari86'for Kennedy Boateng6.1
7Fahad Al Zubaidi71'for Mihai Lixandru6.4
49Saad Al Sharfa87'for Abdulelah Al Khaibari6.4
87Sattam Al Tumbukti71'for Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari5.9
20H. Essadak

Al Diriyah Substitutes

33Waleed Abdullah
75M. Al Nemer81'for Darwin Nuñez6.5
52Hussain Al Qahtani90+6'for Enzo Millot
11Hattan Bahbri90+1'for Clayton diandy
21M. Hameran90+1'for Adil Boulbina
87Qassem Lajami
12T. Wadi
78Khalid Al Asiri
6Sultan Al Farhan81'for Abdulelah Al-Malki90+4'6.1

Match Stats

Al-FatehAl Diriyah
60%Ball Possession40%
5Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots13
4Shots on Goal3
6Shots off Goal6
7Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots4
8Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves3
470Total Passes308
423Passes Accurate254
90%Pass Accuracy82%

Team Comparison

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
1422Elo Rating 1584
1.12Attack 0.63
0.29Defense 1.41
17%Hit Rate 19%
10.3Shots per Game 14.2
2.6Shots on Target 3.4
5.8Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)

Recent Form

Al-FatehAl-Fateh
1W4D5L
05/09/2026
Al TaawonAl-Fateh
00
D29/08/2026
Al-FatehAl-Ittihad FC
00
D26/08/2026
Al-Faisaly FCAl-Fateh
11
D22/08/2026
Al-FatehAl-Ettifaq
01
L
19/08/2026
Al UlaAl-Fateh
30
L
15/08/2026
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
30
L
25/07/2026
MallorcaAl-Fateh
30
L
21/05/2026
Al KholoodAl-Fateh
00
D
14/05/2026
Al-FatehAl Najma
20
W
10/05/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Fateh
10
L
Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
6W1D3L
03/09/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Qadisiyah FC
02
L
29/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl Diriyah
03
W26/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl Kholood
11
D
21/08/2026
Al-HazmAl Diriyah
01
W
18/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Nassr
14
L
13/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Ahli Jeddah
01
L
23/07/2026
Al DiriyahFA 2000
20
W
18/07/2026
TrelleborgAl Diriyah
14
W
23/05/2026
Al DiriyahAl Ula
2111
W
18/05/2026
Al DiriyahAl Jabalain
30
W

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC11100132:9+2330WWWWW
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1170428:19+921LWWWW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1254318:17+119DWLWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al ShababAl Shabab1135320:15+514WWDWD
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1225516:20-411WDLLD
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1224613:24-1110LWLDW
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1213810:25-156LLLWL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon120576:20-145DLLDL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1132:930
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1128:1921
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1218:1719
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al ShababAl Shabab1120:1514
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1216:2011
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1213:2410
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1210:256
17Al TaawonAl Taawon126:205
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

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About the Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al Diriyah are 8th and Al-Fateh 16th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Fateh 10-25, Al Diriyah 10-13. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.