Al-Nassr vs Abha Prediction

Al-Nassr
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Abha
King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh 09/09/2026
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
2-1
Finished
AbhaAbha

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalGOODModel74%RiskMediumGap+3.0%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel81%RiskMediumGap+7.3%
Al-Nassr Rest
4 days
Abha Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
87%1.12
X
9%8.50
2
4%15.01
Double Chance
1X
96%1.03
X2
13%5.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.00
No
59%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.06 + 0.76 = 3.82
Over 1.5
97%1.08
Over 2.5
77%1.30
Over 3.5
50%1.83
Under 1.5
3%7.10
Under 2.5
23%3.25
Under 3.5
50%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.8 = 9
Over 8.5
47%1.51
Over 9.5
41%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.31
Under 8.5
53%2.38
Under 9.5
59%1.86
Under 10.5
67%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.2
Over 3.5
39%1.73
Over 4.5
22%2.37
Under 3.5
61%2.01
Under 4.5
78%1.50

Match Events

22'Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Angelo Borges
58'Abdullah Al-Hamdan
63'Safwan Al Johani INKhaled Al Shamrani out
63'Abdulkarim Darisi INBader Al Mutairi out
64'Bader Al MutairiFoul
70'Mohammed Bandar Abdullah Al Zaid INNawaf Al-Gulaymish out
75'Nabil Fekir
76'Abdullah Al-Hamdan INAyman Yahya out
76'Saad Fahad Al Nasser INSalem Al-Najdi out
85'Abdullah Al Fahad INKheshim Al Qahtani out
85'Firas Al-Ghamdi INBasil Al-Sayyali out
90+8'Salem Al-Najdi INAbdulelah Al-Amri out

Lineups

Al-Nassr
4-4-2Coach: A. Postecoglou
Abha
4-5-1Coach: D. Burić
Bento24BentoBento
Nawaf Boushal12N. BoushalNawaf Boushal
M. Simakan3M. SimakanM. Simakan
Íñigo Martínez26Í. MartínezÍñigo Martínez
Saad Al Nasser6S. Al NasserSaad Al Nasser
Ângelo20ÂngeloÂngelo
Abdullah Al Khaibari17A. Al KhaibariAbdullah Al Khaibari
Samú Costa11S. CostaSamú Costa
S. Mané10S. ManéS. Mané
Abdullah Al Hamdan9A. Al HamdanAbdullah Al Hamdan
Cristiano Ronaldo7C. RonaldoCristiano Ronaldo
D. Léon16D. LéonD. Léon
M. Al-Zaid39M. Al-ZaidM. Al-Zaid
J. Gaari3J. GaariJ. Gaari
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi37A. Al-HindiAbdulbasit Al-Hindi
Safwan Saud80S. SaudSafwan Saud
A. Gory11A. GoryA. Gory
N. Fekir10N. FekirN. Fekir
Abdullah Al Fahad19A. Al FahadAbdullah Al Fahad
Firas Al-Ghamdi7F. Al-GhamdiFiras Al-Ghamdi
Abdulkarim Darisi17A. DarisiAbdulkarim Darisi
M. Batshuayi44M. BatshuayiM. Batshuayi

Al-Nassr Substitutes

5Abdulelah Al AmriD
1Nawaf Al AqidiG
56R. Al GhamdiM
83Salem Al NajdiD
14Sami Al NajiM
4Nader Al SharariD
60Saad HaqawiF
23Ayman YahyaM
8Hayder AbdulkareemM

Abha Substitutes

9Kamil BoumedmedF
6Faisal Al SubianiM
12K. Al ShamraniD
4Basil Al SayyaliM
20K. Al QahtaniF
28Bader Al MutairiM
66Nawaf Al-GulaymishD
21A. Al BouqG
29Majed DawranM

Match Stats

Al-NassrAbha
67%Ball Possession33%
4Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
18Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box1
7Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots0
16Fouls8
4Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
586Total Passes291
524Passes Accurate235
8Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
AbhaAbha
1869Elo Rating 1506
1.68Attack 0.70
1.66Defense 1.71
54%Hit Rate 0%
15.6Shots per Game 8.5
5.6Shots on Target 2.3
8.6Corners per Game 1.9
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+363 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.83 goals

Game State Tendencies

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
AbhaAbha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Al-Nassr 77%Draw 23%0% Abha
4.74Avg Goals
59%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC760123:5+1818WLWWW
2Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC752012:6+617WWWDW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr751116:7+916DWLWW
4Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC751116:8+816DWWWW
5NEOMNEOM750213:6+715WWWLL
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah740316:10+612WLWLL
7Al KholoodAl Kholood733112:10+212LWDWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah73227:5+211DWLWD
9Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq732211:11011DDWLL
10Al-HazmAl-Hazm72237:9-28LWDDL
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh72238:16-88WDLWD
12Al-FayhaAl-Fayha71337:11-46DLDWD
13Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat70523:10-75DDLLD
14Al ShababAl Shabab70436:11-54DLLDD
15Al-FatehAl-Fateh70344:11-73LLDDD
16Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC70345:13-83LDDLD
17Al TaawonAl Taawon70343:12-93LLDLD
18AbhaAbha70255:13-82DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC723:518
2Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC712:617
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr716:716
4Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC716:816
5NEOMNEOM713:615
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah716:1012
7Al KholoodAl Kholood712:1012
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah77:511
9Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq711:1111
10Al-HazmAl-Hazm77:98
11Al RiyadhAl Riyadh78:168
12Al-FayhaAl-Fayha77:116
13Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat73:105
14Al ShababAl Shabab76:114
15Al-FatehAl-Fateh74:113
16Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC75:133
17Al TaawonAl Taawon73:123
18AbhaAbha75:132
Champions LeagueRelegation

Al-Nassr vs Abha Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Pro League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Pro League

ScorePredicts covers Saudi-Arabia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Nassr and Abha have met 5 times recently, averaging 4.74 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.