Al-Nassr vs Abha Prediction

Al-Nassr
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Abha
King Saud University Stadium, Riyadh 09/09/2026
Al-NassrAl-Nassr
2-1
Finished
AbhaAbha

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
Value Analysis
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.30
SignalSTRONGModel81%SurpriseMediumGap+7.3%
Al-Nassr Rest
4 days
Abha Rest
5 days

Al-Nassr vs Abha: result, form and history

Al-Nassr beat Abha 2-1 in the Pro League on 9 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Al-Nassr had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Abha.

Al-Nassr have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 9 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
87%1.12
X
9%8.50
2
4%15.01
Double Chance
1X
96%1.03
X2
13%5.55
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%2.00
No
59%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 3.06 + 0.76 = 3.82
Over 1.5
97%1.08
Over 2.5
77%1.30
Over 3.5
50%1.83
Under 1.5
3%7.10
Under 2.5
23%3.25
Under 3.5
50%1.92
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.2 + 2.8 = 9
Over 8.5
47%1.51
Over 9.5
41%1.85
Over 10.5
33%2.31
Under 8.5
53%2.38
Under 9.5
59%1.86
Under 10.5
67%1.51
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.8 = 3.2
Over 3.5
39%1.73
Over 4.5
22%2.37
Under 3.5
61%2.01
Under 4.5
78%1.50

Match Events

22'Cristiano RonaldoAssist: Angelo Borges
58'Abdullah Al-Hamdan
63'Safwan Al Johani INKhaled Al Shamrani out
63'Abdulkarim Darisi INBader Al Mutairi out
64'Bader Al MutairiFoul
70'Mohammed Bandar Abdullah Al Zaid INNawaf Al-Gulaymish out
75'Nabil Fekir
76'Abdullah Al-Hamdan INAyman Yahya out
76'Saad Fahad Al Nasser INSalem Al-Najdi out
85'Abdullah Al Fahad INKheshim Al Qahtani out
85'Firas Al-Ghamdi INBasil Al-Sayyali out
90+8'Salem Al-Najdi INAbdulelah Al-Amri out

Lineups

Al-Nassr
4-4-2Coach: A. Postecoglou
Abha
4-5-1Coach: D. Burić
Avg rating6.92
Avg rating6.37
Bento6.624Bento
Nawaf Boushal6.912N. Boushal
M. Simakan6.93M. Simakan
Íñigo Martínez6.626Í. Martínez
Saad Al Nasser6.66S. Al Nasser
Ângelo7.320Ângelo
Abdullah Al Khaibari6.717A. Al Khaibari
Samú Costa7.211S. Costa
S. Mané6.410S. Mané
Abdullah Al Hamdan8.29A. Al Hamdan
Cristiano Ronaldo8.27C. Ronaldo
D. Léon6.716D. Léon
M. Al-Zaid6.439M. Al-Zaid
J. Gaari6.53J. Gaari
Abdulbasit Al-Hindi6.237A. Al-Hindi
Safwan Saud6.080S. Saud
A. Gory5.811A. Gory
N. Fekir8.010N. Fekir
Abdullah Al Fahad6.619A. Al Fahad
Firas Al-Ghamdi6.87F. Al-Ghamdi
Abdulkarim Darisi6.117A. Darisi
M. Batshuayi6.444M. Batshuayi

Al-Nassr Substitutes

5Abdulelah Al Amri90+8'replaced by Salem Al-Najdi
1Nawaf Al Aqidi
56R. Al Ghamdi
83Salem Al Najdi76'for Saad Fahad Al Nasser90+8'for Abdulelah Al-Amri6.2
14Sami Al Naji
4Nader Al Sharari
60Saad Haqawi
23Ayman Yahya76'for Abdullah Al-Hamdan6.3
8Hayder Abdulkareem

Abha Substitutes

9Kamil Boumedmed
6Faisal Al Subiani
12K. Al Shamrani63'for Safwan Al Johani6.4
4Basil Al Sayyali85'for Firas Al-Ghamdi6.0
20K. Al Qahtani85'for Abdullah Al Fahad6.3
28Bader Al Mutairi63'for Abdulkarim Darisi64'5.7
66Nawaf Al-Gulaymish70'replaced by Mohammed Bandar Abdullah Al Zaid
21A. Al Bouq
29Majed Dawran

Match Stats

Al-NassrAbha
67%Ball Possession33%
4Corner Kicks1
0Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots5
6Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal3
12Shots Inside Box1
7Shots Outside Box4
6Blocked Shots0
16Fouls8
4Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
586Total Passes293
526Passes Accurate236
90%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
AbhaAbha
1887Elo Rating 1483
3.94Attack 0.44
1.44Defense 1.78
100%Hit Rate 0%
14.5Shots per Game 8.9
5.8Shots on Target 3.2
5.1Corners per Game 5.0
1.2Cards per Game 2.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+405 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend78% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2.2 vs 1.7 in first half)
AbhaAbha
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 9 meetings, all competitions

Al-NassrAl-Nassr6Wins · 67%
Draws222%
AbhaAbha1Wins · 11%
4.0Avg Goals
78%Both teams scored7 of 9
100%3+ goals9 of 9

Previous meetings

Pro League02/04/2024
AbhaAl-Nassr
08
Pro League06/10/2023
Al-NassrAbha
22
Pro League18/03/2023
Al-NassrAbha
21
King's Cup14/03/2023
Al-NassrAbha
31
Pro League07/10/2022
AbhaAl-Nassr
03
Pro League26/02/2022
Al-NassrAbha
21
Pro League30/09/2021
AbhaAl-Nassr
13
Pro League28/02/2021
Al-NassrAbha
22
Pro League03/12/2020
AbhaAl-Nassr
21

Recent Form

Al-NassrAl-Nassr
7W0D3L
05/09/2026
Al-Ittihad FCAl-Nassr
21
L
28/08/2026
Al-NassrAl Taawon
21
W
25/08/2026
Al-EttifaqAl-Nassr
23
W
21/08/2026
Al RiyadhAl-Nassr
04
W
18/08/2026
Al DiriyahAl-Nassr
14
W
15/08/2026
Al-NassrAl-Fateh
30
W
04/08/2026
Al-NassrAlmeria
02
L
01/08/2026
EstrelaAl-Nassr
42
L
28/07/2026
Mérida ADAl-Nassr
02
W
21/05/2026
Al-NassrDamac
41
W
AbhaAbha
0W2D8L
04/09/2026
AbhaAl-Ettifaq
01
L
28/08/2026
Al-FayhaAbha
32
L
25/08/2026
AbhaAl Khaleej Saihat
11
D
22/08/2026
Al-Ahli JeddahAbha
40
L
16/08/2026
Al OrubahAbha
3020
L
13/08/2026
AbhaAl-Hazm
12
L
31/07/2026
RizesporAbha
00
D
13/05/2026
Al-RaedAbha
51
L
09/05/2026
AbhaAl-Adalah
01
L
01/05/2026
Al DiriyahAbha
20
L

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC11100132:9+2330WWWWW
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1291232:12+2028WLWWW
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1191128:11+1728WWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1173121:11+1024DWWLW
5NEOMNEOM1271418:10+822WWLLD
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1170428:19+921LWWWW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1254318:17+119DWLWD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1243510:13-315LLWDL
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1236314:19-515WLWWD
10Al ShababAl Shabab1135320:15+514WWDWD
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1133517:26-912LLLLL
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1133511:25-1412LWLDW
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1225516:20-411WDLLD
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1224614:20-610LDLLD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1224613:24-1110LWLDW
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1213810:25-156LLLWL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon120576:20-145DLLDL
18AbhaAbha110387:19-123DLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1132:930
2Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1232:1228
3Al-NassrAl-Nassr1128:1128
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1121:1124
5NEOMNEOM1218:1022
6Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1128:1921
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1218:1719
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah1210:1315
9Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1214:1915
10Al ShababAl Shabab1120:1514
11Al KholoodAl Kholood1117:2612
12Al RiyadhAl Riyadh1111:2512
13Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1216:2011
14Al-HazmAl-Hazm1214:2010
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1213:2410
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1210:256
17Al TaawonAl Taawon126:205
18AbhaAbha117:193
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Nassr vs Abha forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Al-Nassr and Abha in the Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: Al-Nassr are 3rd in the Pro League, while Abha sit 18th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Al-Nassr 28-11, Abha 7-19. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Nassr have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.