Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah Prediction

Al-Ittihad FC
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Al Diriyah
Alinma Stadium, Jeddah·Majed Mohammed Al Shamrani 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseHighGap-1.3%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel68%SurpriseHighGap+4.1%
Al-Ittihad FC Rest
2 days
Al Diriyah Rest
3 days

Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah: the result in context

Al-Ittihad FC beat Al Diriyah 2-0 in the Pro League on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.76
X
21%4.07
2
19%3.75
Double Chance
1X
81%1.22
X2
40%1.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%1.50
No
39%2.42
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.06 + 1.08 = 3.14
Over 1.5
83%1.14
Over 2.5
65%1.50
Over 3.5
42%2.26
Under 1.5
17%5.25
Under 2.5
35%2.49
Under 3.5
58%1.59
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.9 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.42
Over 9.5
52%1.72
Over 10.5
40%2.15
Under 8.5
36%2.59
Under 9.5
48%1.97
Under 10.5
60%1.59
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.2 = 3.8
Over 3.5
53%1.62
Over 4.5
34%2.20
Under 3.5
47%2.22
Under 4.5
66%1.62

Match Events

6'Saad Al-MousaFoul
24'Mukhtar AliFoul
30'George Ilenikhena
30'Goal confirmedGeorge Ilenikhena
35'Óscar RodríguezArgument
42'George IlenikhenaFoul
45'George Ilenikhena INYoussef En-Nesyri out
45'Saad Al-Mousa INDion Lopy out
57'Berat DjimsitiDissent
58'Goal cancelledDanilo Pereira
58'Lovro Chelfi INClayton diandy out
58'Hussain Al-Sabiyani INKhalid Al-Asiri out
58'Meshari Fahad Al Nemer INDarwin Nuñez out
58'Hussain Al Qahtani INAbdulelah Al-Malki out
58'Enzo MillotDissent
60'Meshari Fahad Al NemerDissent
63'Abdulelah Al-MalkiFoul
77'Georginio Wijnaldum(Penalty)
78'Georginio Wijnaldum INMarwan Al-Sahafi out
81'Óscar Rodríguez INAbdulaziz Al Faraj out
82'Ahmed Al-Ghamdi INMuath Faquihi out
90'Houssem Aouar INMohammed Ahmed Fallatah out
90+6'Abdulelah Al-MalkiAbusive Language

Lineups

Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Coach: Jens Wissing
Al Diriyah
4-2-3-1Coach: Bruno Lage
Avg rating7.11
Avg rating6.36
P. Rajković6.71P. Rajković
Muhannad Al Shanqiti7.313M. Al Shanqiti
Saad Al Mosa7.16S. Al Mosa
Danilo Pereira7.32D. Pereira
F. Abdi7.925F. Abdi
R. Rios7.15R. Rios
Mukhtar Ali6.98M. Ali
G. Wijnaldum7.223G. Wijnaldum
H. Aouar6.610H. Aouar
Ahmed Al Ghamdi7.427A. Al Ghamdi
G. Ilenikhena7.89G. Ilenikhena
Amin Al Bukhari7.497A. Al Bukhari
T. Wadi6.312T. Wadi
B. Djimsiti6.219B. Djimsiti
C. Mbemba6.899C. Mbemba
Hussain Al Sibyani6.416H. Al Sibyani
Hussain Al Qahtani6.052H. Al Qahtani
E. Millot7.220E. Millot
L. Chelfi5.825L. Chelfi
Óscar Rodríguez6.214Ó. Rodríguez
A. Boulbina6.310A. Boulbina
Meshari Al Nemer6.175M. Al Nemer

Al-Ittihad FC Substitutes

30D. Lopy45'for Saad Al-Mousa7.1
22Marwan Al Sahafi78'for Georginio Wijnaldum6.8
32Ahmed Al Julaydan
50Mohammed Al Absi
11Saleh Al Shehri
66Mohammed Barnawi
21Y. En-Nesyri45'for George Ilenikhena6.5
42Muath Faqeehi82'for Ahmed Al-Ghamdi7.0
41Mohammed Fallatah90'for Houssem Aouar

Al Diriyah Substitutes

2Abdulaziz Al Faraj81'for Óscar Rodríguez5.9
88Abdulelah Al Malki58'for Hussain Al Qahtani63'90+6'5.8
34Mansour Hibatullah Al Sibyani
17C. Diandy58'for Lovro Chelfi6.4
21M. Hameran
87Qassem Lajami
29D. Núñez58'for Meshari Fahad Al Nemer6.5
78Khalid Al Asiri58'for Hussain Al-Sabiyani6.5
6Sultan Al Farhan

Match Stats

Al-Ittihad FCAl Diriyah
57%Ball Possession43%
8Corner Kicks7
3Yellow Cards5
20Total Shots12
7Shots on Goal1
12Shots off Goal6
12Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots5
7Fouls7
4Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves5
388Total Passes388
340Passes Accurate328
7Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
1722Elo Rating 1614
2.29Attack 0.78
1.38Defense 2.05
41%Hit Rate 41%
16.1Shots per Game 12.3
6.4Shots on Target 3.2
5.1Corners per Game 4.7
1.5Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+107 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.15 goals
📉Away Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk90%

Game State Tendencies

Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Al DiriyahAl Diriyah
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.6 vs 0.2 in second half)

Referee Profile

Majed Mohammed Al Shamrani65 matches

4.73Cards per match
4.42Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
26.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Majed Mohammed Al Shamrani4.73
Other referees4.30

4.73 cards a match, 0.43 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).

Cards come from 62 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1090130:9+2127WWWWL
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1081123:8+1525WWWDW
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1181226:12+1425LWWWD
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1072120:10+1023WWLWW
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1070327:13+1421WWWWL
6NEOMNEOM1161416:9+719WLLDW
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1153317:16+118WLWDD
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah114349:11-215LWDLD
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1033414:21-712LLLLW
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1126310:17-712LWWDD
11Al ShababAl Shabab1025314:14011WDWDL
12Al-HazmAl-Hazm1124512:16-410DLLDL
13Al RiyadhAl Riyadh92349:18-99LDWDL
14Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1115512:19-78DLLDD
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1014511:20-97LDWLD
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1113710:23-136LLWLL
17Al TaawonAl Taawon100464:17-134LDLLL
18AbhaAbha90276:17-112LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FCAl-Hilal Saudi FC1030:927
2Al-NassrAl-Nassr1023:825
3Al-Qadisiyah FCAl-Qadisiyah FC1126:1225
4Al-Ittihad FCAl-Ittihad FC1020:1023
5Al-Ahli JeddahAl-Ahli Jeddah1027:1321
6NEOMNEOM1116:919
7Al-EttifaqAl-Ettifaq1117:1618
8Al DiriyahAl Diriyah119:1115
9Al KholoodAl Kholood1014:2112
10Al Khaleej SaihatAl Khaleej Saihat1110:1712
11Al ShababAl Shabab1014:1411
12Al-HazmAl-Hazm1112:1610
13Al RiyadhAl Riyadh99:189
14Al-FayhaAl-Fayha1112:198
15Al-Faisaly FCAl-Faisaly FC1011:207
16Al-FatehAl-Fateh1110:236
17Al TaawonAl Taawon104:174
18AbhaAbha96:172
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah forecast

The forecasts for this Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Al-Ittihad FC and Al Diriyah in the Pro League table

In the Pro League table, Al-Ittihad FC are 4th and Al Diriyah 8th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Al-Ittihad FC 20-10, Al Diriyah 9-11. The full standings are on the Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Al-Ittihad FC and Al Diriyah have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.