Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor Prediction

Alanyaspor
1-2
Finished
HT 0-2
Kocaelispor
Bahcesehir Okullari Stadium, Alanya·Ali Sansalan, Türkiye 23/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
76%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-5.8%
Alanyaspor Rest
6 days
Kocaelispor Rest
5 days

Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor: result, form and history

Kocaelispor beat Alanyaspor 2-1 in the Süper Lig on 23 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 3 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, and not once did both teams score.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%1.98
X
29%3.25
2
23%4.00
Double Chance
1X
76%1.22
X2
52%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.95
No
49%1.78
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.19 = 2.65
Over 1.5
71%1.39
Over 2.5
47%2.25
Over 3.5
25%4.15
Under 1.5
29%2.90
Under 2.5
53%1.66
Under 3.5
75%1.21
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.6 + 4.3 = 9.9
Over 8.5
64%1.93
Over 9.5
52%2.33
Over 10.5
41%3.04
Under 8.5
36%1.86
Under 9.5
48%1.52
Under 10.5
59%1.29
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.2 = 4.1
Over 3.5
58%1.40
Over 4.5
39%1.82
Under 3.5
42%2.80
Under 4.5
61%1.93

Match Events

27'B. KutluAssist: R. Rivas
42'M. BakuAssist: F. Aye
45+1'E. Ortakaya
46'A. Usluoglu INBikoue out
46'I. Hagi INE. Keskin out
46'G. Makouta INMaestro out
52'RuanAssist: E. Keskin
53'F. Aksoy
61'G. Sousa IND. Agyei out
67'R. Rivas INM. Cinan out
67'M. Baku INM. Altunbas out
70'B. Gezek INI. Celik out
77'F. Aksoy INO. Ben Ali out
81'B. Kutlu
82'B. Kutlu INM. Maglica out
82'F. Aye INT. Gulliksen out
90'F. Aliti
90+2'I. Celik
90+3'Show

Lineups

Alanyaspor
3-4-2-1
Kocaelispor
5-4-1
Avg rating6.66
Avg rating6.86
Paulo Victor6.948P. Victor
Nuno Lima6.73N. Lima
Fidan Aliti7.55F. Aliti
Fatih AksoyC6.520F. Aksoy
Florent Hadergjonaj6.994F. Hadergjonaj
Gaius Makouta6.342G. Makouta
Baran Ali Gezek6.055B. Ali Gezek
Ruan Pereira Duarte8.211R. Pereira Duarte
Ianis Hagi6.910I. Hagi
Ibrahim Kaya5.97I. Kaya
Arda Usluoğlu6.217A. Usluoğlu
Serhat Öztaşdelen6.583S. Öztaşdelen
Uğur Kaan Yıldız6.922U. Kaan Yıldız
Anfernee Jamal DijksteelC7.22A. Jamal Dijksteel
Emir Ortakaya6.95E. Ortakaya
Show6.314Show
Rigoberto Rivas6.999R. Rivas
Gonçalo Sousa6.911G. Sousa
Berkan Kutlu8.310B. Kutlu
Mahamadou Susoho6.920M. Susoho
Makana Baku7.532M. Baku
Florian Ayé6.397F. Ayé

Alanyaspor Substitutes

8Enes Keskin46'for I. Hagi6.6
58Maestro46'for G. Makouta6.3
19Iván Cédric46'for A. Usluoglu6.3
26İzzet Çelik70'for B. Gezek90+2'6.7
23Mert Furkan Bayram
4Bedirhan Özyurt
88Yusuf Özdemir
16Hwang Ui-Jo
9Omar Ben Ali77'for F. Aksoy6.7
12Meschak Elia

Kocaelispor Substitutes

7Dan Agyei61'for G. Sousa6.6
3Muharrem Cinan67'for R. Rivas6.6
26Metehan Altunbaş67'for M. Baku6.3
23Onurcan Piri
41Onur Öztonga
6Matej Maglica82'for B. Kutlu
27Ege Bilim
75Tayfur Bingöl
8Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen82'for F. Aye
29Fati̇hhan Demi̇r

Match Stats

AlanyasporKocaelispor
49%Ball Possession51%
5Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards2
7Total Shots17
4Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal7
4Shots Inside Box11
3Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots5
12Fouls10
1Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves3
385Total Passes404
309Passes Accurate327
80%Pass Accuracy81%

Team Comparison

AlanyasporAlanyaspor
KocaelisporKocaelispor
1677Elo Rating 1637
0.86Attack 1.03
1.67Defense 1.84
34%Hit Rate 34%
13.0Shots per Game 13.0
4.4Shots on Target 4.2
5.0Corners per Game 4.2
1.2Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AlanyasporAlanyaspor
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KocaelisporKocaelispor
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

AlanyasporAlanyaspor2Wins · 67%
Draws00%
KocaelisporKocaelispor1Wins · 33%
2.7Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Süper Lig18/03/2026
AlanyasporKocaelispor
50
Süper Lig25/10/2025
KocaelisporAlanyaspor
20
Türkiye Kupası05/12/2023
AlanyasporKocaelispor
10

Recent Form

KocaelisporKocaelispor
4W0D6L
18/10/2026
KocaelisporGöztepe
12
L
11/10/2026
BeşiktaşKocaelispor
21
L
19/09/2026
KocaelisporGaziantep FK
20
W
13/09/2026
GalatasarayKocaelispor
10
L
06/09/2026
KocaelisporSamsunspor
10
W
29/08/2026
KonyasporKocaelispor
12
W
24/08/2026
KocaelisporAmed
20
W
16/08/2026
BaşakşehirKocaelispor
20
L
17/05/2026
AntalyasporKocaelispor
10
L
09/05/2026
KocaelisporFatih Karagümrük
01
L

Referee Profile

Ali Sansalan144 matches

5.02Cards per match
4.78Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ali Sansalan5.02
Other referees4.71

5.02 cards a match, 0.31 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 130 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray861117:11+619WWLWW
2AmedAmed852118:9+917WDWWD
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe851222:6+1616WWWDL
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor851218:5+1316WWWLW
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa944113:9+416WWLDW
6BeşiktaşBeşiktaş850316:10+615LWLWW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor950411:9+215WLLWL
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK94238:12-414WWDWL
9Çorum FKÇorum FK841318:13+513WWLWW
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor93339:11-212LLDWD
11BaşakşehirBaşakşehir832312:12011WDWLL
12RizesporRizespor83148:11-310LLDWL
13GöztepeGöztepe823317:16+19WWDDL
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK92259:15-68LLLLD
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.82247:16-98LDLLL
16KonyasporKonyaspor81254:9-55LDDWL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor81167:19-124LLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor91082:23-213LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray817:1119
2AmedAmed818:917
3FenerbahçeFenerbahçe822:616
4TrabzonsporTrabzonspor818:516
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa913:916
6BeşiktaşBeşiktaş816:1015
7KocaelisporKocaelispor911:915
8Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK98:1214
9Çorum FKÇorum FK818:1313
10AlanyasporAlanyaspor99:1112
11BaşakşehirBaşakşehir812:1211
12RizesporRizespor88:1110
13GöztepeGöztepe817:169
14Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK99:158
15Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.87:168
16KonyasporKonyaspor84:95
17SamsunsporSamsunspor87:194
18EyüpsporEyüpspor92:233
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Alanyaspor vs Kocaelispor forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alanyaspor and Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig table

In the Süper Lig table, Kocaelispor are 7th and Alanyaspor 10th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Alanyaspor 9-11, Kocaelispor 11-9. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.