Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor Prediction

Başakşehir
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Kocaelispor
Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul·Mehmet Turkmen, Türkiye 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
67%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalGOODModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Başakşehir Rest
17 days
Kocaelispor Rest
90 days

Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor: the result in context

Başakşehir beat Kocaelispor 2-0 in the Süper Lig on 16 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Başakşehir had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Kocaelispor.

Referee Mehmet Turkmen averages 3.81 cards a game, 1.03 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
62%1.60
X
23%3.77
2
15%5.65
Double Chance
1X
85%1.12
X2
38%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
25%1.92
No
75%1.79
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.86 + 0.76 = 2.62
Over 1.5
74%1.30
Over 2.5
50%1.95
Over 3.5
25%3.40
Under 1.5
26%3.31
Under 2.5
50%1.83
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 3.3 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.60
Over 9.5
53%2.00
Over 10.5
40%2.52
Under 8.5
38%2.17
Under 9.5
47%1.72
Under 10.5
60%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 2.1 = 3.6
Over 3.5
38%1.67
Over 4.5
16%2.15
Under 3.5
62%2.10
Under 4.5
84%1.65

Match Events

14'C. OperiAssist: A. Fayzullaev
27'Goal Disallowed - FoulE. Bayram
31'T. Bingol
51'A. Fayzullaev
63'A. Fayzullaev INY. Sari out
67'B. Kutlu INM. Altunbas out
72'E. ShomurodovAssist: A. Skov Olsen
75'B. Yildirim INU. Bozok out
75'E. Shomurodov IND. Selke out
76'T. Bingol INE. Ortakaya out
81'T. Zoukrou
85'D. Agyei INE. Bilim out
85'M. Baku INA. Ozyar out
89'A. Skov Olsen INH. Gureler out
89'J. Kaluzinski INO. Ergun out
90+2'O. Sahiner

Lineups

Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Coach: Nuri Sahin
Kocaelispor
4-3-3Coach: Selcuk Inan
Avg rating7.16
Avg rating6.57
Muhammed Şengezer7.916M. Şengezer
Ömer Ali ŞahinerC6.742Ö. Ali Şahiner
Emin Bayram7.023E. Bayram
Jerome Opoku7.23J. Opoku
Christopher Operi8.521C. Operi
Olivier Kemen6.98O. Kemen
Jakub Kałuziński7.718J. Kałuziński
Andreas Skov Olsen8.270A. Skov Olsen
Eldor Shomurodov7.314E. Shomurodov
Abbosbek Fayzullaev6.911A. Fayzullaev
Bertuğ Yıldırım6.591B. Yıldırım
Serhat Öztaşdelen7.283S. Öztaşdelen
Rigoberto Rivas6.599R. Rivas
Tanguy Zoukrou6.34T. Zoukrou
Anfernee Jamal Dijksteel6.52A. Jamal Dijksteel
Massadio HaïdaraC6.721M. Haïdara
Uğur Kaan Yıldız6.322U. Kaan Yıldız
Show7.014Show
Berkan Kutlu6.310B. Kutlu
Dan Agyei6.77D. Agyei
Makana Baku6.332M. Baku
Tayfur Bingöl6.275T. Bingöl

Başakşehir Substitutes

7Yusuf Sarı63'for A. Fayzullaev6.6
98Deniz Dilmen
15Hamza Güreler89'for A. Skov Olsen
33Michał Karbownik
20Umut Güneş
19Berkay Özcan
4Onur Ergün89'for J. Kaluzinski
77Ivan Brnić
17Umut Bozok75'for B. Yildirim6.2
9Davie Selke75'for E. Shomurodov6.6

Kocaelispor Substitutes

26Metehan Altunbaş67'for B. Kutlu6.7
23Onurcan Piri
41Onur Öztonga
5Emir Ortakaya76'for T. Bingol6.7
3Muharrem Cinan
20Mahamadou Susoho
27Ege Bilim85'for D. Agyei
89Bedirhan Yıldız
19Haydar Karataş
17Arda Ozyar85'for M. Baku

Match Stats

BaşakşehirKocaelispor
51%Ball Possession49%
8Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal4
8Shots off Goal2
9Shots Inside Box3
8Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots2
14Fouls14
0Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves3
469Total Passes461
400Passes Accurate388
85%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
KocaelisporKocaelispor
1719Elo Rating 1666
2.30Attack 1.38
1.81Defense 2.19
61%Hit Rate 42%
15.0Shots per Game 14.0
6.3Shots on Target 4.6
4.6Corners per Game 6.6
1.8Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
KocaelisporKocaelispor
  • No tendency data available

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1Wins · 50%
Draws150%
KocaelisporKocaelispor0Wins · 0%
0.5Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Süper Lig06/04/2026
KocaelisporBaşakşehir
00
Süper Lig31/10/2025
BaşakşehirKocaelispor
10

Recent Form

BaşakşehirBaşakşehir
5W2D3L
30/07/2026
Inter TurkuBaşakşehir
20
L
22/07/2026
BaşakşehirInter Turku
11
D
16/07/2026
Puskas AcademyBaşakşehir
02
W
15/07/2026
Red Bull SalzburgBaşakşehir
12
W
10/07/2026
RiedBaşakşehir
11
D
06/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowBaşakşehir
31
L
16/05/2026
Gaziantep FKBaşakşehir
12
W
09/05/2026
BaşakşehirSamsunspor
30
W
02/05/2026
FenerbahçeBaşakşehir
31
L
24/04/2026
BaşakşehirKasımpaşa
40
W
KocaelisporKocaelispor
1W4D5L
17/05/2026
AntalyasporKocaelispor
10
L
09/05/2026
KocaelisporFatih Karagümrük
01
L
03/05/2026
KasımpaşaKocaelispor
11
D
26/04/2026
Gençlerbirliği S.K.Kocaelispor
10
L
18/04/2026
KocaelisporGöztepe
11
D
12/04/2026
GalatasarayKocaelispor
11
D
06/04/2026
KocaelisporBaşakşehir
00
D
18/03/2026
AlanyasporKocaelispor
50
L
14/03/2026
KocaelisporKonyaspor
12
L
09/03/2026
EyüpsporKocaelispor
01
W

Referee Profile

Mehmet Turkmen109 matches

3.81Cards per match
3.61Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
23.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Mehmet Turkmen3.81
Other referees4.84

3.81 cards a match, 1.03 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.84).

Cards come from 77 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Süper Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1191127:15+1228WWWWW
2TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1181226:8+1825WWWWW
3AmedAmed1172228:15+1323LWWWD
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1171323:12+1122WDWLW
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1155117:11+620WDWWL
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1161429:10+1919WLLWW
7KocaelisporKocaelispor1161413:9+419WDWLL
8BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1152419:17+217WWLWD
9Çorum FKÇorum FK1151521:21016LWLWW
10GöztepeGöztepe1143422:19+315LWWWW
11RizesporRizespor1142513:16-314WDLLL
12Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1142510:17-714LLWWD
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor113359:18-912LLLLD
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1132612:21-911LWLLD
15KonyasporKonyaspor112276:14-88LLWLD
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK112279:19-108LLLLL
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1121811:26-157WLLLL
18EyüpsporEyüpspor1110103:30-273LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1GalatasarayGalatasaray1127:1528
2TrabzonsporTrabzonspor1126:825
3AmedAmed1128:1523
4BeşiktaşBeşiktaş1123:1222
5KasımpaşaKasımpaşa1117:1120
6FenerbahçeFenerbahçe1129:1019
7KocaelisporKocaelispor1113:919
8BaşakşehirBaşakşehir1119:1717
9Çorum FKÇorum FK1121:2116
10GöztepeGöztepe1122:1915
11RizesporRizespor1113:1614
12Erzurumspor FKErzurumspor FK1110:1714
13AlanyasporAlanyaspor119:1812
14Gençlerbirliği S.K.Gençlerbirliği S.K.1112:2111
15KonyasporKonyaspor116:148
16Gaziantep FKGaziantep FK119:198
17SamsunsporSamsunspor1111:267
18EyüpsporEyüpspor113:303
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About the Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor forecast

The forecasts for this Süper Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Başakşehir and Kocaelispor in the Süper Lig table

Kocaelispor and Başakşehir are close in the Süper Lig table, 7th and 8th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: Başakşehir 19-17, Kocaelispor 13-9. The full standings are on the Süper Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Başakşehir have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Başakşehir and Kocaelispor have met only 2 times recently, averaging 0.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.