Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina Prediction

Alcione
4-1
Finished
HT 3-0
Desenzano Calvina
Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni·M. Costa 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-7.3%
Alcione Rest
7 days
Desenzano Calvina Rest
8 days

Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina: the result in context

Alcione beat Desenzano Calvina 4-1 in the Serie C - Girone A on 18 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Desenzano Calvina had won 2 of their previous five, compared with none for Alcione.

Their history points to a close game: 3 previous meetings produced 2.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.36
X
30%3.00
2
34%2.88
Double Chance
1X
66%1.36
X2
64%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.79
No
49%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.32 = 2.41
Over 1.5
70%1.32
Over 2.5
46%2.10
Over 3.5
26%3.60
Under 1.5
30%2.99
Under 2.5
54%1.67
Under 3.5
74%1.22
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

2'A. Rolfini
17'F. PirolaAssist: J. Pitou
35'E. Lopes INE. Sadotti out
42'A. Rolfini
46'F. Liberati INL. Ubaldi out
59'A. Procaccio
61'R. Rebaudo
65'A. Rolfini
68'F. Morselli
73'M. Moscati
74'J. Pitou
74'N. Trapani INA. Braida out
74'A. Rolfini INL. Zini out
75'M. Parlato INS. Tomaselli out
78'A. Pilati INP. Reggiori out
78'L. Giorgi INL. Baldi out

Team Comparison

AlcioneAlcione
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
1491Elo Rating 1574
1.85Attack 1.12
1.56Defense 1.73
23%Hit Rate 42%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend67% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AlcioneAlcione
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 3 meetings, all competitions

AlcioneAlcione2Wins · 67%
Draws133%
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
67%Both teams scored2 of 3
33%3+ goals1 of 3

Previous meetings

Serie D - Promotion - Play-offs14/05/2023
AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
21
Serie D - Girone B06/04/2023
Desenzano CalvinaAlcione
11
Serie D - Girone B27/11/2022
AlcioneDesenzano Calvina
10

Recent Form

AlcioneAlcione
2W6D2L
11/10/2026
LeccoAlcione
11
D
04/10/2026
AlcioneTrento
22
D
27/09/2026
AlbinoleffeAlcione
11
D
20/09/2026
AlcioneUnion Brescia
04
L
17/09/2026
PRO VercelliAlcione
22
D
13/09/2026
Folgore CarateseAlcione
23
W
07/09/2026
AlcioneTreviso
11
D
30/08/2026
Dolomiti BellunesiAlcione
00
D
21/08/2026
AlcioneRenate
31
W
16/08/2026
AlcioneNovara
01
L
Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina
4W4D2L
10/10/2026
Desenzano CalvinaDolomiti Bellunesi
20
W
03/10/2026
Folgore CarateseDesenzano Calvina
12
W
26/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaJuventus U23
00
D
21/09/2026
TrevisoDesenzano Calvina
00
D
17/09/2026
Desenzano CalvinaLecco
13
L
13/09/2026
Arzignano ValchiampoDesenzano Calvina
12
W
06/09/2026
Union BresciaDesenzano Calvina
10
L
03/09/2026
TrentoDesenzano Calvina
01
W
31/08/2026
Desenzano CalvinaTrento
00
D
23/08/2026
PRO VercelliDesenzano Calvina
11
D

League Table

Serie C - Girone A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CittadellaCittadella1190218:6+1227LWWLW
2TrentoTrento1165017:6+1123WWWDD
3Union BresciaUnion Brescia1164119:9+1022WLWDD
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1162316:11+520WLWDW
5TrevisoTreviso1154212:8+419WWLDW
6OspitalettoOspitaletto1153318:11+718LLWDW
7PergolettesePergolettese1145210:9+117WWWDD
8AlcioneAlcione1136218:17+115LWDDD
9LeccoLecco1135314:11+314DWDDL
10AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1135316:15+114DDLWD
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1134410:13-313LLWWD
12LumezzaneLumezzane1133512:16-412LLDWL
13Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1133516:21-512WWLLL
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1133510:19-912WLLWD
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1125412:14-211WWDDD
16NovaraNovara1124510:16-610LDLWL
17Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi112458:14-610LLLLD
18Juventus U23Juventus U231124511:18-710LWDLD
19Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1114611:17-67DLLLW
20RenateRenate110569:16-75DLDDL
#TeamMPGPts
1CittadellaCittadella1118:627
2TrentoTrento1117:623
3Union BresciaUnion Brescia1119:922
4Arzignano ValchiampoArzignano Valchiampo1116:1120
5TrevisoTreviso1112:819
6OspitalettoOspitaletto1118:1118
7PergolettesePergolettese1110:917
8AlcioneAlcione1118:1715
9LeccoLecco1114:1114
10AlbinoleffeAlbinoleffe1116:1514
11Desenzano CalvinaDesenzano Calvina1110:1313
12LumezzaneLumezzane1112:1612
13Athletic CarpiAthletic Carpi1116:2112
14PRO VercelliPRO Vercelli1110:1912
15Giana ErminioGiana Erminio1112:1411
16NovaraNovara1110:1610
17Dolomiti BellunesiDolomiti Bellunesi118:1410
18Juventus U23Juventus U231111:1810
19Folgore CarateseFolgore Caratese1111:177
20RenateRenate119:165
PromotionRelegation

About the Alcione vs Desenzano Calvina forecast

The forecasts for this Serie C - Girone A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alcione and Desenzano Calvina in the Serie C - Girone A table

In the Serie C - Girone A table, Alcione are 8th and Desenzano Calvina 11th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Alcione 18-17, Desenzano Calvina 10-13. The full standings are on the Serie C - Girone A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.