Alpendorada vs Castro Daire Prediction

Alpendorada
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Castro Daire
Municipal Stadium Alpendorada, Alpendorada 25/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.24
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-7.5%
Alpendorada Rest
7 days
Castro Daire Rest
14 days

Alpendorada vs Castro Daire: the result in context

Alpendorada and Castro Daire drew 2-2 in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B on 25 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.00
X
29%3.10
2
28%3.60
Double Chance
1X
72%1.24
X2
57%1.66
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

6'
11'
75'
77'

Team Comparison

AlpendoradaAlpendorada
Castro DaireCastro Daire
1514Elo Rating 1490
0.89Attack 0.99
1.98Defense 2.64
19%Hit Rate 37%

Game State Tendencies

AlpendoradaAlpendorada
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Castro DaireCastro Daire
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

AlpendoradaAlpendorada1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
Castro DaireCastro Daire1Wins · 50%
1.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 2
0%3+ goals0 of 2

Previous meetings

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B05/02/2023
AlpendoradaCastro Daire
10
Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B23/10/2022
Castro DaireAlpendorada
10

Recent Form

AlpendoradaAlpendorada
4W1D5L
18/10/2026
AlpendoradaCasa Pia
01
L
11/10/2026
CinfãesAlpendorada
00
D
20/09/2026
AlpendoradaMação
30
W
13/09/2026
AlpendoradaMachico
12
L
06/09/2026
SanjoanenseAlpendorada
31
L
30/08/2026
RebordosaAlpendorada
3243
W
23/08/2026
AlpendoradaCamacha
12
L
16/08/2026
GuardaAlpendorada
01
W
18/04/2026
AlpendoradaResende
34
L
12/04/2026
SalgueirosAlpendorada
02
W
Castro DaireCastro Daire
3W2D5L
11/10/2026
Castro DaireSalgueiros
00
D
04/10/2026
Castro DaireEstrela Calheta
30
W
19/09/2026
Castro DairePortimonense
01
L
13/09/2026
Beira-MarCastro Daire
11
D
22/08/2026
SousenseCastro Daire
01
W
16/08/2026
Castro DaireOvarense
02
L
31/08/2025
Castro DaireAnadia
1121
L
16/04/2023
LeçaCastro Daire
10
L
08/04/2023
Castro DaireResende
31
W
02/04/2023
Castro DaireBeira-Mar
01
L

League Table

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OvarenseOvarense651012:2+1016WDWWW
2MachicoMachico642010:2+814WWWDW
3CamachaCamacha642011:5+614WWDWW
4FlorgradeFlorgrade63126:6010WLWLW
5Castro DaireCastro Daire62317:5+29DDWDW
6SanjoanenseSanjoanense62227:708LWLWD
7União LamasUnião Lamas62227:9-28WLDWL
8SalgueirosSalgueiros61414:5-17LDWDD
9CinfãesCinfães61326:7-16LDDLD
10Beira-MarBeira-Mar60517:9-25DDDDL
11AlpendoradaAlpendorada61236:9-35DDLLL
12Estrela CalhetaEstrela Calheta61236:11-55LWLDL
13SousenseSousense60245:12-72DLDLL
14GuardaGuarda60152:7-51LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OvarenseOvarense612:216
2MachicoMachico610:214
3CamachaCamacha611:514
4FlorgradeFlorgrade66:610
5Castro DaireCastro Daire67:59
6SanjoanenseSanjoanense67:78
7União LamasUnião Lamas67:98
8SalgueirosSalgueiros64:57
9CinfãesCinfães66:76
10Beira-MarBeira-Mar67:95
11AlpendoradaAlpendorada66:95
12Estrela CalhetaEstrela Calheta66:115
13SousenseSousense65:122
14GuardaGuarda62:71
PromotionRelegation

About the Alpendorada vs Castro Daire forecast

The forecasts for this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Alpendorada and Castro Daire in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B table

In the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B table, Castro Daire are 5th and Alpendorada 11th, 4 points apart. League goal record so far: Alpendorada 6-9, Castro Daire 7-5. The full standings are on the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Alpendorada and Castro Daire have met only 2 times recently, averaging 1.0 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.