Machico vs Florgrade Prediction

Machico
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
Florgrade
10/10/2026
MachicoMachico
4-0
Finished
FlorgradeFlorgrade

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.21
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-9.3%
Machico Rest
27 days
Florgrade Rest
13 days

Machico vs Florgrade: the result in context

Machico beat Florgrade 4-0 in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B on 10 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%1.91
X
31%3.12
2
26%3.77
Double Chance
1X
74%1.21
X2
57%1.68
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'
43'
46'
90+2'

Team Comparison

MachicoMachico
FlorgradeFlorgrade
1554Elo Rating 1510
2.34Attack 0.80
2.24Defense 1.40
64%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

MachicoMachico
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.9 in first half)
FlorgradeFlorgrade
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

MachicoMachico
5W4D1L
13/09/2026
AlpendoradaMachico
12
W
04/09/2026
SalgueirosMachico
11
D
30/08/2026
MachicoCamacha
2222
D
23/08/2026
Beira-MarMachico
02
W
15/08/2026
MachicoEstrela Calheta
00
D
18/04/2026
MachicoRibeira Brava
10
W
12/04/2026
CeloricenseMachico
00
D
08/04/2026
MachicoVilaverdense
10
W
22/03/2026
CamachaMachico
21
L
15/03/2026
MachicoBragança
20
W
FlorgradeFlorgrade
4W3D3L
27/09/2026
CamachaFlorgrade
01
W
13/09/2026
FlorgradeSanjoanense
20
W
06/09/2026
CamachaFlorgrade
10
L
30/08/2026
FlorgradeSão João Ver
00
D
23/08/2026
FlorgradeGuarda
10
W
16/08/2026
União LamasFlorgrade
11
D
18/04/2026
FlorgradeRebordosa
21
W
12/04/2026
AparecidaFlorgrade
41
L
04/04/2026
FlorgradeResende
11
D
22/03/2026
SalgueirosFlorgrade
20
L

League Table

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OvarenseOvarense651012:2+1016WDWWW
2MachicoMachico642010:2+814WWWDW
3CamachaCamacha642011:5+614WWDWW
4FlorgradeFlorgrade63126:6010WLWLW
5Castro DaireCastro Daire62317:5+29DDWDW
6SanjoanenseSanjoanense62227:708LWLWD
7União LamasUnião Lamas62227:9-28WLDWL
8SalgueirosSalgueiros61414:5-17LDWDD
9CinfãesCinfães61326:7-16LDDLD
10Beira-MarBeira-Mar60517:9-25DDDDL
11AlpendoradaAlpendorada61236:9-35DDLLL
12Estrela CalhetaEstrela Calheta61236:11-55LWLDL
13SousenseSousense60245:12-72DLDLL
14GuardaGuarda60152:7-51LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OvarenseOvarense612:216
2MachicoMachico610:214
3CamachaCamacha611:514
4FlorgradeFlorgrade66:610
5Castro DaireCastro Daire67:59
6SanjoanenseSanjoanense67:78
7União LamasUnião Lamas67:98
8SalgueirosSalgueiros64:57
9CinfãesCinfães66:76
10Beira-MarBeira-Mar67:95
11AlpendoradaAlpendorada66:95
12Estrela CalhetaEstrela Calheta66:115
13SousenseSousense65:122
14GuardaGuarda62:71
PromotionRelegation

About the Machico vs Florgrade forecast

The forecasts for this Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Machico and Florgrade in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Machico are 2nd in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B, 4 points ahead of Florgrade in 4th. League goal record so far: Machico 10-2, Florgrade 6-6. The full standings are on the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Machico have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Machico and Florgrade have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.