Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction

Estadio Regional de Antofagasta, Antofagasta 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
77%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalHIGHModel56%SurpriseMediumGap-4.5%
Antofagasta Rest
3 days
San Marcos de Arica Rest
7 days

Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica: result, form and history

Antofagasta beat San Marcos de Arica 3-0 in the Primera B on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 7 previous meetings averaged 3.4 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.83
X
25%3.40
2
23%3.90
Double Chance
1X
77%1.22
X2
48%1.83
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.81
No
48%1.88
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.98 + 0.87 = 2.85
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
50%1.95
Over 3.5
29%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.14
Under 2.5
50%1.78
Under 3.5
71%1.26
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

22'B. Hurtado
30'A. Galleguillos
41'D. Rojas
42'G. Cubillos
45+1'J. Monreal
54'D. Rojas
54'D. Rojas
57'M. Iturra INA. Cazula out
61'S. Hinojosa INV. Aros out
61'A. Cuadra INF. Manzano out
70'G. Cubillos INN. Zedan out
70'A. Galleguillos IND. Pereira out
72'J. Monreal INJ. D. Bandez out
79'C. Rencoret INN. Donadell out
79'G. Reyes INA. Abalos out
86'B. Hurtado
88'A. Barboza
88'B. Hurtado INC. Diaz out

Team Comparison

AntofagastaAntofagasta
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
1618Elo Rating 1460
1.97Attack 1.03
2.86Defense 1.84
73%Hit Rate 36%

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+158 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.84 goals
📈BTTS Trend86% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AntofagastaAntofagasta
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

AntofagastaAntofagasta2Wins · 29%
Draws343%
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2Wins · 28%
3.4Avg Goals
86%Both teams scored6 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera B17/05/2026
San Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
11
Primera B31/08/2025
San Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
00
Primera B27/04/2025
AntofagastaSan Marcos de Arica
23
Primera B06/08/2024
San Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
11
Primera B24/03/2024
AntofagastaSan Marcos de Arica
21
Primera B09/10/2023
San Marcos de AricaAntofagasta
43
Primera B28/05/2023
AntofagastaSan Marcos de Arica
41

Recent Form

San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
3W1D6L
04/10/2026
Deportes Santa CruzSan Marcos de Arica
12
W
13/09/2026
San Marcos de AricaCurico Unido
30
W
09/09/2026
RecoletaSan Marcos de Arica
21
L
06/09/2026
San Marcos de AricaDeportes Copiapo
21
W
01/09/2026
CobreloaSan Marcos de Arica
20
L
22/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaRangers de Talca
12
L
16/08/2026
Union EspanolaSan Marcos de Arica
21
L
13/08/2026
San Marcos de AricaUnion San Felipe
01
L
08/08/2026
Santiago WanderersSan Marcos de Arica
11
D
06/08/2026
Coquimbo UnidoSan Marcos de Arica
10
L

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1CobreloaCobreloa29159552:30+2254WWLWW
2San LuisSan Luis29159544:30+1454DWWWW
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers29148748:32+1650WWLLL
4AntofagastaAntofagasta29139751:26+2548WDWWL
5MagallanesMagallanes29137945:44+146LLWWW
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica291110835:28+743WDLWW
7RecoletaRecoleta29119941:43-242DLLWD
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo291181043:42+141DLWWW
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola291161234:37-339LWLLD
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique29911942:33+938WDWWW
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt291151329:36-738WDLLL
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco29991145:41+436LDWLD
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido297101226:46-2031LDWLL
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz294121329:43-1424DDLLD
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe29581619:53-3423LDLLL
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca29561828:47-1921LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1CobreloaCobreloa2952:3054
2San LuisSan Luis2944:3054
3Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2948:3250
4AntofagastaAntofagasta2951:2648
5MagallanesMagallanes2945:4446
6San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2935:2843
7RecoletaRecoleta2941:4342
8Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2943:4241
9Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2934:3739
10Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2942:3338
11D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2929:3638
12Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco2945:4136
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido2926:4631
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2929:4324
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2919:5323
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2928:4721

About the Antofagasta vs San Marcos de Arica forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Antofagasta and San Marcos de Arica in the Primera B table

Antofagasta and San Marcos de Arica are close in the Primera B table, 4th and 6th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Antofagasta 51-26, San Marcos de Arica 35-28. The full standings are on the Primera B Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

San Marcos de Arica have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.