Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction

Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK, Santiago de Chile 16/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.74
SignalGOODModel32%RiskHighGap+5.4%
Union Espanola Rest
4 days
San Marcos de Arica Rest
2 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.68
X
29%3.10
2
31%2.50
Double Chance
1X
69%1.44
X2
60%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%1.75
No
52%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.06 = 2.35
Over 1.5
66%1.30
Over 2.5
41%2.00
Over 3.5
22%3.34
Under 1.5
34%3.10
Under 2.5
59%1.74
Under 3.5
78%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'C. GuerraOG
8'A. Barboza
13'W. Machado
35'F. Massri
43'A. Araos
44'C. Guerra
46'M. Moya Godoy INM. Iturra out
46'F. Ratotti INP. Rubio out
46'A. Araos INB. Droguett out
61'N. Donadell INE. Benavides out
80'R. Cordero INM. Celis out
84'A. Vilches Araneda INT. Ovando out
84'A. Maidana INN. Zedan out
89'F. Massri
90+2'K. Contreras
90+2'G. Reyes INN. Orrego out
90+7'M. Iturra
90+8'F. Massri ING. Norambuena out

Team Comparison

Union EspanolaUnion Espanola
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
1451Elo Rating 1460
0.69Attack 1.57
1.49Defense 1.73
0%Hit Rate 46%

Game State Tendencies

Union EspanolaUnion Espanola
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 1 historical meeting

Union Espanola 0%Draw 0%100% San Marcos de Arica
2Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

League Table

Primera B 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers24128440:25+1544LWWWD
2CobreloaCobreloa24119442:27+1542DLWLW
3San LuisSan Luis24118538:29+941WWWLW
4MagallanesMagallanes25117741:38+340WDDLW
5AntofagastaAntofagasta25108742:26+1638LDLWW
6RecoletaRecoleta25108736:33+338DWWDW
7San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2599731:23+836WLWLL
8Union EspanolaUnion Espanola25106932:32036DLDLW
9D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt251041126:31-534LLWLL
10Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco2588940:35+532DWLWL
11Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2487933:38-531DLLLW
12Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique25610933:30+328WLLLW
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido25691022:38-1627LWLDW
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz254101126:38-1222DWDDL
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe23571115:37-2222DDLLW
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca25461523:40-1718LWWWW
#TeamMPGPts
1Santiago WanderersSantiago Wanderers2440:2544
2CobreloaCobreloa2442:2742
3San LuisSan Luis2438:2941
4MagallanesMagallanes2541:3840
5AntofagastaAntofagasta2542:2638
6RecoletaRecoleta2536:3338
7San Marcos de AricaSan Marcos de Arica2531:2336
8Union EspanolaUnion Espanola2532:3236
9D. Puerto MonttD. Puerto Montt2526:3134
10Deportes TemucoDeportes Temuco2540:3532
11Deportes CopiapoDeportes Copiapo2433:3831
12Deportes IquiqueDeportes Iquique2533:3028
13Curico UnidoCurico Unido2522:3827
14Deportes Santa CruzDeportes Santa Cruz2526:3822
15Union San FelipeUnion San Felipe2315:3722
16Rangers de TalcaRangers de Talca2523:4018

Union Espanola vs San Marcos de Arica Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Primera B fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera B

ScorePredicts covers Chile football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Union Espanola and San Marcos de Arica have met 1 times recently, averaging 2 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.