AO Itabaiana vs Caxias Prediction

AO Itabaiana
0-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Caxias
Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana 09/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap-1.8%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel31%SurpriseHighGap+6.6%
AO Itabaiana Rest
15 days
Caxias Rest
14 days

AO Itabaiana vs Caxias: result, form and history

Caxias beat AO Itabaiana 2-0 in the Serie C on 9 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: AO Itabaiana had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Caxias.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%2.60
X
35%2.65
2
28%2.88
Double Chance
1X
72%1.36
X2
63%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.27
No
56%1.54
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.62
Over 2.5
37%2.92
Over 3.5
18%6.00
Under 1.5
37%2.15
Under 2.5
63%1.36
Under 3.5
82%1.11
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

4'Breno Santos
34'Victor Sa
46'Calyson INDentinho out
46'Tito INJulio Henrique out
46'Renatinho INEverton Kanela out
48'Joao Lucas
54'Victor Sa INVitor Gabriel out
65'Mancha INMauricio Ribeiro out
66'Gustavo Fagundes
67'Cleiton INL. F. Andrade out
69'Vitor Gabriel
77'Leilson INDyego out
77'Fabricio Oya INValdenilson out
79'Marcelo Freitas INMatheus Nunes out
79'Joao Lucas INAndre out

Team Comparison

AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana
CaxiasCaxias
1428Elo Rating 1485
0.37Attack 0.67
0.88Defense 1.87
0%Hit Rate 17%

Game State Tendencies

AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.4 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CaxiasCaxias
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1Wins · 100%
Draws00%
CaxiasCaxias0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
100%3+ goals1 of 1

Previous meetings

Serie C25/05/2025
AO ItabaianaCaxias
21

Recent Form

AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana
4W4D2L
25/07/2026
ConfiançaAO Itabaiana
11
D
14/07/2026
AO ItabaianaBrusque
10
W
07/07/2026
AmazonasAO Itabaiana
02
W
28/06/2026
AO ItabaianaFerroviária
10
W
20/06/2026
AnápolisAO Itabaiana
20
L
14/06/2026
AO ItabaianaItuano
22
D
30/05/2026
AO ItabaianaVolta Redonda
01
L
24/05/2026
Inter De LimeiraAO Itabaiana
00
D
17/05/2026
FigueirenseAO Itabaiana
01
W
09/05/2026
AO ItabaianaFloresta
00
D
CaxiasCaxias
3W5D2L
26/07/2026
CaxiasBotafogo PB
12
L
11/07/2026
CaxiasFloresta
00
D
05/07/2026
FerroviáriaCaxias
01
W
01/07/2026
CaxiasAnápolis
11
D
21/06/2026
CaxiasMaringá
11
D
13/06/2026
Guarani CampinasCaxias
21
L
31/05/2026
CaxiasItuano
21
W
24/05/2026
MaranhãoCaxias
00
D
17/05/2026
CaxiasPaysandu
20
W
10/05/2026
BarraCaxias
00
D

League Table

Serie C 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB19103628:19+933LLLLW
2BrusqueBrusque1995528:22+632WDWWD
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1986522:15+730DWDDL
4MaringáMaringá1986532:30+230LWLLW
5FlorestaFloresta1986522:20+230DLWDD
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1986522:20+230LWDDW
7PaysanduPaysandu1992826:27-129WWWDD
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1985620:15+529WLLLD
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1985627:24+329DWDWW
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1977534:24+1028DLDLW
11FigueirenseFigueirense1977519:22-328WDWDW
12MaranhãoMaranhão1976619:18+127LWWWD
13AmazonasAmazonas1975721:23-226DDDWW
14CaxiasCaxias1967617:16+125DLLWL
15ItuanoItuano1964918:21-322LLLWL
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda19631013:25-1221LLWLL
17BarraBarra1956821:21021WLWLL
18AnápolisAnápolis19541017:22-519DWLWW
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana19451014:27-1317LLLLD
20ConfiançaConfiança19341211:20-913LLDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Botafogo PBBotafogo PB1928:1933
2BrusqueBrusque1928:2232
3FerroviáriaFerroviária1922:1530
4MaringáMaringá1932:3030
5FlorestaFloresta1922:2030
6Inter De LimeiraInter De Limeira1922:2030
7PaysanduPaysandu1926:2729
8Santa CruzSanta Cruz1920:1529
9Ypiranga-RSYpiranga-RS1927:2429
10Guarani CampinasGuarani Campinas1934:2428
11FigueirenseFigueirense1919:2228
12MaranhãoMaranhão1919:1827
13AmazonasAmazonas1921:2326
14CaxiasCaxias1917:1625
15ItuanoItuano1918:2122
16Volta RedondaVolta Redonda1913:2521
17BarraBarra1921:2121
18AnápolisAnápolis1917:2219
19AO ItabaianaAO Itabaiana1914:2717
20ConfiançaConfiança1911:2013
Relegation

About the AO Itabaiana vs Caxias forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AO Itabaiana and Caxias in the Serie C table

In the Serie C table, Caxias are 14th and AO Itabaiana 19th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: AO Itabaiana 14-27, Caxias 17-16. The full standings are on the Serie C Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AO Itabaiana and Caxias have met only 1 time recently, with 3.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.