AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton Prediction

AS Eupen
1-2
Finished
HT 1-0
Excelsior Virton
Kehrweg Stadium, Eupen 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
83%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.15
SignalSTRONGModel61%SurpriseMediumGap-4.3%
AS Eupen Rest
7 days
Excelsior Virton Rest
8 days

AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton: the result in context

Excelsior Virton beat AS Eupen 2-1 in the Challenger Pro League on 1 Nov 2026. That went against recent form: AS Eupen had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Excelsior Virton.

AS Eupen tend to win more corners, 5.9 a game to 2.0 for Excelsior Virton.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.55
X
22%4.17
2
19%4.70
Double Chance
1X
81%1.15
X2
41%2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.60
No
43%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.87 + 1.19 = 3.06
Over 1.5
80%1.17
Over 2.5
60%1.54
Over 3.5
38%2.38
Under 1.5
20%4.80
Under 2.5
40%2.35
Under 3.5
62%1.53
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

41'Penalty confirmedIgor Plastun
44'Ba-Muaka Simakala(Penalty)
58'Jean-Claude Ntenda
63'Logan Delaurier-Chaubet INIsaac Nuhu out
72'Mark Müller INTheo Marechal out
72'Lorenzo Youndje INBertan Çalışkan out
72'Steeven Assengue INTyron Tormin out
79'Ihab GoudaniAssist: Abdelsamad Hachem
82'Mathias Fixelles INAron Sulejmani out
82'Ba-Muaka Simakala INJoão Diogo Alves Rodrigues out
86'Ihab Goudani INLorenzo De Geyndt out
90'Paul Wade INValentin Sanson out
90+2'Tyron TorminFoul
90+4'Penalty cancelledRune Paeshuyse

Lineups

AS Eupen
4-1-4-1Coach: F. Mazzù
Excelsior Virton
5-4-1Coach: Drazen Brncic
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating6.69
M. Hiller6.21M. Hiller
Y. Van Genechten6.72Y. Van Genechten
R. Paeshuyse6.728R. Paeshuyse
I. Plastun7.132I. Plastun
N. Gavory6.95N. Gavory
M. Fixelles6.470M. Fixelles
L. Delaurier-Chaubet6.122L. Delaurier-Chaubet
M. Müller5.627M. Müller
C. Nadje6.610C. Nadje
L. Youndje5.513L. Youndje
B. Simakala7.411B. Simakala
C. De Schrevel6.91C. De Schrevel
S. Assengue6.222S. Assengue
M. Guillaume6.46M. Guillaume
E. Kari6.94E. Kari
A. Tchaptchet6.53A. Tchaptchet
J. Ntenda7.618J. Ntenda
A. Dembélé6.713A. Dembélé
I. Goudani8.019I. Goudani
P. Wade6.610P. Wade
G. Arib6.38G. Arib
A. Hachem6.611A. Hachem

AS Eupen Substitutes

24A. Lejoly
98Kikas82'for Ba-Muaka Simakala6.3
25Jaden Malhage
18A. Keita
47Théo Maréchal72'for Mark Müller6.2
7I. Nuhu63'for Logan Delaurier-Chaubet7.2
3M. Precious
9A. Sulejmani82'for Mathias Fixelles6.5
19B. Caliskan72'for Lorenzo Youndje6.0

Excelsior Virton Substitutes

29Nathan Fernandes
14Luca Maiorano
17T. Tormin72'for Steeven Assengue90+2'6.6
21A. Valério
16N. Closset
20Lorenzo De Geyndt86'replaced by Ihab Goudani
23A. Diop
26V. Sanson90'for Paul Wade6.4
9M. Inchaud

Match Stats

AS EupenExcelsior Virton
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
19Total Shots11
7Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal5
17Shots Inside Box4
2Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
11Fouls11
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves6
465Total Passes424
385Passes Accurate342
11Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

AS EupenAS Eupen
Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton
1557Elo Rating 1467
1.48Attack 1.49
1.17Defense 0.81
50%Hit Rate 17%
16.6Shots per Game 10.0
4.8Shots on Target 4.0
5.9Corners per Game 2.0
1.9Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.05 goals
📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

AS EupenAS Eupen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

AS EupenAS Eupen
7W0D3L
25/10/2026
AS EupenBeerschot VA
12
L
18/10/2026
KV MechelenAS Eupen
51
L
09/10/2026
RSC Anderlecht IIAS Eupen
02
W
01/10/2026
AS EupenAlemannia Aachen
31
W
27/09/2026
MerelbekeAS Eupen
01
W
19/09/2026
AS EupenLiège
31
W
13/09/2026
Patro EisdenAS Eupen
12
W
05/09/2026
Club Brugge IIAS Eupen
01
W
21/08/2026
Lokeren-TemseAS Eupen
21
L
15/08/2026
AS EupenKRC Genk II
41
W
Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton
4W2D4L
24/10/2026
Seraing UnitedExcelsior Virton
31
L
17/10/2026
Excelsior VirtonGenk
02
L
10/10/2026
Excelsior VirtonSporting Hasselt
34
L
26/09/2026
OostkampExcelsior Virton
03
W
20/09/2026
Lokeren-TemseExcelsior Virton
11
D
12/09/2026
Excelsior VirtonKRC Genk II
30
W
30/08/2026
Excelsior VirtonFrancs Borains
01
L
21/08/2026
RSC Anderlecht IIExcelsior Virton
01
W
15/08/2026
Excelsior VirtonK. Lierse S.K.
30
W
05/08/2026
Excelsior VirtonStrasbourg II
11
D

League Table

Challenger Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA980123:7+1624WWWWW
2DenderDender861112:3+919DWWWW
3AS EupenAS Eupen850315:9+615LLWWW
4Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt850312:13-115WWLWL
5Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton841314:10+413WLLDW
6Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse841316:14+213LWDWL
7Patro EisdenPatro Eisden940514:15-112WWWLL
8Francs BorainsFrancs Borains74039:10-112LLWWW
9KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II832311:13-211WLWDL
10Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II823314:17-39LDLDD
11KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II923413:16-39DDLDL
12K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.72237:10-38LWLDD
13Seraing UnitedSeraing United922512:16-48WWLDL
14LiègeLiège912613:22-95LLLLD
15RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II70167:17-101LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA923:724
2DenderDender812:319
3AS EupenAS Eupen815:915
4Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt812:1315
5Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton814:1013
6Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse816:1413
7Patro EisdenPatro Eisden914:1512
8Francs BorainsFrancs Borains79:1012
9KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II811:1311
10Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II814:179
11KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II913:169
12K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.77:108
13Seraing UnitedSeraing United912:168
14LiègeLiège913:225
15RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II77:171
PromotionRelegation

About the AS Eupen vs Excelsior Virton forecast

The forecasts for this Challenger Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AS Eupen and Excelsior Virton in the Challenger Pro League table

AS Eupen and Excelsior Virton are close in the Challenger Pro League table, 3rd and 5th, with 2 points between them. League goal record so far: AS Eupen 15-9, Excelsior Virton 14-10. The full standings are on the Challenger Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AS Eupen and Excelsior Virton have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.