AS Eupen vs Liège Prediction

AS Eupen
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Liège
Kehrweg Stadium, Eupen 19/09/2026
AS EupenAS Eupen
3-1
Finished
LiègeLiège

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
59%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.73
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
AS Eupen Rest
6 days
Liège Rest
6 days

AS Eupen vs Liège: the result in context

AS Eupen beat Liège 3-1 in the Challenger Pro League on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: AS Eupen had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Liège.

Their 4 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 1 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.73
X
21%3.65
2
21%4.00
Double Chance
1X
79%1.19
X2
42%1.93
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.62
No
44%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.73 + 1.17 = 2.90
Over 1.5
77%1.20
Over 2.5
53%1.66
Over 3.5
32%2.62
Under 1.5
23%4.10
Under 2.5
47%2.10
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

23'Raphael Augustin Di MatteoAssist: Amadou Keita
30'Penalty cancelledBa-Muaka Simakala
36'Isaac NuhuAssist: Ba-Muaka Simakala
42'Raphael Augustin Di Matteo INMark Müller out
45'Adham Refai INRambok Ryan Wesley Ogam out
45'Élie Ilunga Kitoko INOusmane Camara out
50'Eric N'joFoul
55'Simon PauletFoul
65'Reno Wilmots INKevin Shkurti out
65'Kays Ruiz Atil INNacim Dendani out
65'Ba-Muaka Simakala INJoão Diogo Alves Rodrigues out
66'Logan Delaurier-Chaubet INBertan Çalışkan out
70'João Diogo Alves RodriguesAssist: Yentl Van Genechten
74'Isaac Nuhu INSandro Vidigal out
74'Amadou Keita INTheo Marechal out
82'Pierre-Yves NgawaAssist: Nacim Dendani
83'Stephen Reynaerts INArnold Qevani out
90+3'Arnold QevaniViolent conduct
90+3'Card upgrade confirmedArnold Qevani

Lineups

AS Eupen
4-1-4-1Coach: F. Mazzù
Liège
5-4-1Coach: G. Englebert
Avg rating6.98
Avg rating6.16
A. Lejoly6.924A. Lejoly
Y. Van Genechten7.42Y. Van Genechten
R. Paeshuyse7.128R. Paeshuyse
I. Plastun6.432I. Plastun
N. Gavory6.85N. Gavory
M. Fixelles6.370M. Fixelles
L. Delaurier-Chaubet6.322L. Delaurier-Chaubet
R. Di Matteo7.914R. Di Matteo
A. Keita7.518A. Keita
I. Nuhu7.67I. Nuhu
B. Simakala7.211B. Simakala
A. André5.91A. André
S. Paulet5.818S. Paulet
E. N'jo6.216E. N'jo
P. Ngawa7.25P. Ngawa
Ilunga Kitoko6.12I. Kitoko
Stephen Reynaerts6.023S. Reynaerts
A. Refai5.619A. Refai
R. Wilmots6.328R. Wilmots
V. Guillaume6.314V. Guillaume
B. Bruggeman5.37B. Bruggeman
K. Ruiz-Atil6.58K. Ruiz-Atil

AS Eupen Substitutes

19B. Caliskan66'for Logan Delaurier-Chaubet7.0
98Kikas65'for Ba-Muaka Simakala70'7.4
47Théo Maréchal74'for Amadou Keita6.5
27M. Müller42'for Raphael Augustin Di Matteo6.6
44J. Renner
17Sandro Vidigal74'for Isaac Nuhu6.6
9A. Sulejmani
3M. Precious
13L. Youndje

Liège Substitutes

25J. D'Ostilio
13D. Mouchamps
15R. Ogam45'for Adham Refai6.8
6K. Shkurti65'for Reno Wilmots6.0
24O. Camara45'for Élie Ilunga Kitoko6.5
22J. Mpenza
17A. N'Salambi
9A. Qevani83'for Stephen Reynaerts90+3'5.5
11N. Dendani65'for Kays Ruiz Atil6.8

Match Stats

AS EupenLiège
49%Ball Possession51%
8Corner Kicks7
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal6
9Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box12
4Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots2
12Fouls8
2Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves1
419Total Passes415
325Passes Accurate329
8Free Kicks12

Team Comparison

AS EupenAS Eupen
LiègeLiège
1568Elo Rating 1461
1.70Attack 1.74
1.35Defense 0.00
73%Hit Rate 19%
14.2Shots per Game 14.1
5.5Shots on Target 5.0
6.3Corners per Game 5.0
2.1Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+108 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.9 goals
📈BTTS Trend25% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AS EupenAS Eupen
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
LiègeLiège
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AS EupenAS Eupen2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
LiègeLiège2Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Challenger Pro League17/04/2026
LiègeAS Eupen
21
Challenger Pro League09/08/2025
AS EupenLiège
20
Challenger Pro League21/12/2024
AS EupenLiège
01
Challenger Pro League18/08/2024
LiègeAS Eupen
03

Recent Form

AS EupenAS Eupen
8W0D2L
13/09/2026
Patro EisdenAS Eupen
12
W
05/09/2026
Club Brugge IIAS Eupen
01
W
21/08/2026
Lokeren-TemseAS Eupen
21
L
15/08/2026
AS EupenKRC Genk II
41
W
08/08/2026
AS EupenSeraing United
13
L
01/08/2026
VVV VenloAS Eupen
23
W
29/07/2026
AS EupenAywaille
80
W
25/07/2026
WiltzAS Eupen
09
W
15/07/2026
AS EupenLa Calamine
21
W
11/07/2026
Wegberg-BeeckAS Eupen
01
W
LiègeLiège
3W4D3L
13/09/2026
LiègeClub Brugge II
44
D
06/09/2026
K. Lierse S.K.Liège
00
D
29/08/2026
LiègeDender
12
L
23/08/2026
KRC Genk IILiège
23
W
17/08/2026
LiègeFrancs Borains
12
L
08/08/2026
Patro EisdenLiège
00
D
01/08/2026
WaremmeLiège
07
W
25/07/2026
AywailleLiège
07
W
24/07/2026
Atert BissenLiège
11
D
22/07/2026
LiègeSt. Truiden
01
L

League Table

Challenger Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA870120:7+1321WWWWW
2DenderDender760111:2+918WWWWW
3AS EupenAS Eupen750214:7+715LWWWW
4Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse741215:11+413WDWLL
5Francs BorainsFrancs Borains64029:7+212LWWWL
6Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt74038:10-212WLWLL
7Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton731312:9+310LLDWL
8Patro EisdenPatro Eisden830511:14-39WWLLL
9Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II723211:13-29DLDDL
10K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.62227:8-18WLDDW
11KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II822412:15-38DLDLW
12KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II72239:13-48LWDLD
13Seraing UnitedSeraing United812511:16-55WLDLL
14LiègeLiège812513:21-85LLLDD
15RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II70167:17-101LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA820:721
2DenderDender711:218
3AS EupenAS Eupen714:715
4Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse715:1113
5Francs BorainsFrancs Borains69:712
6Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt78:1012
7Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton712:910
8Patro EisdenPatro Eisden811:149
9Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II711:139
10K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.67:88
11KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II812:158
12KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II79:138
13Seraing UnitedSeraing United811:165
14LiègeLiège813:215
15RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II77:171
PromotionRelegation

About the AS Eupen vs Liège forecast

The forecasts for this Challenger Pro League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

AS Eupen and Liège in the Challenger Pro League table

The table shows a wide gap: AS Eupen are 3rd in the Challenger Pro League, while Liège sit 14th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: AS Eupen 14-7, Liège 13-21. The full standings are on the Challenger Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.