KRC Genk II vs Liège Prediction

KRC Genk II
2-3
Finished
HT 1-2
Liège
Cegeka Arena, Genk·T. Stevens 23/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.45
SignalGOODModel25%SurpriseHighGap+4.7%
KRC Genk II Rest
4 days
Liège Rest
5 days

KRC Genk II vs Liège: result, form and history

Liège beat KRC Genk II 3-2 in the Challenger Pro League on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Liège have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 6 previous meetings, which averaged 4.3 goals a game. Referee T. Stevens averages 5.42 cards a game, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
37%3.04
X
23%3.50
2
40%2.10
Double Chance
1X
61%1.65
X2
63%1.31
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.52
No
45%2.34
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.41 + 1.36 = 2.77
Over 1.5
76%1.18
Over 2.5
54%1.61
Over 3.5
33%2.52
Under 1.5
24%4.35
Under 2.5
46%2.19
Under 3.5
67%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

12'S. Paulet(Penalty)
16'D. NzokoFoul
30'R. MirisolaAssist: Y. Medina
42'S. PauletAssist: B. Bruggeman
46'Y. Medina INW. Kapers out
56'R. Mirisola(Penalty)
57'Z. Henry INB. Manguelle out
58'E. DoucoureOG
64'R. Ogam INA. Refai out
64'N. Dendani INO. Camara out
74'B. Bruggeman INS. Reynaerts out
74'J. Driessen INM. Koma out
74'D. Nzoko INA. Camara out
88'V. Guillaume INI. Kitoko out
88'K. Ruiz Atil INK. Shkurti out
89'K. Pierre INJ. Coenen out

Team Comparison

KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II
LiègeLiège
1459Elo Rating 1438
0.78Attack 1.19
2.05Defense 0.29
0%Hit Rate 14%
12.3Shots per Game 7.6
4.7Shots on Target 2.9
6.3Corners per Game 4.6
3.3Cards per Game 3.5

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
LiègeLiège
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 6 meetings, all competitions

KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II2Wins · 33%
Draws00%
LiègeLiège4Wins · 67%
4.3Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored3 of 6
83%3+ goals5 of 6

Previous meetings

Challenger Pro League14/02/2026
KRC Genk IILiège
20
Challenger Pro League05/10/2025
LiègeKRC Genk II
50
Challenger Pro League13/04/2025
LiègeKRC Genk II
31
Challenger Pro League25/08/2024
KRC Genk IILiège
41
Challenger Pro League19/04/2024
LiègeKRC Genk II
50
Challenger Pro League03/11/2023
KRC Genk IILiège
23

Recent Form

KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II
6W3D1L
19/08/2026
Oud-Heverlee Leuven IIKRC Genk II
22
D
15/08/2026
AS EupenKRC Genk II
41
L
08/08/2026
ZelzateKRC Genk II
12
W
05/08/2026
Royal Antwerp IIKRC Genk II
00
D
25/07/2026
KRC Genk IIFC Eindhoven
42
W
22/07/2026
Eendracht TermienKRC Genk II
23
W
18/07/2026
Jong PSV U21KRC Genk II
24
W
15/07/2026
KRC Genk IIRWDM
62
W
11/07/2026
Kabouters OpglabbeekKRC Genk II
07
W
17/04/2026
KRC Genk IIKAA Gent II
11
D
LiègeLiège
3W3D4L
17/08/2026
LiègeFrancs Borains
12
L
08/08/2026
Patro EisdenLiège
00
D
01/08/2026
WaremmeLiège
07
W
25/07/2026
AywailleLiège
07
W
24/07/2026
Atert BissenLiège
11
D
22/07/2026
LiègeSt. Truiden
01
L
27/06/2026
MalmundariaLiège
07
W
24/06/2026
Richelle UnitedLiège
11
D
27/04/2026
LiègeLommel United
12
L
23/04/2026
Lommel UnitedLiège
30
L

Referee Profile

T. Stevens56 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.11Yellow cards per match
0.31Red cards per match
28.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

T. Stevens5.42
Other referees4.73

5.42 cards a match, 0.69 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 36 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Challenger Pro League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA1090125:8+1727WWWWW
2DenderDender1062214:6+820DLDWW
3AS EupenAS Eupen960318:11+718WLLWW
4Francs BorainsFrancs Borains960311:10+118WWLLW
5Patro EisdenPatro Eisden1050516:16015WWWWL
6Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt950413:15-215LWWLW
7Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse942318:16+214DLWDW
8Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton941415:12+313LWLLD
9KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II933312:14-212DWLWD
10KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II1024414:17-310DDDLD
11Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II923414:21-79LLDLD
12Seraing UnitedSeraing United1022612:17-58LWWLD
13K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.92259:14-58LLLWL
14RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II921612:17-57WWLLL
15LiègeLiège912613:22-95LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Beerschot VABeerschot VA1025:827
2DenderDender1014:620
3AS EupenAS Eupen918:1118
4Francs BorainsFrancs Borains911:1018
5Patro EisdenPatro Eisden1016:1615
6Sporting HasseltSporting Hasselt913:1515
7Lokeren-TemseLokeren-Temse918:1614
8Excelsior VirtonExcelsior Virton915:1213
9KAA Gent IIKAA Gent II912:1412
10KRC Genk IIKRC Genk II1014:1710
11Club Brugge IIClub Brugge II914:219
12Seraing UnitedSeraing United1012:178
13K. Lierse S.K.K. Lierse S.K.99:148
14RSC Anderlecht IIRSC Anderlecht II912:177
15LiègeLiège913:225
PromotionRelegation

About the KRC Genk II vs Liège forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

KRC Genk II and Liège in the Challenger Pro League table

In the Challenger Pro League table, KRC Genk II are 10th and Liège 15th, 5 points apart. League goal record so far: KRC Genk II 14-17, Liège 13-22. The full standings are on the Challenger Pro League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.