Atenas vs La Luz Prediction

Atenas
4-0
Finished
HT 2-0
La Luz
14/06/2026
AtenasAtenas
4-0
Finished
La LuzLa Luz

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalGOODModel29%SurpriseHighGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.47
SignalHIGHModel21%SurpriseHighGap+12.0%
Atenas Rest
7 days
La Luz Rest
8 days

Atenas vs La Luz: the result in context

Atenas beat La Luz 4-0 in the Segunda División on 14 Jun 2026. It was in line with recent form: Atenas had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for La Luz.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.3 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%2.50
X
25%2.89
2
29%2.77
Double Chance
1X
71%1.36
X2
54%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%2.04
No
50%1.66
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.15 = 2.63
Over 1.5
74%1.47
Over 2.5
48%2.48
Over 3.5
29%4.65
Under 1.5
26%2.38
Under 2.5
52%1.46
Under 3.5
71%1.13
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'M. Nunez
13'OG
66'
84'
90'

Team Comparison

AtenasAtenas
La LuzLa Luz
1502Elo Rating 1466
1.22Attack 1.47
1.98Defense 2.01
37%Hit Rate 56%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AtenasAtenas
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.4 in second half)
La LuzLa Luz
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

AtenasAtenas0Wins · 0%
Draws450%
La LuzLa Luz4Wins · 50%
2.3Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored6 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Segunda División04/04/2026
La LuzAtenas
21
Segunda División13/09/2025
AtenasLa Luz
23
Segunda División25/06/2025
La LuzAtenas
11
Segunda División02/11/2024
AtenasLa Luz
11
Segunda División14/07/2024
La LuzAtenas
11
Segunda División11/09/2022
AtenasLa Luz
12
Segunda División18/06/2022
La LuzAtenas
00
Segunda División25/03/2022
AtenasLa Luz
01

Recent Form

AtenasAtenas
4W0D6L
07/06/2026
CerritoAtenas
21
L
31/05/2026
CA River PlateAtenas
02
W
23/05/2026
AtenasPaysandu
32
W
17/05/2026
Sportivo HuracanAtenas
10
L
09/05/2026
AtenasUruguay Montevideo
21
W
28/04/2026
AtenasFenix
14
L
18/04/2026
AtenasTacuarembo
10
W
04/04/2026
La LuzAtenas
21
L
01/04/2026
AtenasUruguay Montevideo
01
L
21/03/2026
CerritoAtenas
31
L
La LuzLa Luz
2W6D2L
06/06/2026
La LuzPaysandu
12
L
31/05/2026
Sportivo HuracanLa Luz
11
D
24/05/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
20
W
18/05/2026
OrientalLa Luz
00
D
09/05/2026
La LuzColón
00
D
19/04/2026
CerritoLa Luz
00
D
11/04/2026
La LuzUruguay Montevideo
02
L
04/04/2026
La LuzAtenas
21
W
28/03/2026
La LuzSportivo Huracan
22
D
22/03/2026
FenixLa Luz
00
D

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WWLWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DDWWL
3FenixFenix632113:7+611LDWLD
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310WDLWW
5ColónColón62318:5+39LDLWW
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19WLWWD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809LDDLL
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17WLWLD
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45LWWLD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64DWDWL
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74WDLLD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas26145736:23+1347DWDWL
2RentistasRentistas26127735:27+843WLWWD
3ColónColón26126830:27+342LDLWW
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia26108831:26+538DDWWL
5La LuzLa Luz26107925:27-237WLWLD
6PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
7CA River PlateCA River Plate26971037:34+334WDLLD
8OrientalOriental26810834:31+334WWLWW
9CerritoCerrito26810832:30+234LDDLL
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan26971027:33-634WDLWW
11MiramarMiramar2689929:32-333LWWLD
12FenixFenix26710928:31-331LDWLD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo26681220:31-1126DDDLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2636:2347
2RentistasRentistas2635:2743
3ColónColón2630:2742
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2631:2638
5La LuzLa Luz2625:2737
6PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
7CA River PlateCA River Plate2637:3434
8OrientalOriental2634:3134
9CerritoCerrito2632:3034
10Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2627:3334
11MiramarMiramar2629:3233
12FenixFenix2628:3131
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2620:3126
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Atenas vs La Luz forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Atenas and La Luz in the Segunda División table

In the Segunda División table, La Luz are 9th and Atenas 12th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Atenas 5-11, La Luz 5-6. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.