Fenix vs Oriental Prediction

Fenix
2-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Oriental
Parque Capurro, Montevideo 20/06/2026
FenixFenix
2-2
Finished
OrientalOriental

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap-6.5%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.39
SignalHIGHModel35%SurpriseHighGap+9.8%
Fenix Rest
6 days
Oriental Rest
6 days

Fenix vs Oriental: the result in context

Fenix and Oriental drew 2-2 in the Segunda División on 20 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 4 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%2.05
X
23%3.10
2
26%3.40
Double Chance
1X
73%1.25
X2
49%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.95
No
49%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.15 = 2.70
Over 1.5
76%1.39
Over 2.5
51%2.25
Over 3.5
30%4.15
Under 1.5
24%2.75
Under 2.5
49%1.57
Under 3.5
70%1.19
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

37'
63'
69'
89'

Team Comparison

FenixFenix
OrientalOriental
1465Elo Rating 1476
0.55Attack 1.09
1.62Defense 1.35
14%Hit Rate 0%

Game State Tendencies

FenixFenix
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
OrientalOriental
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

FenixFenix2Wins · 50%
Draws00%
OrientalOriental2Wins · 50%
1.8Avg Goals
25%Both teams scored1 of 4
25%3+ goals1 of 4

Previous meetings

Segunda División03/05/2026
FenixOriental
10
Segunda División30/08/2025
FenixOriental
21
Segunda División08/06/2025
OrientalFenix
20
Segunda División30/03/2025
OrientalFenix
10

Recent Form

FenixFenix
5W3D2L
13/06/2026
ColónFenix
11
D
06/06/2026
FenixCA River Plate
31
W
31/05/2026
FenixRentistas
11
D
25/05/2026
MiramarFenix
11
D
17/05/2026
FenixTacuarembo
12
L
10/05/2026
Plaza ColoniaFenix
01
W
03/05/2026
FenixOriental
10
W
28/04/2026
AtenasFenix
14
W
19/04/2026
Sportivo HuracanFenix
21
L
12/04/2026
FenixCerrito
41
W
OrientalOriental
4W3D3L
14/06/2026
OrientalRentistas
30
W
08/06/2026
MiramarOriental
22
D
01/06/2026
OrientalTacuarembo
20
W
22/05/2026
Plaza ColoniaOriental
31
L
18/05/2026
OrientalLa Luz
00
D
10/05/2026
OrientalCerrito
22
D
03/05/2026
FenixOriental
10
L
25/04/2026
Plaza ColoniaOriental
20
L
20/04/2026
RentistasOriental
12
W
12/04/2026
OrientalMiramar
21
W

League Table

Segunda División 2026

1st Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1OrientalOriental64118:5+313WLWWW
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia63309:2+712DWWLD
3FenixFenix632113:7+611DWLDW
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan62409:6+310DLWWD
5ColónColón62318:5+39DLWWD
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo62317:5+29LDLDL
7RentistasRentistas62316:5+19LWWDD
8CerritoCerrito62318:809DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz61415:6-17LWLDL
10MiramarMiramar61233:7-45WWLDD
11PaysanduPaysandu61144:7-34DLWWD
12AtenasAtenas61145:11-64WDWLD
13CA River PlateCA River Plate61146:13-74DLLDD
14TacuaremboTacuarembo60335:9-43DDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1OrientalOriental68:513
2Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia69:212
3FenixFenix613:711
4Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan69:610
5ColónColón68:59
6Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo67:59
7RentistasRentistas66:59
8CerritoCerrito68:89
9La LuzLa Luz65:67
10MiramarMiramar63:75
11PaysanduPaysandu64:74
12AtenasAtenas65:114
13CA River PlateCA River Plate66:134
14TacuaremboTacuarembo65:93

2nd Phase

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AtenasAtenas25135735:23+1244WDWLD
2RentistasRentistas25117734:27+740LWWDD
3ColónColón25116829:27+239DLWWD
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia25108731:25+638DWWLD
5PaysanduPaysandu251051033:32+135DLWWD
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2597937:32+534DLLDD
7OrientalOriental25810734:30+434WLWWW
8CerritoCerrito25810732:29+334DDLLW
9La LuzLa Luz2597924:27-334LWLDL
10FenixFenix25710828:30-231DWLDW
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan25871025:33-831DLWWD
12MiramarMiramar2579926:31-530WWLDD
13TacuaremboTacuarembo25681119:28-926DDLLL
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo25571323:36-1322LDLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1AtenasAtenas2535:2344
2RentistasRentistas2534:2740
3ColónColón2529:2739
4Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia2531:2538
5PaysanduPaysandu2533:3235
6CA River PlateCA River Plate2537:3234
7OrientalOriental2534:3034
8CerritoCerrito2532:2934
9La LuzLa Luz2524:2734
10FenixFenix2528:3031
11Sportivo HuracanSportivo Huracan2525:3331
12MiramarMiramar2526:3130
13TacuaremboTacuarembo2519:2826
14Uruguay MontevideoUruguay Montevideo2523:3622

About the Fenix vs Oriental forecast

The forecasts for this Segunda División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Fenix and Oriental in the Segunda División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Oriental are 1st in the Segunda División, 2 points ahead of Fenix in 3rd. League goal record so far: Fenix 13-7, Oriental 8-5. The full standings are on the Segunda División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.