ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha Prediction

ATK Mohun Bagan
3-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Odisha
The Salt Lake Stadium, Calcutta·Tejas Nagvenkar, India 05/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel73%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
72%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.36
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+3.0%
ATK Mohun Bagan Rest
5 days
Odisha Rest
12 days

ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha: result, form and history

ATK Mohun Bagan beat Odisha 3-2 in the Indian Super League on 5 Nov 2026. It was in line with recent form: ATK Mohun Bagan had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Odisha.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 5 of them. Referee Tejas Nagvenkar averages 4.83 cards a game, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
66%1.36
X
20%4.55
2
14%6.85
Double Chance
1X
86%1.08
X2
34%2.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.80
No
50%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.94 + 0.75 = 2.69
Over 1.5
79%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.60
Over 3.5
35%2.50
Under 1.5
21%4.40
Under 2.5
43%2.22
Under 3.5
65%1.47
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

8'A. Rodriguez
47'D. DrazicAssist: A. Thapa
52'Eid MahmoudAssist: N. Sudeesh
61'J. Zohminghlua INS. Bhattacharya out
64'S. Zeljkovic
68'L. Colaco INL. Chhangte out
74'D. DrazicAssist: L. Chhangte
79'Everton
81'S. Zeljkovic IND. Tangri out
84'Mafela INR. KP out
85'G. Aburjania INE. S. Vanspaul out
85'M. Singh INJ. Maclaren out
87'L. Erwin
90+3'Eid Mahmoud INN. Sekar out
90+3'Puitea INR. Das out

Lineups

ATK Mohun Bagan
4-4-2
Odisha
3-4-3
Avg rating7.15
Avg rating7.15
Vishal Kaith6.71V. Kaith
Tekcham Abhishek Singh7.027T. Abhishek Singh
Mehtab Singh6.25M. Singh
Alberto Rodríguez7.021A. Rodríguez
Subhasish BoseC6.915S. Bose
Manvir Singh6.711M. Singh
Anirudh Thapa7.06A. Thapa
Samir Zeljković6.78S. Zeljković
Liston Colaco7.27L. Colaco
Dejan Dražić9.671D. Dražić
Lee Erwin7.619L. Erwin
Hrithik Tiwari8.955H. Tiwari
Moirangthem Thoiba Singh6.324M. Thoiba Singh
Stephen Eze6.566S. Eze
Saurabh Bhanwala6.96S. Bhanwala
Nihal Sudheesh6.977N. Sudheesh
Giorgi Aburjania7.029G. Aburjania
PuiteaC7.77Puitea
Jeremy Zohminghlua6.623J. Zohminghlua
K Lalrinfela7.225K. Lalrinfela
Everton7.38Everton
Mahmoud Eid8.393M. Eid

ATK Mohun Bagan Substitutes

9Lallianzuala Chhangte68'for L. Colaco7.2
24Syed Zahid
40Alex Saji
44Ashish Rai
2Rahul Bheke
14Sayan Banerjee
22Deepak Tangri81'replaced by S. Zeljkovic
17Kiyan Nassiri
29Jamie MacLaren85'for M. Singh

Odisha Substitutes

3Subham Bhattacharya61'replaced by J. Zohminghlua6.2
31Sachin Suresh
33Edwin Sydney Vanspaul85'for G. Aburjania
34Vanlalzuidika Chhakchhuak
22Nandhakumar Sekar90+3'for Eid Mahmoud
18Ritwik Kumar Das90+3'for Puitea
10Rahul Kannoly
12Manu Molina
15V.P. Suhair

Match Stats

ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
58%Ball Possession42%
12Corner Kicks7
2Yellow Cards0
28Total Shots16
12Shots on Goal5
9Shots off Goal5
17Shots Inside Box10
11Shots Outside Box6
7Blocked Shots6
12Fouls3
2Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves9
470Total Passes351
415Passes Accurate276
88%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan
OdishaOdisha
1715Elo Rating 1488
1.79Attack 0.90
1.93Defense 1.67
86%Hit Rate 0%
21.8Shots per Game 8.9
8.4Shots on Target 2.5
8.5Corners per Game 4.6
1.9Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+228 Elo
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
OdishaOdisha
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
OdishaOdisha2Wins · 20%
3.1Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Indian Super League06/03/2026
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
51
Indian Super League23/02/2025
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
10
Indian Super League10/11/2024
OdishaATK Mohun Bagan
11
Indian Super League28/04/2024
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
20
Indian Super League23/04/2024
OdishaATK Mohun Bagan
21
Indian Super League24/02/2024
OdishaATK Mohun Bagan
00
Indian Super League06/12/2023
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
22
AFC Champions League Two27/11/2023
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
25
AFC Champions League Two19/09/2023
OdishaATK Mohun Bagan
04
Indian Super League04/03/2023
ATK Mohun BaganOdisha
20

Recent Form

ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan
7W2D1L
31/10/2026
ATK Mohun BaganMinerva Punjab
21
W
26/10/2026
ATK Mohun BaganChennaiyin
10
W
16/10/2026
SC DelhiATK Mohun Bagan
12
W
12/10/2026
NorthEast UnitedATK Mohun Bagan
10
L
08/10/2026
ATK Mohun BaganEast Bengal II
10
W
04/10/2026
ATK Mohun BaganMinerva Punjab
4030
W
29/09/2026
ATK Mohun BaganNorthEast United
11
D
23/09/2026
ATK Mohun BaganSreenidi Deccan
60
W
21/05/2026
ATK Mohun BaganSC Delhi
21
W
17/05/2026
ATK Mohun BaganEast Bengal II
11
D
OdishaOdisha
1W5D4L
24/10/2026
OdishaNorthEast United
00
D
17/10/2026
Inter KashiOdisha
11
D
14/10/2026
Minerva PunjabOdisha
21
L
21/05/2026
JamshedpurOdisha
00
D
16/05/2026
OdishaMinerva Punjab
23
L
08/05/2026
SC DelhiOdisha
12
W
04/05/2026
OdishaBengaluru
11
D
28/04/2026
East Bengal IIOdisha
30
L
23/04/2026
Kerala BlastersOdisha
21
L
17/04/2026
OdishaMohammedan
11
D

Referee Profile

Tejas Nagvenkar69 matches

4.83Cards per match
4.68Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
25.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Tejas Nagvenkar4.83
Other referees4.29

4.83 cards a match, 0.54 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.29).

Cards come from 59 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Indian Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan54018:5+312WWWWL
2NorthEast UnitedNorthEast United53208:2+611WDDWW
3BengaluruBengaluru43108:4+410WDWW
4SC DelhiSC Delhi521210:8+27WWDLL
5Minerva PunjabMinerva Punjab42117:6+17LWDW
6East Bengal IIEast Bengal II320112:6+66LWW
7GoaGoa41215:505LWDD
8ChennaiyinChennaiyin51226:7-15WDLLD
9Kerala BlastersKerala Blasters41213:4-15DDLW
10Churchill BrothersChurchill Brothers41034:10-63LLLW
11OdishaOdisha40224:6-22LDDL
12Mumbai CityMumbai City40224:6-22LDDL
13Inter KashiInter Kashi50143:13-101LLLDL
#TeamMPGPts
1ATK Mohun BaganATK Mohun Bagan58:512
2NorthEast UnitedNorthEast United58:211
3BengaluruBengaluru48:410
4SC DelhiSC Delhi510:87
5Minerva PunjabMinerva Punjab47:67
6East Bengal IIEast Bengal II312:66
7GoaGoa45:55
8ChennaiyinChennaiyin56:75
9Kerala BlastersKerala Blasters43:45
10Churchill BrothersChurchill Brothers44:103
11OdishaOdisha44:62
12Mumbai CityMumbai City44:62
13Inter KashiInter Kashi53:131
PromotionRelegation

About the ATK Mohun Bagan vs Odisha forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

ATK Mohun Bagan and Odisha in the Indian Super League table

The table shows a wide gap: ATK Mohun Bagan are 1st in the Indian Super League, while Odisha sit 11th, 10 points behind. League goal record so far: ATK Mohun Bagan 8-5, Odisha 4-6. The full standings are on the Indian Super League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.