Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano Prediction

Estadio Nuevo Monumental, Rafaela 15/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
75%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Value Analysis
58%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel35%SurpriseHighGap+4.3%
Atletico DE Rafaela Rest
6 days
Defensores De Belgrano Rest
5 days

Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano: the result in context

Atletico DE Rafaela and Defensores De Belgrano drew 0-0 in the Primera Nacional on 15 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
45%3.01
X
34%2.60
2
21%2.75
Double Chance
1X
79%1.40
X2
54%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%2.50
No
62%1.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.28 + 0.72 = 2.00
Over 1.5
58%1.75
Over 2.5
29%3.30
Over 3.5
15%7.10
Under 1.5
42%1.97
Under 2.5
71%1.29
Under 3.5
85%1.07
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

5'L. Flores
21'A. Obando
31'E. Aguirre
59'F. Jourdan INM. Pardo out
59'M. Quiroga INA. Rodriguez out
68'J. Cavallaro INM. Morello out
71'A. Benitez INP. Moyano out
74'I. Gutierrez IND. Garcia out
79'D. Garcia
82'P. Moyano
87'J. Capurro INL. Moscoloni out
87'A. Obando INM. Fernandez out
87'E. Gonzalez INN. Borsotti out
87'J. Ardaiz INF. Tcherkaski out
87'E. Aguirre INL. Ciccolini out

Team Comparison

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
1533Elo Rating 1493
1.22Attack 0.53
1.05Defense 1.76
41%Hit Rate 14%

Game State Tendencies

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.4 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela1Wins · 10%
Draws550%
Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano4Wins · 40%
1.8Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
20%3+ goals2 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera Nacional30/03/2026
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
11
Primera Nacional25/08/2024
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
Primera Nacional07/04/2024
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
01
Primera Nacional31/10/2023
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
10
Primera Nacional11/07/2022
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
11
Primera Nacional15/08/2021
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
20
Primera Nacional03/04/2021
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
00
Primera Nacional03/01/2021
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
20
Primera Nacional22/02/2020
Atletico DE RafaelaDefensores De Belgrano
13
Primera Nacional31/08/2019
Defensores De BelgranoAtletico DE Rafaela
22

Recent Form

Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela
3W3D4L
08/08/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaChacarita Juniors
10
W
01/08/2026
San Martin S.J.Atletico DE Rafaela
11
D
25/07/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaNueva Chicago
10
W
18/07/2026
TemperleyAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L
11/07/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaDeportivo Maipu
13
L
04/07/2026
AlmagroAtletico DE Rafaela
10
L
23/06/2026
Nueva ChicagoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
14/06/2026
PatronatoAtletico DE Rafaela
00
D
06/06/2026
Atletico DE RafaelaColegiales
10
W
31/05/2026
QuilmesAtletico DE Rafaela
20
L

League Table

Primera Nacional 2026

Group 1

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste35198838:31+765LWDLW
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz34179848:32+1660WDWDW
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron341771051:36+1558LLWLL
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn351512851:31+2057WDLWD
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe341412841:27+1454DDWDW
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar341312930:29+151WWWWL
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3412121028:24+448DDLLL
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes341391234:33+148LWLWW
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3511101436:36043WLWDL
10Los AndesLos Andes349141126:25+141DLLWL
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3410101430:40-1040LWDDL
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre348151131:39-839WDWLL
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano348141225:32-738DLDLW
14San TelmoSan Telmo359111529:41-1238LDLWW
15Central NorteCentral Norte347161123:31-837WDDDL
16All BoysAll Boys346171119:29-1035DDLDD
17AcassusoAcassuso34891725:35-1033DWLWW
18San MiguelSan Miguel346141427:41-1432LDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Ferro Carril OesteFerro Carril Oeste3538:3165
2Godoy CruzGodoy Cruz3448:3260
3Deportivo MoronDeportivo Moron3451:3658
4Deportivo MadrynDeportivo Madryn3551:3157
5Colon Santa FeColon Santa Fe3441:2754
6Ciudad de BolívarCiudad de Bolívar3430:2951
7Almirante BrownAlmirante Brown3428:2448
8CA EstudiantesCA Estudiantes3434:3348
9Chaco For EverChaco For Ever3536:3643
10Los AndesLos Andes3426:2541
11Racing CordobaRacing Cordoba3430:4040
12Atletico MitreAtletico Mitre3431:3939
13Defensores De BelgranoDefensores De Belgrano3425:3238
14San TelmoSan Telmo3529:4138
15Central NorteCentral Norte3423:3137
16All BoysAll Boys3419:2935
17AcassusoAcassuso3425:3533
18San MiguelSan Miguel3427:4132

Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez351615434:16+1863DWDDW
2TemperleyTemperley341612641:28+1360DWWLW
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy341610851:42+958WDLDD
4AtlantaAtlanta341841240:33+758LWWWD
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3414101037:31+652WDLWL
6MidlandMidland341491140:29+1151LWDLW
7ColegialesColegiales341481235:31+450WDWWL
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu341391240:33+748LDWWD
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3412111136:34+247DDLLW
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3511131139:37+246LWLWD
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela341291328:34-645WLLLW
12QuilmesQuilmes351191532:30+242WLLDW
13AlmagroAlmagro351191532:42-1042DLWWL
14AgropecuarioAgropecuario3410101427:38-1140LWDLW
15PatronatoPatronato347161129:33-437LWLWD
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors341061826:35-936WLWLW
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago34991624:33-936LLLWD
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes34682025:57-3226WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Tristan SuarezTristan Suarez3534:1663
2TemperleyTemperley3441:2860
3Gimnasia JujuyGimnasia Jujuy3451:4258
4AtlantaAtlanta3440:3358
5Gimnasia Y TiroGimnasia Y Tiro3437:3152
6MidlandMidland3440:2951
7ColegialesColegiales3435:3150
8Deportivo MaipuDeportivo Maipu3440:3348
9San Martin S.J.San Martin S.J.3436:3447
10San Martin TucumanSan Martin Tucuman3539:3746
11Atletico DE RafaelaAtletico DE Rafaela3428:3445
12QuilmesQuilmes3532:3042
13AlmagroAlmagro3532:4242
14AgropecuarioAgropecuario3427:3840
15PatronatoPatronato3429:3337
16Chacarita JuniorsChacarita Juniors3426:3536
17Nueva ChicagoNueva Chicago3424:3336
18Club Atlético GüemesClub Atlético Güemes3425:5726
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico DE Rafaela vs Defensores De Belgrano forecast

The forecasts for this Primera Nacional match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Primera Nacional

More Primera Nacional fixtures and forecasts are on the Primera Nacional Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.