Aurora vs Nacional Potosí Prediction

Aurora
2-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Nacional Potosí
Felix Capriles, Cochabamba 11/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalGOODModel55%SurpriseMediumGap-11.8%
Aurora Rest
4 days
Nacional Potosí Rest
3 days

Aurora vs Nacional Potosí: the result in context

Aurora and Nacional Potosí drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 11 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.9 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Aurora tend to win more corners, 9.8 a game to 4.5 for Nacional Potosí.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
51%1.67
X
22%3.81
2
27%4.14
Double Chance
1X
73%1.18
X2
49%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.56
No
41%2.23
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.38 = 2.97
Over 1.5
79%1.18
Over 2.5
58%1.57
Over 3.5
37%2.41
Under 1.5
21%4.33
Under 2.5
42%2.25
Under 3.5
63%1.49
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro(Penalty)
21'P. AzogueFoul
36'P. AzogueAssist: A. Torrico
45'Ivan Huayhuata INI. Vidaurre out
45'Ronaldo Sánchez INErwin Junior Sanchez out
45'Michael Rangel INHarrison Mojica out
45+9'Penalty confirmedWilson Álvarez
45+11'M. Tomianovic(Penalty)
45+14'leandro barroDissent
59'Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro INHenry Vaca out
61'Schneider Peña Vaca INWeslen Junior out
69'Óscar Damián VillalbaDissent
69'Rodrigo Ramallo
73'Weslen JuniorFoul
75'Harrison MojicaFoul
79'Jair TorricoFoul
82'D. Hoyos INOscar Baldomar out
82'Weslen Junior INTommy Tobar out
89'Maximiliano Núñez INjuan orellana out
89'M. Tomianovic INJuan Batista out
89'Harrison Mojica INMoisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez out
90+4'Juan BatistaFoul

Lineups

Aurora
4-1-4-1Coach: David Díaz
Nacional Potosí
4-4-2Coach: Dailer Gutiérrez
Avg rating6.68
Avg rating6.59
R. Cordano7.812R. Cordano
D. Barro6.716D. Barro
I. Huayhuata6.123I. Huayhuata
J. Velázquez6.322J. Velázquez
J. Torrico7.670J. Torrico
A. Amarilla6.45A. Amarilla
A. Terrazas7.669A. Terrazas
H. Sánchez6.714H. Sánchez
R. Ramallo8.210R. Ramallo
88L. Viviani
M. Rangel6.89M. Rangel
Pedro Galindo7.323P. Galindo
K. Medina6.534K. Medina
S. Alvarez6.65S. Alvarez
L. Demiquel6.533L. Demiquel
A. Torrico6.916A. Torrico
M. Núñez6.910M. Núñez
P. Azogue7.318P. Azogue
D. Hoyos5.722D. Hoyos
S. Peña6.428S. Peña
W. Álvarez6.819W. Álvarez
M. Tomianovic7.711M. Tomianovic

Aurora Substitutes

18S. Rojas
32S. Altamirano
11H. Mojica45'for Michael Rangel75'89'for Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez5.8
21M. Ortiz
20A. Pacheco
25Alvaro Rios
19J. Sánchez45'for Ronaldo Sánchez6.1
1J. Terrazas
7H. Vaca59'for Alan Miguel Terrazas Castro6.5
90Moisés Eduardo Velazco Gomez89'replaced by Harrison Mojica
4I. Vidaurre45'for Ivan Huayhuata6.1
26D. Villca

Nacional Potosí Substitutes

27C. Abastoflor
1E. Arauz
15Jhojan Fenando Arce Pari
21Ó. Baldomar82'for D. Hoyos6.1
14Juan Batista89'for M. Tomianovic90+4'5.8
29Weslen Júnior61'for Schneider Peña Vaca73'82'for Tommy Tobar6.3
30Y. Martínez
25J. Orellana89'for Maximiliano Núñez6.1
7M. Solís
9T. Tobar82'replaced by Weslen Junior6.7
99D. Villalba69'
2Rodrigo Fabián Ávila Sóliz

Match Stats

AuroraNacional Potosí
58%Ball Possession42%
12Corner Kicks4
3Yellow Cards4
31Total Shots19
7Shots on Goal8
12Shots off Goal5
20Shots Inside Box14
11Shots Outside Box5
12Blocked Shots6
8Fouls14
6Offsides0
6Goalkeeper Saves5
390Total Passes280
316Passes Accurate221
12Free Kicks7

Team Comparison

AuroraAurora
Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
1487Elo Rating 1543
0.86Attack 1.71
1.16Defense 1.24
17%Hit Rate 31%
20.7Shots per Game 17.4
5.4Shots on Target 6.4
9.8Corners per Game 4.5
3.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.97 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AuroraAurora3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí5Wins · 50%
2.9Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División10/07/2026
Nacional PotosíAurora
20
Primera División27/09/2025
AuroraNacional Potosí
12
Primera División17/05/2025
Nacional PotosíAurora
31
Primera División18/12/2024
AuroraNacional Potosí
11
Primera División14/09/2024
Nacional PotosíAurora
13
Primera División12/03/2024
AuroraNacional Potosí
41
Primera División03/03/2024
Nacional PotosíAurora
10
Primera División22/07/2023
Nacional PotosíAurora
00
Primera División20/02/2023
AuroraNacional Potosí
20
Primera División10/09/2022
AuroraNacional Potosí
15

Recent Form

AuroraAurora
6W3D1L
07/10/2026
AuroraABB
20
W
03/10/2026
Real PotosíAurora
11
D
30/09/2026
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
22
D
25/09/2026
ABBAurora
01
W
19/09/2026
AuroraUniversitario de Vinto
42
W
16/09/2026
GuabiráAurora
31
L
12/09/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloAurora
02
W
09/09/2026
AuroraReal Potosí
10
W
05/09/2026
AuroraGualberto Villarroel SJ
30
W
02/09/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
11
D
Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí
6W2D2L
08/10/2026
Always ReadyNacional Potosí
23
W
03/10/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Oruro
20
W
01/10/2026
Real TomayapoNacional Potosí
11
D
26/09/2026
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
90
W
23/09/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Potosí
01
L
20/09/2026
Real PotosíNacional Potosí
22
D
17/09/2026
Nacional PotosíAlways Ready
04
L
12/09/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJNacional Potosí
03
W
09/09/2026
Real OruroNacional Potosí
02
W
07/09/2026
Nacional PotosíBlooming
21
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Always ReadyAlways Ready23156255:16+3951WLWWW
2BolívarBolívar22163356:22+3451WWWWW
3The StrongestThe Strongest22136341:24+1745WLWWW
4Real PotosíReal Potosí23108530:16+1438LWWWW
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero22104838:28+1034DWWLL
6AuroraAurora23810534:30+434WLDLW
7GuabiráGuabirá2286834:44-1030DLWLD
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero23851031:39-829WDLLL
9BloomingBlooming23610731:25+628LDLDW
10Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí22841032:31+128LDLWW
11Real OruroReal Oruro23831237:56-1927LWWLL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo23731324:43-1924WLDWL
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto22631329:43-1421WLDWL
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ23481127:40-1320WLWLL
15ABBABB23621533:51-1820LLLLL
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo23551316:40-2420LWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Always ReadyAlways Ready2355:1651
2BolívarBolívar2256:2251
3The StrongestThe Strongest2241:2445
4Real PotosíReal Potosí2330:1638
5Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2238:2834
6AuroraAurora2334:3034
7GuabiráGuabirá2234:4430
8Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2331:3929
9BloomingBlooming2331:2528
10Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2232:3128
11Real OruroReal Oruro2337:5627
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2324:4324
13Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2229:4321
14Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2327:4020
15ABBABB2333:5120
16Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2316:4020

About the Aurora vs Nacional Potosí forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aurora and Nacional Potosí in the Primera División table

In the Primera División table, Aurora are 6th and Nacional Potosí 10th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Aurora 34-30, Nacional Potosí 32-31. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Nacional Potosí have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.