Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction

Estadio IV Centenario, Tarija·J. Revollo 18/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseHighGap+1.2%
Value Analysis
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalHIGHModel74%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Real Tomayapo Rest
3 days
Oriente Petrolero Rest
5 days

Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero: result, form and history

Oriente Petrolero beat Real Tomayapo 2-0 in the Primera División on 17 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 6 of them. Referee J. Revollo averages 7.52 cards a game, 1.74 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.40
X
32%3.50
2
27%2.52
Double Chance
1X
73%1.44
X2
59%1.50
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.52
No
44%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.48 + 1.3 = 2.78
Over 1.5
74%1.18
Over 2.5
53%1.60
Over 3.5
32%2.60
Under 1.5
26%4.19
Under 2.5
47%2.11
Under 3.5
68%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

24'Jorge Eduardo Lovera
31'denilzon ramalloFoul
42'Nabil Nacif JoffreAssist: Franz·Gonzales Mejia
45'Ruan·Costa de Freitas INRamiro Eguez out
45'Lisandro Sebastián Montenegro INYordy Álvarez out
45'Javier Guerra INRonald Cuellar out
57'Joffre·EscobarDissent
58'Nabil Nacif Joffre INMatías Roskopf out
58'Jorge Eduardo LoveraFoul
71'Jorge Eduardo Lovera INJulio·Herrera out
72'Alexis Ribera INMario Barbery out
72'Ricardo Suárez Antelo INAlejandro Cervantes out
83'Joffre·Escobar INOctavio Perdomo out
83'Franz·Gonzales Mejia INManuel Alejandro Bonilla Ribera out
89'Mizael Sadoque Pinto MonteiroFoul

Lineups

Real Tomayapo
4-4-2Coach: J. Alfonso
Oriente Petrolero
4-1-4-1Coach: G. Florentín
Avg rating6.31
Avg rating6.66
L. Cárdenas6.31L. Cárdenas
K. Mamani6.333K. Mamani
D. Robles6.924D. Robles
R. Suárez6.232R. Suárez
M. Bejarano6.517M. Bejarano
J. Guerra6.115J. Guerra
L. Montenegro6.15L. Montenegro
D. Ramallo6.621D. Ramallo
V. Gálvez5.914V. Gálvez
J. Ribera6.212J. Ribera
Ruan Costa6.727R. Costa
A. Torrez7.01A. Torrez
M. Velasco6.124M. Velasco
Mizael Monteiro6.03M. Monteiro
Francisco López6.044F. López
J. Velasco6.728J. Velasco
J. Lovera8.020J. Lovera
L. Vaca6.111L. Vaca
J. Berdecio6.330J. Berdecio
F. Gonzales6.915F. Gonzales
N. Nacif8.091N. Nacif
J. Escobar6.429J. Escobar

Real Tomayapo Substitutes

35J. Castillo
25R. Cuéllar45'for Javier Guerra6.0
18R. Eguez45'for Ruan·Costa de Freitas6.5
40Y. Espindola
8J. Mamani
6V. Melgar
11F. Nouet
50Yordy Álvarez45'for Lisandro Sebastián Montenegro6.4
7Cristhian Arabe
13M. Barbery72'for Alexis Ribera5.9
22C. Adorno

Oriente Petrolero Substitutes

4M. Bonilla83'for Franz·Gonzales Mejia6.5
41J. Guzman
77J. Herrera71'for Jorge Eduardo Lovera6.7
10M. Mamani
40O. Perdomo83'for Joffre·Escobar6.5
19Fabricio Perez Guzman
90A. Peña
42D. Roca
9Matías Exequiel Roskopf58'for Nabil Nacif Joffre6.8
8O. Siles
13J. Bernal
21Matias Aponte Parada

Match Stats

Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
63%Ball Possession37%
5Corner Kicks6
1Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal3
10Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box6
6Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots3
18Fouls28
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
389Total Passes239
322Passes Accurate162
27Free Kicks16

Team Comparison

Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
1355Elo Rating 1501
0.46Attack 1.53
1.67Defense 0.76
19%Hit Rate 36%
16.4Shots per Game 13.1
5.0Shots on Target 4.5
4.1Corners per Game 1.8
3.2Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo3Wins · 30%
Draws220%
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero5Wins · 50%
3.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División03/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
31
Primera División03/12/2025
Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
10
Primera División28/06/2025
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
21
Primera División21/12/2024
Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
43
Primera División21/09/2024
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
42
Copa de la División Profesional16/08/2023
Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
10
Primera División13/08/2023
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
20
Primera División12/03/2023
Real TomayapoOriente Petrolero
11
Copa de la División Profesional16/02/2023
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
11
Primera División15/08/2022
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
30

Recent Form

Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo
4W1D5L
14/09/2026
Real TomayapoBolívar
12
L
11/09/2026
Real TomayapoAlways Ready
20
W
07/09/2026
The StrongestReal Tomayapo
31
L
04/09/2026
Nacional PotosíReal Tomayapo
51
L
01/09/2026
Real TomayapoIndependiente Petrolero
30
W
27/08/2026
Real PotosíReal Tomayapo
01
W
24/08/2026
Real TomayapoAlways Ready
11
D
14/08/2026
Universitario de VintoReal Tomayapo
01
W
08/08/2026
Real TomayapoReal Oruro
12
L
05/08/2026
GuabiráReal Tomayapo
30
L
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
5W1D4L
12/09/2026
Real PotosíOriente Petrolero
21
L
09/09/2026
Oriente PetroleroGuabirá
10
W
06/09/2026
Oriente PetroleroAlways Ready
12
L
31/08/2026
BloomingOriente Petrolero
03
W
25/08/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJOriente Petrolero
33
D
22/08/2026
Oriente PetroleroSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
40
W
19/08/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
L
15/08/2026
Real OruroOriente Petrolero
23
W
10/08/2026
Oriente PetroleroUniversitario de Vinto
50
W
06/08/2026
BolívarOriente Petrolero
21
L

Referee Profile

J. Revollo84 matches

7.52Cards per match
6.85Yellow cards per match
0.67Red cards per match
24.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

J. Revollo7.52
Other referees5.78

7.52 cards a match, 1.74 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.78).

Cards come from 33 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Real Tomayapo vs Oriente Petrolero forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Real Tomayapo and Oriente Petrolero in the Primera División table

The table shows a wide gap: Oriente Petrolero are 4th in the Primera División, while Real Tomayapo sit 13th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Real Tomayapo 19-42, Oriente Petrolero 42-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oriente Petrolero have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.