Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero Prediction

Aurora
2-2
Finished
HT 1-1
Oriente Petrolero
19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
63%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap-4.8%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+9.9%
Aurora Rest
9 days
Oriente Petrolero Rest
3 days

Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero: the result in context

Aurora and Oriente Petrolero drew 2-2 in the Primera División on 19 Jul 2026. Aurora had gone in with the better form, having won 3 of their previous five against 1 for Oriente Petrolero.

Oriente Petrolero have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.3 goals a game. Aurora tend to win more corners, 4.5 a game to 1.8 for Oriente Petrolero.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
63%1.47
X
21%4.40
2
16%5.30
Double Chance
1X
84%1.12
X2
37%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.51
No
41%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 1.1 = 3.02
Over 1.5
82%1.10
Over 2.5
60%1.41
Over 3.5
36%2.06
Under 1.5
18%5.65
Under 2.5
40%2.67
Under 3.5
64%1.68
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

AuroraAurora
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
1506Elo Rating 1501
1.23Attack 1.53
1.43Defense 0.76
46%Hit Rate 36%
10.6Shots per Game 13.1
3.5Shots on Target 4.5
4.5Corners per Game 1.8
3.3Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.02 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AuroraAurora
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AuroraAurora2Wins · 20%
Draws220%
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero6Wins · 60%
3.3Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Primera División04/08/2025
Oriente PetroleroAurora
30
Primera División30/03/2025
AuroraOriente Petrolero
51
Primera División25/09/2024
Oriente PetroleroAurora
50
Primera División12/05/2024
AuroraOriente Petrolero
31
Primera División13/11/2023
Oriente PetroleroAurora
10
Primera División15/05/2023
AuroraOriente Petrolero
22
Primera División06/09/2022
Oriente PetroleroAurora
21
Primera División21/04/2022
AuroraOriente Petrolero
11
Primera División12/02/2022
Oriente PetroleroAurora
20
Primera División20/11/2021
AuroraOriente Petrolero
12

Recent Form

AuroraAurora
4W4D2L
10/07/2026
Nacional PotosíAurora
20
L
02/06/2026
Universitario de VintoAurora
12
W
16/05/2026
Real TomayapoAurora
02
W
13/05/2026
AuroraReal Oruro
11
D
02/05/2026
AuroraGuabirá
42
W
28/04/2026
AuroraSan Antonio Bulo Bulo
31
W
22/04/2026
Gualberto Villarroel SJAurora
11
D
12/04/2026
AuroraAlways Ready
11
D
04/04/2026
Real PotosíAurora
00
D
02/03/2026
Always ReadyAurora
31
L
Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero
4W1D5L
16/07/2026
The StrongestOriente Petrolero
21
L
31/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroBlooming
01
L
15/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroGuabirá
22
D
11/05/2026
ABBOriente Petrolero
31
L
03/05/2026
Oriente PetroleroReal Tomayapo
31
W
27/04/2026
Oriente PetroleroReal Potosí
20
W
22/04/2026
Always ReadyOriente Petrolero
10
L
13/04/2026
Oriente PetroleroGualberto Villarroel SJ
21
W
05/04/2026
San Antonio Bulo BuloOriente Petrolero
20
L
08/02/2026
BloomingOriente Petrolero
23
W

League Table

Primera División 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BolívarBolívar25193361:24+3760WWWWW
2Always ReadyAlways Ready25176261:19+4257WWWLW
3The StrongestThe Strongest25146546:29+1748LWLWL
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero25125842:30+1241WDWDW
5Real PotosíReal Potosí251010532:18+1440DDLWW
6AuroraAurora25812536:32+436DDWLD
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí25961037:33+433DDWLD
8GuabiráGuabirá25961040:50-1033WLLDL
9BloomingBlooming25710833:27+631LWLDL
10Real OruroReal Oruro25941241:58-1731WDLWW
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero25861132:42-1030LDWDL
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo25831428:50-2227LWWLD
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo25651419:42-2323WLLWD
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto25641532:49-1722DLLWL
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ25481330:47-1720LLWLW
16ABBABB25621737:57-2020LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BolívarBolívar2561:2460
2Always ReadyAlways Ready2561:1957
3The StrongestThe Strongest2546:2948
4Oriente PetroleroOriente Petrolero2542:3041
5Real PotosíReal Potosí2532:1840
6AuroraAurora2536:3236
7Nacional PotosíNacional Potosí2537:3333
8GuabiráGuabirá2540:5033
9BloomingBlooming2533:2731
10Real OruroReal Oruro2541:5831
11Independiente PetroleroIndependiente Petrolero2532:4230
12San Antonio Bulo BuloSan Antonio Bulo Bulo2528:5027
13Real TomayapoReal Tomayapo2519:4223
14Universitario de VintoUniversitario de Vinto2532:4922
15Gualberto Villarroel SJGualberto Villarroel SJ2530:4720
16ABBABB2537:5720

About the Aurora vs Oriente Petrolero forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Aurora and Oriente Petrolero in the Primera División table

Oriente Petrolero and Aurora are close in the Primera División table, 4th and 6th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Aurora 36-32, Oriente Petrolero 42-30. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Oriente Petrolero have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.