Austria vs Kosovo Prediction

Austria
3-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Kosovo
Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna·Nick Walsh 27/09/2026
AustriaAustria
3-1
Finished
KosovoKosovo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
53%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.60
SignalNEUTRALModel53%SurpriseMediumGap-9.8%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.66
SignalGOODModel71%SurpriseMediumGap+11.4%
Austria Rest
2 days
Kosovo Rest
2 days

Austria vs Kosovo: the result in context

Austria beat Kosovo 3-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.60
X
24%4.00
2
23%5.75
Double Chance
1X
77%1.15
X2
47%2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%1.91
No
53%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.66 + 0.8 = 2.46
Over 1.5
75%1.29
Over 2.5
51%1.96
Over 3.5
31%3.37
Under 1.5
25%3.50
Under 2.5
49%1.89
Under 3.5
69%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.4 = 8.3
Over 8.5
54%1.93
Over 9.5
43%2.50
Over 10.5
31%3.42
Under 8.5
46%1.80
Under 9.5
57%1.44
Under 10.5
69%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.6
Over 3.5
48%1.54
Over 4.5
29%2.13
Under 3.5
52%2.41
Under 4.5
71%1.66

Match Events

14'Kevin DansoFoul
22'Ron RaqiFoul
23'David AffengruberAssist: Romano Schmid
45'Ermal Krasniqi INEdon Zhegrova out
45'Baton Zabergja INMilot Avdyli out
45'Veldin Hodza INValmir Matoshi out
45+2'Junior Chukwubuike AdamuAssist: Patrick Wimmer
58'Junior Chukwubuike Adamu INSasa Kalajdzic out
58'Maximilian Wöber INAlexander Prass out
58'Romano Schmid INCarney Chukwuemeka out
61'Carney Chukwuemeka
65'Arijanet Murić INAmir Saipi out
68'Paul Wanner INVasilije Markovic out
79'Nikolas Veratschnig INMarco Friedl out
80'Vedat Muriqi INFisnik Asllani out
81'David AffengruberFoul
83'Edon Zhegrova(Penalty)
85'Valmir MatoshiDissent

Lineups

Austria
4-2-3-1Coach: R. Rangnick
Kosovo
3-4-3Coach: F. Foda
Avg rating6.70
Avg rating6.12
Christian Zawieschitzky6.313C. Zawieschitzky
N. Veratschnig7.115N. Veratschnig
D. Affengruber7.02D. Affengruber
K. Danso6.63K. Danso
M. Wöber5.814M. Wöber
X. Schlager6.64X. Schlager
N. Seiwald6.86N. Seiwald
P. Wimmer7.721P. Wimmer
P. Wanner6.110P. Wanner
R. Schmid6.418R. Schmid
J. Adamu7.88J. Adamu
A. Murić6.11A. Murić
L. Dellova6.45L. Dellova
I. Krasniqi6.44I. Krasniqi
R. Raci6.22R. Raci
M. Vojvoda5.715M. Vojvoda
L. Avdullahu6.523L. Avdullahu
V. Hodža6.020V. Hodža
D. Gallapeni5.613D. Gallapeni
E. Krasniqi6.517E. Krasniqi
V. Muriqi6.118V. Muriqi
B. Zabërgja6.314B. Zabërgja

Austria Substitutes

23M. Friedl79'for Nikolas Veratschnig6.7
17C. Chukwuemeka58'for Romano Schmid61'7.1
19M. Grüll
20S. Horvath
9S. Kalajdzic58'for Junior Chukwubuike Adamu6.6
11C. Lang
7V. Markovic68'for Paul Wanner6.5
5S. Posch
22A. Prass58'for Maximilian Wöber6.2
1A. Schlager
12F. Wiegele
16F. Bacher

Kosovo Substitutes

11F. Asllani80'for Vedat Muriqi6.2
3M. Avdyli45'for Baton Zabergja5.7
12V. Bekaj
22V. Demaku
19D. Kacuri
8V. Matoshi45'for Veldin Hodza85'5.3
6Erblin Osmani
7M. Rashica
9A. Rrahmani
21L. Sadriu
16A. Saipi65'for Arijanet Murić5.2
10E. Zhegrova45'for Ermal Krasniqi83'7.8

Match Stats

AustriaKosovo
52%Ball Possession48%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots6
6Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal3
8Shots Inside Box4
3Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots2
21Fouls15
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
514Total Passes475
444Passes Accurate402
15Free Kicks21

Team Comparison

AustriaAustria
KosovoKosovo
1675Elo Rating 1547
1.81Attack 0.63
1.49Defense 2.01
36%Hit Rate 17%
13.2Shots per Game 13.2
5.3Shots on Target 4.1
4.1Corners per Game 2.7
1.3Cards per Game 1.1

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustriaAustria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
KosovoKosovo
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)

Recent Form

AustriaAustria
5W2D3L
24/09/2026
AustriaIsrael
31
W
02/07/2026
SpainAustria
30
L
28/06/2026
AlgeriaAustria
33
D
22/06/2026
ArgentinaAustria
20
L
17/06/2026
AustriaJordan
31
W
01/06/2026
AustriaTunisia
10
W
18/11/2025
AustriaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
15/11/2025
CyprusAustria
02
W
12/10/2025
RomaniaAustria
10
L
09/10/2025
AustriaSan Marino
100
W
KosovoKosovo
6W2D2L
24/09/2026
KosovoRep. Of Ireland
10
W
07/06/2026
KosovoAndorra
30
W
31/05/2026
Czech RepublicKosovo
21
L
31/03/2026
KosovoTürkiye
01
L
26/03/2026
SlovakiaKosovo
34
W
18/11/2025
KosovoSwitzerland
11
D
15/11/2025
SloveniaKosovo
02
W
13/10/2025
SwedenKosovo
01
W
10/10/2025
KosovoSlovenia
00
D
08/09/2025
KosovoSweden
20
W

Referee Profile

Nick Walsh216 matches

4.17Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.20Red cards per match
24.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Nick Walsh4.17
Other referees3.98

4.17 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.98).

Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AustriaAustria42209:5+48DDWW
2KosovoKosovo41213:4-15DDLW
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland41216:4+25DDWL
4IsraelIsrael40222:7-52DDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1AustriaAustria49:58
2KosovoKosovo43:45
3Rep. Of IrelandRep. Of Ireland46:45
4IsraelIsrael42:72
PromotionRelegation

About the Austria vs Kosovo forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Austria and Kosovo in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Austria are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 3 points ahead of Kosovo in 2nd. League goal record so far: Austria 9-5, Kosovo 3-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Austria and Kosovo have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.