Argentina vs Austria Prediction

Argentina
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Austria
AT&T Stadium, Arlington· Amin Mohamed Omar, Egypt 22/06/2026
ArgentinaArgentina
2-0
Finished
AustriaAustria

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
7.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalGOODModel89%RiskMediumGap+0.5%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.46
SignalSTRONGModel80%RiskMediumGap+5.1%
Argentina Rest
5 days
Austria Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
69%1.46
X
22%4.30
2
9%7.50
Double Chance
1X
91%1.10
X2
31%2.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%2.05
No
48%1.74
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.77 + 1 = 2.77
Over 1.5
73%1.28
Over 2.5
46%1.91
Over 3.5
26%3.25
Under 1.5
27%3.60
Under 2.5
54%1.91
Under 3.5
74%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 3.1 = 8.9
Over 8.5
53%2.05
Over 9.5
44%2.79
Over 10.5
33%3.80
Under 8.5
47%1.70
Under 9.5
56%1.38
Under 10.5
67%1.22
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.5 = 4
Over 3.5
59%2.25
Over 4.5
35%3.25
Under 3.5
41%1.57
Under 4.5
65%1.29

Match Events

9'L. Messi(Penalty missed)
38'L. MessiAssist: F. Medina
40'S. PoschUnsportsmanlike conduct
57'C. Romero INN. Otamendi out
64'T. Almada INJ. Alvarez out
65'L. Martinez INN. Gonzalez out
67'D. Alaba INM. Friedl out
68'S. Posch INA. Prass out
68'P. Wanner INM. Arnautovic out
76'F. MedinaUnsportsmanlike conduct
76'K. LaimerUnsportsmanlike conduct
78'R. Schmid INP. Wimmer out
82'R. de Paul INL. Paredes out
82'F. Medina INN. Tagliafico out
85'M. Gregoritsch INC. Chukwuemeka out
90+2'L. ParedesRoughing
90+5'L. Messi

Lineups

Argentina
4-4-2Coach: Lionel Scaloni
Austria
4-2-3-1Coach: Ralf Rangnick
Emiliano Martínez23E. MartínezEmiliano Martínez
Nahuel Molina26N. MolinaNahuel Molina
Cristian Romero13C. RomeroCristian Romero
Lisandro Martínez6L. MartínezLisandro Martínez
Facundo Medina25F. MedinaFacundo Medina
Rodrigo De Paul7R. De PaulRodrigo De Paul
Alexis Mac Allister20A. Mac AllisterAlexis Mac Allister
Enzo Fernández24E. FernándezEnzo Fernández
Thiago Almada16T. AlmadaThiago Almada
Lionel Messi10L. MessiLionel Messi
Lautaro Martínez22L. MartínezLautaro Martínez
Alexander Schlager1A. SchlagerAlexander Schlager
Stefan Posch5S. PoschStefan Posch
Kevin Danso3K. DansoKevin Danso
David Alaba8D. AlabaDavid Alaba
Konrad Laimer20K. LaimerKonrad Laimer
Nicolas Seiwald6N. SeiwaldNicolas Seiwald
Xaver Schlager4X. SchlagerXaver Schlager
Romano Schmid18R. SchmidRomano Schmid
Paul Wanner24P. WannerPaul Wanner
Marcel Sabitzer9M. SabitzerMarcel Sabitzer
Michael Gregoritsch11M. GregoritschMichael Gregoritsch

Argentina Substitutes

19Nicolás OtamendiD
15Nicolás GonzálezF
9Julián AlvarezF
1Juan MussoG
12Gerónimo RulliG
3Nicolás TagliaficoD
2Marcos SenesiD
4Gonzalo MontielD
8Valentín BarcoM
18Nico PazF
5Leandro ParedesM
17Giuliano SimeoneF
11Giovani Lo CelsoM
14Exequiel PalaciosM
21José Manuel LópezF

Austria Substitutes

13Patrick PentzG
12Florian WiegeleG
2David AffengruberD
23Marco FriedlD
25Michael SvobodaD
15Philipp LienhartD
22Alexander PrassD
19Dejan LjubičićM
21Patrick WimmerM
10Florian GrillitschM
17Carney ChukwuemekaM
26Alessandro SchöpfM
16Phillipp MweneD
14Saša KalajdžićF
7Marko ArnautovićF

Match Stats

ArgentinaAustria
54%Ball Possession46%
1Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards2
11Total Shots6
5Shots on Goal1
3Shots off Goal5
10Shots Inside Box4
1Shots Outside Box2
3Blocked Shots0
13Fouls12
2Offsides0
1Goalkeeper Saves2
552Total Passes463
492Passes Accurate398
89%Pass Accuracy86%

Team Comparison

ArgentinaArgentina
AustriaAustria
1906Elo Rating 1659
1.57Attack 1.33
2.10Defense 0.81
54%Hit Rate 17%
13.1Shots per Game 8.0
4.2Shots on Target 2.0
5.9Corners per Game 2.5
2.9Cards per Game 1.2

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+247 Elo
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ArgentinaArgentina
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AustriaAustria
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

ArgentinaArgentina
4W0D1L
17/06/2026
ArgentinaAlgeria
30
W
10/06/2026
ArgentinaIceland
30
W
07/06/2026
ArgentinaHonduras
20
W
10/09/2025
EcuadorArgentina
10
L
05/09/2025
ArgentinaVenezuela
30
W
AustriaAustria
3W1D1L
17/06/2026
AustriaJordan
31
W
01/06/2026
AustriaTunisia
10
W
18/11/2025
AustriaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
15/11/2025
CyprusAustria
02
W
12/10/2025
RomaniaAustria
10
L

Referee Profile

Amin Mohamed Omar, Egypt · 4 matches analysed

3.4Avg Yellows
3.5Avg Cards
23.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 7% of referees analysed

League Table

World Cup 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1ArgentinaArgentina33008:1+79WWW
2AustriaAustria31116:604DLW
3AlgeriaAlgeria31115:7-24DWL
4JordanJordan30033:8-50LLL
#TeamMPGPts
1ArgentinaArgentina38:19
2AustriaAustria36:64
3AlgeriaAlgeria35:74
4JordanJordan33:80

Argentina vs Austria Prediction

As a knockout-stage World Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About World Cup

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Key Factors for This Match

This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.0 out of 10 by our context model. Argentina and Austria have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.