Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice Prediction

Baník Ostrava
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Pardubice
Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava 13/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.25
SignalHIGHModel45%SurpriseHighGap-0.7%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+8.3%
Baník Ostrava Rest
3 days
Pardubice Rest
7 days

Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice: the result in context

Pardubice beat Baník Ostrava 2-1 in the Czech Liga on 13 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Baník Ostrava had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Pardubice.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.7 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.95
X
25%3.45
2
29%3.50
Double Chance
1X
71%1.25
X2
54%1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%1.66
No
42%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.58 + 1.27 = 2.85
Over 1.5
84%1.25
Over 2.5
60%1.80
Over 3.5
33%2.94
Under 1.5
16%3.85
Under 2.5
40%1.98
Under 3.5
67%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 4.7 = 10.1
Over 8.5
65%1.37
Over 9.5
53%1.71
Over 10.5
44%2.11
Under 8.5
35%2.71
Under 9.5
47%2.02
Under 10.5
56%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.1 = 3.9
Over 3.5
55%1.53
Over 4.5
36%2.07
Under 3.5
45%2.22
Under 4.5
64%1.62

Match Events

16'Samuel Simek INVáclav Drchal out
20'Václav DrchalAssist: Ryan Mahuta
34'Tomas JelinekFoul
44'Jiri BoulaFoul
45'Jiri Micek INMaksym·Diachuk out
45'Daniel Holzer INArtur Musak out
45'Filip Kubala INDantaye·Gilbert out
45'Victor Samuel INTobias Boledovic out
45+2'Filip KubalaArgument
54'Abdoull TankoAssist: Václav Drchal
57'Mouhamed Tidjane TraoreFoul
59'Ryan Mahuta INDaniel Smekal out
71'Daniel SmekalFoul
72'Yevgeniy Skyba INMichal Frydrych out
72'Vaclav Jurecka INRhodri Smith out
81'Vit SkrkonAssist: Jiri Boula
86'Daniel Smekal INKahuan Vinicius out
86'Abdoull Tanko INJan Tredl out
88'Denis HalinskýFoul

Lineups

Baník Ostrava
3-4-1-2Coach: R. Skuhravý
Pardubice
3-4-1-2Coach: J. Trousil
Avg rating6.43
Avg rating6.97
M. Jedlička6.623M. Jedlička
Y. Skyba6.544Y. Skyba
R. Nogha6.883R. Nogha
J. Míček6.242J. Míček
D. Holzer6.095D. Holzer
J. Boula7.35J. Boula
A. Traoré6.38A. Traoré
A. Bewene6.234A. Bewene
F. Kubala5.828F. Kubala
V. Jurečka5.715V. Jurečka
V. Skrkon7.722V. Skrkon
V. Neuman7.646V. Neuman
M. Icha7.26M. Icha
D. Halinský7.133D. Halinský
M. Traore6.321M. Traore
E. Godwin6.715E. Godwin
S. Šimek6.58S. Šimek
M. Hlavatý6.919M. Hlavatý
R. Mahuta7.425R. Mahuta
T. Jelínek7.116T. Jelínek
A. Tanko7.620A. Tanko
S. Ďatko6.335S. Ďatko

Baník Ostrava Substitutes

1V. Budinský
16M. Dyachuk45'for Jiri Micek6.4
17M. Frydrych72'for Yevgeniy Skyba6.1
7D. Gilbert45'for Filip Kubala6.4
81M. Kmeť
55Artúr Musák45'for Daniel Holzer6.7
19F. Šancl
3Rhodri Smith72'for Vaclav Jurecka6.1

Pardubice Substitutes

90G. Botos
17V. Drchal16'for Samuel Simek20'8.7
1J. Šerák
7D. Simon
9D. Smékal59'for Ryan Mahuta71'86'for Kahuan Vinicius6.5
12J. Trédl86'for Abdoull Tanko6.6
40T. Boledovič45'for Victor Samuel6.7
99Kahuan Vinicius86'replaced by Daniel Smekal6.4
27M. Reil
11J. Zima
77R. Saarma

Match Stats

Baník OstravaPardubice
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks3
2Yellow Cards4
14Total Shots16
4Shots on Goal7
7Shots off Goal7
10Shots Inside Box11
4Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots2
10Fouls9
1Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves4
506Total Passes322
425Passes Accurate244
84%Pass Accuracy76%

Team Comparison

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
PardubicePardubice
1557Elo Rating 1624
0.99Attack 2.40
2.36Defense 2.03
27%Hit Rate 83%
11.7Shots per Game 13.8
3.7Shots on Target 5.4
4.3Corners per Game 5.8
1.8Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
PardubicePardubice
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.6 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava5Wins · 50%
Draws330%
PardubicePardubice2Wins · 20%
3.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Czech Liga13/12/2025
Baník OstravaPardubice
14
Cup05/11/2025
PardubiceBaník Ostrava
3343
Czech Liga01/10/2025
PardubiceBaník Ostrava
01
Czech Liga29/03/2025
Baník OstravaPardubice
52
Cup05/03/2025
PardubiceBaník Ostrava
02
Czech Liga26/10/2024
PardubiceBaník Ostrava
23
Czech Liga17/03/2024
PardubiceBaník Ostrava
01
Czech Liga07/10/2023
Baník OstravaPardubice
11
Czech Liga28/05/2023
Baník OstravaPardubice
24
Czech Liga04/03/2023
PardubiceBaník Ostrava
11

Recent Form

PardubicePardubice
2W2D6L
05/09/2026
SlováckoPardubice
00
D
29/08/2026
PardubiceArtis
12
L
26/08/2026
PísekPardubice
02
W
23/08/2026
Sigma OlomoucPardubice
31
L
15/08/2026
PardubiceMlada Boleslav
11
D
09/08/2026
Slavia PrahaPardubice
21
L
02/08/2026
PardubiceFK Jablonec
02
L
26/07/2026
Hradec KrálovéPardubice
21
L
18/07/2026
Vysočina JihlavaPardubice
05
W
09/07/2026
Cracovia KrakowPardubice
20
L

League Table

Czech Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1394032:7+2531WDDWW
2Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1373322:15+724WDWLL
3Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1373322:15+724WDWDL
4Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1272315:8+723WLLDW
5Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1271425:13+1222WDWWW
6TepliceTeplice1363421:18+321WDLDW
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1362516:18-220LWLWD
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1362516:19-320LDWLL
9PlzenPlzen1354428:21+719WLWWL
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051144313:13016DWWLW
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1343612:18-615LLDLL
12PardubicePardubice1342715:19-414LWWLW
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava123277:22-1511LDLDL
14ArtisArtis1224613:22-910DDWDL
15SlováckoSlovácko1314812:26-147LLLWD
16ZlinZlin13031011:26-153DDLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1Slavia PrahaSlavia Praha1332:731
2Mlada BoleslavMlada Boleslav1322:1524
3Sigma OlomoucSigma Olomouc1322:1524
4Slovan LiberecSlovan Liberec1215:823
5Sparta PrahaSparta Praha1225:1322
6TepliceTeplice1321:1821
7FK JablonecFK Jablonec1316:1820
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno1316:1920
9PlzenPlzen1328:2119
10Bohemians 1905Bohemians 19051113:1316
11Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové1312:1815
12PardubicePardubice1315:1914
13Baník OstravaBaník Ostrava127:2211
14ArtisArtis1213:2210
15SlováckoSlovácko1312:267
16ZlinZlin1311:263
Relegation

About the Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice forecast

The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Baník Ostrava and Pardubice in the Czech Liga table

Pardubice and Baník Ostrava are close in the Czech Liga table, 12th and 13th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Baník Ostrava 7-22, Pardubice 15-19. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Baník Ostrava have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Pardubice have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.