FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava Prediction
Czech Republic · Regular Season - 5
Stadion Strelnice, Jablonec nad Nisou 09/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
Value Analysis
72%Trust
Total Cards
Cards Under 4.5
1.56
SignalGOODModel72%SurpriseMediumGap+10.6%
FK Jablonec Rest
3 days
Baník Ostrava Rest
3 days
FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava: the result in context
FK Jablonec beat Baník Ostrava 3-0 in the Czech Liga on 9 Sep 2026. That went against recent form: Baník Ostrava had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for FK Jablonec.
FK Jablonec have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.6 goals a game.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
149%1.82
X24%3.58
227%4.00
Double Chance
1X73%1.22
X251%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes55%1.69
No45%2.06
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.64 + 1.07 = 2.71
Over 1.578%1.24
Over 2.552%1.78
Over 3.532%2.90
Under 1.522%3.74
Under 2.548%2.00
Under 3.568%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 3.9 = 9.5
Over 8.553%1.57
Over 9.540%1.95
Over 10.531%2.45
Under 8.547%2.21
Under 9.560%1.77
Under 10.569%1.46
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.547%1.60
Over 4.528%2.19
Under 3.553%2.13
Under 4.572%1.56
Match Events
14'Jiri MicekFoul
33'Saidou Alioum MoubarakFoul
38'Goal cancelledMatej Chalus
41'Klemen Mihelak INJan Hanus out
44'Filip NovákAssist: Richard Sedláček
47'Card upgrade confirmedMatej Chalus
50'Matej Chalus
51'Martin JedličkaDissent
55'Antonín RůsekAssist: Matej Polidar
56'Daniel Holzer INRaymond Roan Nogha out
62'Dantaye·Gilbert INMatus Kmet out
62'Vaclav Jurecka INFilip Šancl out
62'Filip Kubala INVit Skrkon out
70'Matej PolidarAssist: Dominik Holly
72'Jiri Micek INMaksym·Diachuk out
73'Goal cancelledMatej Polidar
73'Dominik Holly INLamin Jawo out
73'Saidou Alioum Moubarak INHugo Ahl out
75'Goal cancelledMatej Polidar
81'Filip Novák INEduard Sobol out
81'Richard Sedláček INFilip Zorvan out
Lineups
FK JablonecBaník Ostrava
3-4-2-1Coach: R. SkuhravýAvg ratingAvg rating
99K. Mihelak
15D. Pavlović
4N. Tekijaški
57F. Novák
7V. Tchanturishvili
25S. Nebyla
13R. Sedláček
21M. Polidar
17S. Alioum
9A. Růsek
24D. Hollý
23M. Jedlička
44Y. Skyba
37M. Chaluš
42J. Míček
34A. Bewene
5J. Boula
8A. Traoré
95D. Holzer
7D. Gilbert
15V. Jurečka
28F. KubalaFK Jablonec Substitutes
18M. Cedidla
19J. Chramosta
1J. Hanuš41'for Klemen Mihelak
44L. Jawo73'for Dominik Holly
16H. Ahl73'for Saidou Alioum Moubarak
6N. Okeke
20J. Sláma
23E. Sobol81'for Filip Novák
14D. Souček
27F. Vecheta
8F. Zorvan81'for Richard Sedláček
Baník Ostrava Substitutes
22V. Skrkon62'for Filip Kubala
19F. Šancl62'for Vaclav Jurecka
83R. Nogha56'for Daniel Holzer
55Artúr Musák
81M. Kmeť62'for Dantaye·Gilbert
17M. Frydrych
16M. Dyachuk72'for Jiri Micek
1V. Budinský
Match Stats
FK JablonecBaník Ostrava 58%Ball Possession42%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
23Total Shots9
7Shots on Goal2
11Shots off Goal3
19Shots Inside Box5
4Shots Outside Box4
5Blocked Shots4
10Fouls11
1Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves4
500Total Passes369
438Passes Accurate304
88%Pass Accuracy82%
Team Comparison
FK JablonecBaník Ostrava1636Elo Rating 1532
0.94Attack 0.60
0.97Defense 1.62
19%Hit Rate 23%
13.2Shots per Game 10.8
4.3Shots on Target 1.9
4.8Corners per Game 5.5
1.7Cards per Game 1.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+103 Elo
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FK Jablonec- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Baník Ostrava- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
FK Jablonec6Wins · 60%Draws110%
Baník Ostrava3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
11/04/2026FK JablonecBaník Ostrava41
08/11/2025Baník OstravaFK Jablonec01
27/04/2025Baník OstravaFK Jablonec12
09/04/2025FK JablonecBaník Ostrava01
23/11/2024FK JablonecBaník Ostrava31
28/07/2024Baník OstravaFK Jablonec10
07/04/2024FK JablonecBaník Ostrava23
28/10/2023Baník OstravaFK Jablonec01
14/05/2023FK JablonecBaník Ostrava11
11/02/2023Baník OstravaFK Jablonec12
Recent Form
FK Jablonec6W1D3L
06/09/2026FK Jablonec
Slovan Liberec
Bohemians 1905FK Jablonec
TepliceFK JablonecFK Jablonec
RangersRangersFK Jablonec
Rīgas FSFK JablonecFK Jablonec
SlováckoFK JablonecRīgas FSFK Jablonec
NK Varazdin
FK JablonecSlovan Liberec12
L02/09/2026Bohemians 1905FK Jablonec11
D30/08/2026TepliceFK Jablonec20
L27/08/2026FK JablonecRangers4130
W20/08/2026RangersFK Jablonec10
L13/08/2026Rīgas FSFK Jablonec12
W09/08/2026FK JablonecSlovácko10
W06/08/2026FK JablonecRīgas FS20
W02/08/2026
PardubiceFK Jablonec
30/07/2026PardubiceFK Jablonec02
WFK JablonecNK Varazdin20
WBaník Ostrava5W1D4L
06/09/2026
Mlada BoleslavBaník OstravaBaník Ostrava
Sigma OlomoucBaník Ostrava
Artis
Hradec KrálovéBaník OstravaBaník Ostrava
Slavia Praha
ZlinBaník Ostrava
Mlada BoleslavBaník Ostrava40
L29/08/2026Baník OstravaSigma Olomouc10
W26/08/2026
Sparta BrnoBaník Ostrava
16/08/2026Sparta BrnoBaník Ostrava09
WBaník OstravaArtis10
W09/08/2026Hradec KrálovéBaník Ostrava21
L01/08/2026Baník OstravaSlavia Praha04
L25/07/2026ZlinBaník Ostrava01
W18/07/2026
AS TrencinBaník Ostrava
AS TrencinBaník Ostrava32
L11/07/2026
Wisla PlockBaník Ostrava
Wisla PlockBaník Ostrava22
D08/07/2026
Zaglebie LubinBaník Ostrava
Zaglebie LubinBaník Ostrava02
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 36:8 | +28 | 34 | WWDDW |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | +8 | 26 | WWLLD |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22:15 | +7 | 25 | DWDWL |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 26:14 | +12 | 24 | DDWDW |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 22:20 | +2 | 24 | LWDWD |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 21 | LWDLD |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 8 |  Plzen | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 20 | DWLWW |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 20 | LWDDW |
| 10 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 20 | LLDWL |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:18 | -1 | 18 | WLLDL |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 19:20 | -1 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 10:23 | -13 | 14 | WLDLD |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15:28 | -13 | 10 | LLDDW |
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:26 | -13 | 10 | WLLLW |
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 11:27 | -16 | 3 | LDDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slavia Praha | 14 | 36:8 | 34 |
| 2 | Slovan Liberec | 13 | 16:8 | 26 |
| 3 | Mlada Boleslav | 14 | 22:15 | 25 |
| 4 | Sparta Praha | 14 | 26:14 | 24 |
| 5 | Sigma Olomouc | 14 | 22:20 | 24 |
| 6 | Teplice | 14 | 22:22 | 21 |
| 7 | FK Jablonec | 14 | 16:18 | 21 |
| 8 | Plzen | 14 | 29:22 | 20 |
| 9 | Bohemians 1905 | 14 | 15:15 | 20 |
| 10 | Zbrojovka Brno | 14 | 17:22 | 20 |
| 11 | Hradec Králové | 14 | 17:18 | 18 |
| 12 | Pardubice | 14 | 19:20 | 17 |
| 13 | Baník Ostrava | 13 | 10:23 | 14 |
| 14 | Artis | 14 | 15:28 | 10 |
| 15 | Slovácko | 14 | 13:26 | 10 |
| 16 | Zlin | 14 | 11:27 | 3 |
Relegation
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This match
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About the FK Jablonec vs Baník Ostrava forecast
The forecasts for this Czech Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
FK Jablonec and Baník Ostrava in the Czech Liga table
In the Czech Liga table, FK Jablonec are 7th and Baník Ostrava 13th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: FK Jablonec 16-18, Baník Ostrava 10-23. The full standings are on the Czech Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.