Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

04/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.60
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+11.7%
Beijing Guoan Rest
6 days
Shandong Luneng Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
44%1.75
X
24%4.10
2
32%3.90
Double Chance
1X
68%1.22
X2
56%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.39
No
40%2.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.55 + 1.52 = 3.07
Over 1.5
81%1.10
Over 2.5
55%1.35
Over 3.5
37%1.92
Under 1.5
19%6.50
Under 2.5
45%3.02
Under 3.5
63%1.83
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.8 + 3.9 = 8.6
Over 8.5
58%1.38
Over 9.5
48%1.67
Over 10.5
35%2.08
Under 8.5
42%2.73
Under 9.5
52%2.10
Under 10.5
65%1.67
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
58%-
Over 4.5
37%-
Under 3.5
42%-
Under 4.5
63%-

Match Events

23'Zheng Zheng
36'B. Nkololo
36'Chen Pu INPeng Xiao out
46'He Yupeng INYue Tze-Nam out
58'B. Nkololo INCao Yongjing out
61'Zhang Yuning INYang Liyu out
63'Huang Zhengyu
74'SerginhoAssist: Cao Yongjing
75'Xie Wenneng INR. Merkies out
81'Lin LiangmingAssist: Cao Yongjing
85'F. Abreu INChi Zhongguo out
86'Bai Yang INDeng Jiefu out
89'V. Qazaishvili INJ. Lu out
89'Huang Zhengyu INMemet Imran out

Match Stats

Beijing GuoanShandong Luneng
76%Ball Possession24%
12Corner Kicks0
1Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
39Total Shots3
13Shots on Goal2
16Shots off Goal1
29Shots Inside Box2
10Shots Outside Box1
10Blocked Shots0
9Fouls13
0Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves9
560Total Passes182
511Passes Accurate115
91%Pass Accuracy63%

Team Comparison

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
1737Elo Rating 1608
1.98Attack 1.28
1.95Defense 1.18
46%Hit Rate 34%
10.1Shots per Game 11.3
4.6Shots on Target 2.8
2.7Corners per Game 3.8
2.0Cards per Game 2.4

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+129 Elo
High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend46% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Beijing Guoan 36%Draw 14%50% Shandong Luneng
3.88Avg Goals
46%BTTS Rate
69%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
3W1D1L
27/06/2026
Beijing GuoanWuhan Three Towns
10
W
19/06/2026
Guangzhou E-PowerBeijing Guoan
12
W
30/05/2026
Chongqing Tongliang LongBeijing Guoan
23
W
23/05/2026
Beijing GuoanHenan Jianye
12
L
19/05/2026
Qingdao Youth IslandBeijing Guoan
11
D
Shandong LunengShandong Luneng
2W1D2L
27/06/2026
Shenyang UrbanShandong Luneng
15
W
20/06/2026
Guangxi HengchenShandong Luneng
05
W
30/05/2026
Chengdu Better CityShandong Luneng
10
L
24/05/2026
Shandong LunengWuhan Three Towns
33
D
20/05/2026
Hangzhou GreentownShandong Luneng
41
L

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City26157451:30+2152DWLWL
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing261241038:42-440WDWLW
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan261110549:33+1638DDDWW
4Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun261151054:51+338WLDWW
5Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island26814431:32-138DDWDD
6Shandong LunengShandong Luneng26134946:43+337DWLWW
7SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG26108840:33+733DWWWW
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua26125952:46+631WLWLW
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long26710927:32-531LDLDL
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown261061045:43+231WLWDL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu26841434:45-1128DLDWL
12Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2689933:35-227DDDDL
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban26741534:47-1325LLLDL
14Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2698936:32+425WWDDL
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns265111039:46-721LDDWD
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon26631734:53-1914LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2651:3052
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2638:4240
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2649:3338
4Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2654:5138
5Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2631:3238
6Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2646:4337
7SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2640:3333
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2652:4631
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2627:3231
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2645:4331
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2634:4528
12Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2633:3527
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2634:4725
14Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2636:3225
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2639:4621
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2634:5314
Champions LeagueRelegation

Beijing Guoan vs Shandong Luneng Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

ScorePredicts covers China football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Beijing Guoan have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Beijing Guoan and Shandong Luneng have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.88 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.