Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

Beijing Guoan
3-3
Finished
HT 1-0
Yunnan Yukun
Beijing Workers' Stadium, Beijing 22/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
51%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
2.00
SignalGOODModel48%RiskMediumGap+4.9%
Beijing Guoan Rest
4 days
Yunnan Yukun Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.45
X
27%4.78
2
21%5.44
Double Chance
1X
79%1.13
X2
48%2.60
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.38
No
34%2.77
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.68 + 1.28 = 2.96
Over 1.5
82%1.06
Over 2.5
56%1.27
Over 3.5
36%1.72
Under 1.5
18%7.30
Under 2.5
44%3.40
Under 3.5
64%2.05
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.1 = 9.6
Over 8.5
60%1.41
Over 9.5
49%1.73
Over 10.5
36%2.17
Under 8.5
40%2.61
Under 9.5
51%2.00
Under 10.5
64%1.60
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.9 = 3.8
Over 3.5
44%-
Over 4.5
27%-
Under 3.5
56%-
Under 4.5
73%-

Match Events

15'Zhang YuningFoul
36'DawhanAssist: F. Abreu
46'Ye Chugui INCaio Vinicius out
50'Zhang YuningAssist: F. Abreu
58'Abdusalam BunyaminAssist: Zhang Chenliang
62'Deng Jiefu INZhang Xizhe out
62'Wang Gang INYue Tze-Nam out
65'O. Taty MarituAssist: J. Saeter
69'SerginhoAssist: Dawhan
80'Zhang Chenliang INHuang Zichang out
80'Xu Xin INDuan Liuyu out
80'J. Saeter INCleber out
84'Zhang Yuning INLi Lei out
85'Abdusalam Bunyamin INHan Zilong out
86'Caio ViniciusFoul
90+1'A. Ionita IIAssist: Caio Vinicius

Lineups

Beijing Guoan
4-4-2Coach: Nick Montgomery
Yunnan Yukun
4-3-3Coach: Jordi Vinyals
Hou Sen34H. SenHou Sen
Gang Wang27G. WangGang Wang
Abdugheni Abduhamit24A. AbduhamitAbdugheni Abduhamit
Guilherme Ramos5G. RamosGuilherme Ramos
Yang Bai26Y. BaiYang Bai
Yongjing Cao37Y. CaoYongjing Cao
Dawhan23DawhanDawhan
Sai Erjini'ao7S. Erjini'aoSai Erjini'ao
Deng Jiefu47D. JiefuDeng Jiefu
Fabio Abreu29F. AbreuFabio Abreu
Zhang Yuning9Z. YuningZhang Yuning
Zhifeng Wang23Z. WangZhifeng Wang
Chenliang Zhang26C. ZhangChenliang Zhang
Teng Yi18T. YiTeng Yi
Andrei Burcă33A. BurcăAndrei Burcă
Wang-Kit Tsui3W. TsuiWang-Kit Tsui
Alexandru Ioniță10A. IonițăAlexandru Ioniță
Xin Xu8X. XuXin Xu
Chugui Ye7C. YeChugui Ye
Bunyamin Abdusalam39B. AbdusalamBunyamin Abdusalam
John Hou Sæter30J. Hou SæterJohn Hou Sæter
Oscar Taty Maritu11O. Taty MarituOscar Taty Maritu

Beijing Guoan Substitutes

21Tze-Nam YueD
10Zhang XizheM
4Li LeiD
31Shaoziyang LiuG
30Shuangjie FanD
43Xia XiaoyuM
50Zhang HaoranM
41Cheng XiM
36Feifan JiaM
18Wang YuM
17Yang LiyuF
58Zicheng JiangF

Yunnan Yukun Substitutes

34Caio ViníciusD
19Zichang HuangF
22Liuyu DuanM
9CléberF
27Zilong HanM
1Yaxiong BaoG
13Shengjun QiuG
2Ruibao HuD
16Zhang XiangshuoD
17Sun XuelongM
6Yuhao ZhaoM
36Ernanduo FeiF

Match Stats

Beijing GuoanYunnan Yukun
60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
17Total Shots14
8Shots on Goal5
3Shots off Goal6
13Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box7
6Blocked Shots3
8Fouls9
12Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
511Total Passes354
449Passes Accurate295
88%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
1737Elo Rating 1611
1.98Attack 2.50
1.95Defense 1.19
46%Hit Rate 64%
10.1Shots per Game 16.1
4.6Shots on Target 5.9
2.7Corners per Game 4.5
2.0Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+126 Elo
High Goal Expectancy2.96 goals
📈BTTS Trend54% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 4 historical meetings

Beijing Guoan 69%Draw 31%0% Yunnan Yukun
4.82Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
81%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan
4W1D0L
Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun
4W0D1L
15/08/2026
Yunnan YukunDalian Zhixing
31
W
08/08/2026
Yunnan YukunChengdu Better City
10
W
01/08/2026
Tianjin TedaYunnan Yukun
32
L
26/07/2026
Yunnan YukunSichuan Jiuniu
43
W
21/07/2026
Yunnan YukunChengdu Better City
3323
W

League Table

Super League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City26157451:30+2152DWLWL
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing261241038:42-440WDWLW
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan261110549:33+1638DDDWW
4Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun261151054:51+338WLDWW
5Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island26814431:32-138DDWDD
6Shandong LunengShandong Luneng26134946:43+337DWLWW
7SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG26108840:33+733DWWWW
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua26125952:46+631WLWLW
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long26710927:32-531LDLDL
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown25961041:42-128LWDLL
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu26841434:45-1128DLDWL
12Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2689933:35-227DDDDL
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban26741534:47-1325LLLDL
14Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2698936:32+425WWDDL
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns25511938:42-421DDWDL
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon26631734:53-1914LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Chengdu Better CityChengdu Better City2651:3052
2Dalian ZhixingDalian Zhixing2638:4240
3Beijing GuoanBeijing Guoan2649:3338
4Yunnan YukunYunnan Yukun2654:5138
5Qingdao Youth IslandQingdao Youth Island2631:3238
6Shandong LunengShandong Luneng2646:4337
7SHANGHAI SIPGSHANGHAI SIPG2640:3333
8Shanghai ShenhuaShanghai Shenhua2652:4631
9Chongqing Tongliang LongChongqing Tongliang Long2627:3231
10Hangzhou GreentownHangzhou Greentown2541:4228
11Sichuan JiuniuSichuan Jiuniu2634:4528
12Henan JianyeHenan Jianye2633:3527
13Shenyang UrbanShenyang Urban2634:4725
14Tianjin TedaTianjin Teda2636:3225
15Wuhan Three TownsWuhan Three Towns2538:4221
16Qingdao JonoonQingdao Jonoon2634:5314
Champions LeagueRelegation

Beijing Guoan vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Super League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Super League

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Key Factors for This Match

Beijing Guoan have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. Beijing Guoan and Yunnan Yukun have met 4 times recently, averaging 4.82 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.