Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos Prediction

17/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-2.9%
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.64
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+8.0%
Belgrano Zarate Rest
5 days
Alumni Los Hornos Rest
6 days

Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos: the result in context

Belgrano Zarate beat Alumni Los Hornos 2-1 in the Torneo Promocional Amateur on 17 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.40
X
29%2.85
2
28%2.94
Double Chance
1X
72%1.33
X2
56%1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.30
No
56%1.50
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.64
Over 2.5
37%2.98
Over 3.5
18%6.20
Under 1.5
37%2.06
Under 2.5
63%1.31
Under 3.5
82%1.06
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate
Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos
1575Elo Rating 1526
0.75Attack 1.45
2.42Defense 1.62
41%Hit Rate 39%

Game State Tendencies

Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Recent Form

Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate
2W3D1L
12/07/2026
Belgrano ZarateLas Mandarinas
11
D
05/07/2026
Everton La PlataBelgrano Zarate
01
W
28/06/2026
Belgrano ZarateEzeiza
00
D
21/06/2026
Barrancas UMETBelgrano Zarate
10
L
17/06/2026
Belgrano ZarateBuenos Aires City
10
W
13/06/2026
Control OrientadoBelgrano Zarate
00
D
Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos
1W1D4L
11/07/2026
UribelarreaAlumni Los Hornos
01
W
28/06/2026
Alumni Los HornosLas Mandarinas
01
L
20/06/2026
Everton La PlataAlumni Los Hornos
10
L
17/06/2026
Alumni Los HornosEzeiza
01
L
14/06/2026
Barrancas UMETAlumni Los Hornos
21
L
06/06/2026
Alumni Los HornosBuenos Aires City
00
D

League Table

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SAT MorenoSAT Moreno14110324:9+1533WLWWW
2Defensores GlewDefensores Glew14102237:8+2932WWWWW
3Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico14102232:10+2232DWWWL
4Barrancas UMETBarrancas UMET1694317:9+831LDDDW
5UribelarreaUribelarrea1685319:11+829WWWDD
6EzeizaEzeiza1675418:17+126WWWWD
7Buenos Aires CityBuenos Aires City1674518:13+525LWDLW
8Nautico HacoajNautico Hacoaj1473424:11+1324LWWLL
9Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate1657411:10+122WDLDW
10Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos1653817:20-318LWDWL
11Control OrientadoControl Orientado1653815:20-518LLDDW
12Estrella de BerissoEstrella de Berisso1443718:24-615LDLLW
13Everton La PlataEverton La Plata163587:14-714WDLDL
14Las MandarinasLas Mandarinas16421012:20-814LLLLW
15Atletico PilarAtletico Pilar1423911:24-139DLLWD
16Juventud de BernalJuventud de Bernal14221010:41-318WDLLD
17ProvincialProvincial1421119:38-297LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SAT MorenoSAT Moreno1424:933
2Defensores GlewDefensores Glew1437:832
3Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico1432:1032
4Barrancas UMETBarrancas UMET1617:931
5UribelarreaUribelarrea1619:1129
6EzeizaEzeiza1618:1726
7Buenos Aires CityBuenos Aires City1618:1325
8Nautico HacoajNautico Hacoaj1424:1124
9Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate1611:1022
10Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos1617:2018
11Control OrientadoControl Orientado1615:2018
12Estrella de BerissoEstrella de Berisso1418:2415
13Everton La PlataEverton La Plata167:1414
14Las MandarinasLas Mandarinas1612:2014
15Atletico PilarAtletico Pilar1411:249
16Juventud de BernalJuventud de Bernal1410:418
17ProvincialProvincial149:387

About the Belgrano Zarate vs Alumni Los Hornos forecast

The forecasts for this Torneo Promocional Amateur match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Belgrano Zarate and Alumni Los Hornos in the Torneo Promocional Amateur table

Belgrano Zarate and Alumni Los Hornos are close in the Torneo Promocional Amateur table, 9th and 10th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Belgrano Zarate 11-10, Alumni Los Hornos 17-20. The full standings are on the Torneo Promocional Amateur Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Belgrano Zarate and Alumni Los Hornos have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.