Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico Prediction

05/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
Value Analysis
62%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 2.5 Goals
1.68
SignalSOLIDModel32%SurpriseHighGap+7.9%
Provincial Rest
11 days
Deportivo Metalurgico Rest
10 days

Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico: result, form and history

Deportivo Metalurgico beat Provincial 5-0 in the Torneo Promocional Amateur on 5 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%7.40
X
35%3.65
2
37%1.43
Double Chance
1X
63%2.48
X2
72%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%2.20
No
56%1.57
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.31
Over 2.5
38%2.02
Over 3.5
18%3.58
Under 1.5
36%2.94
Under 2.5
62%1.68
Under 3.5
82%1.21
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Team Comparison

ProvincialProvincial
Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico
1439Elo Rating 1660
0.27Attack 2.07
0.00Defense 1.51
0%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

ProvincialProvincial
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.3 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

ProvincialProvincial0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Torneo Promocional Amateur07/06/2026
Deportivo MetalurgicoProvincial
20

Recent Form

ProvincialProvincial
2W2D4L
25/07/2026
SAT MorenoProvincial
30
L
14/07/2026
Juventud de BernalProvincial
04
W
05/07/2026
ProvincialNautico Hacoaj
00
D
27/06/2026
Defensores GlewProvincial
42
L
20/06/2026
ProvincialAtletico Pilar
10
W
13/06/2026
ProvincialEstrella de Berisso
01
L
07/06/2026
Deportivo MetalurgicoProvincial
20
L
30/05/2026
ProvincialSAT Moreno
00
D
Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico
7W1D2L
26/07/2026
Deportivo MetalurgicoEstrella de Berisso
10
W
12/07/2026
Atletico PilarDeportivo Metalurgico
11
D
04/07/2026
Deportivo MetalurgicoSAT Moreno
10
W
29/06/2026
Juventud de BernalDeportivo Metalurgico
15
W
21/06/2026
Deportivo MetalurgicoNautico Hacoaj
01
L
12/06/2026
Defensores GlewDeportivo Metalurgico
12
W
07/06/2026
Deportivo MetalurgicoProvincial
20
W
01/06/2026
Estrella de BerissoDeportivo Metalurgico
01
W
19/10/2025
Puerto NuevoDeportivo Metalurgico
30
L
12/10/2025
Deportivo MetalurgicoPuerto Nuevo
21
W

League Table

Torneo Promocional Amateur 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SAT MorenoSAT Moreno14110324:9+1533WLWWW
2Defensores GlewDefensores Glew14102237:8+2932WWWWW
3Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico14102232:10+2232DWWWL
4Barrancas UMETBarrancas UMET1694317:9+831LDDDW
5UribelarreaUribelarrea1685319:11+829WWWDD
6EzeizaEzeiza1675418:17+126WWWWD
7Buenos Aires CityBuenos Aires City1674518:13+525LWDLW
8Nautico HacoajNautico Hacoaj1473424:11+1324LWWLL
9Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate1657411:10+122WDLDW
10Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos1653817:20-318LWDWL
11Control OrientadoControl Orientado1653815:20-518LLDDW
12Estrella de BerissoEstrella de Berisso1443718:24-615LDLLW
13Everton La PlataEverton La Plata163587:14-714WDLDL
14Las MandarinasLas Mandarinas16421012:20-814LLLLW
15Atletico PilarAtletico Pilar1423911:24-139DLLWD
16Juventud de BernalJuventud de Bernal14221010:41-318WDLLD
17ProvincialProvincial1421119:38-297LLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SAT MorenoSAT Moreno1424:933
2Defensores GlewDefensores Glew1437:832
3Deportivo MetalurgicoDeportivo Metalurgico1432:1032
4Barrancas UMETBarrancas UMET1617:931
5UribelarreaUribelarrea1619:1129
6EzeizaEzeiza1618:1726
7Buenos Aires CityBuenos Aires City1618:1325
8Nautico HacoajNautico Hacoaj1424:1124
9Belgrano ZarateBelgrano Zarate1611:1022
10Alumni Los HornosAlumni Los Hornos1617:2018
11Control OrientadoControl Orientado1615:2018
12Estrella de BerissoEstrella de Berisso1418:2415
13Everton La PlataEverton La Plata167:1414
14Las MandarinasLas Mandarinas1612:2014
15Atletico PilarAtletico Pilar1411:249
16Juventud de BernalJuventud de Bernal1410:418
17ProvincialProvincial149:387

About the Provincial vs Deportivo Metalurgico forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Provincial and Deportivo Metalurgico in the Torneo Promocional Amateur table

The table shows a wide gap: Deportivo Metalurgico are 3rd in the Torneo Promocional Amateur, while Provincial sit 17th, 25 points behind. League goal record so far: Provincial 9-38, Deportivo Metalurgico 32-10. The full standings are on the Torneo Promocional Amateur Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Provincial and Deportivo Metalurgico have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.